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Santos vs Abejas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 84-94
25-25 18-26 22-20 19-23
Position#10
Record12-18
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game88.8
vs
Abejas 🏆
Mexico
Position#8
Record13-17
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game85.7
MexicoLNBP· Auditorio Miguel Barragán
Other2026-27
Meetings · Santos v Abejas
15 Oct 2026
SANT84
ABEJ94
08 Aug 2025
SANT90
ABEJ75
07 Aug 2025
SANT87
ABEJ91
12 Jul 2024
SANT98
ABEJ91
11 Jul 2024
SANT98
ABEJ78
16 Nov 2023
SANT94
ABEJ97
14 Nov 2023
SANT89
ABEJ84
13 Nov 2023
SANT91
ABEJ80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Santos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Abejas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SantosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSantos
Date
Competition
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
86-95
86
95
-9
74avg 75
H21/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
84-99
84
99
-15
69avg 75
H22/09
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
87-86
87
86
+1
78avg 75
A26/09
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
78-92
78
92
-14
66avg 75
A27/09
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
96-81
96
81
+15
88avg 75
H02/10
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
108-87
108
87
+21
110avg 75
H03/10
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
75-96
75
96
-21
60avg 75
A07/10
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
93-82
93
82
+11
85avg 75
A08/10
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
106-82
106
82
+24
111avg 75
A12/10
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
74-84
74
84
-10
71avg 75
A13/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
22-25
23-18
27-26
15-27
19-27
27-25
23-20
21-25
21-23
22-18
23-20
22-21
14-27
23-18
19-26
22-28
32-22
18-13
24-18
22-16
30-24
30-27
26-20
14-23
17-28
23-24
21-21
31-21
24-22
21-19
17-20
29-16
23-19
29-23
25-24
13-25
25-19
23-13
13-27
177.1Avg total
88.7Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)84.988.8173.7-3.940%
Season at home (14)86.889.3176.1-2.543%
Season away (16)83.288.3171.6-5.138%
Last 10 (10)88.788.4177.1+0.350%
Last 5 (5)91.286.2177.4+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)82.291.9174.1-9.725%
vs Similar ◀ (12)90.285.2175.4+5.158%
vs Weaker (2)74.585.5160.0-11.050%
This opponent (Abejas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AbejasMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAbejas
Date
Competition
Freseros
#13
W
97-80
97
80
+17
98avg 78
H21/09
LNBP
Freseros
#13
L
83-89
83
89
-6
78avg 78
H22/09
LNBP
Santos
#10
L
86-87
86
87
-1
85avg 78
H26/09
LNBP
Santos
#10
W
92-78
92
78
+14
89avg 78
H27/09
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
78-90
78
90
-12
72avg 78
A02/10
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 78
A03/10
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
98-76
98
76
+22
73avg 78
A07/10
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
95-89
95
89
+6
89avg 78
A08/10
LNBP
Santos
#10
L
82-106
82
106
-24
71avg 78
H12/10
LNBP
Santos
#10
W
84-74
84
74
+10
81avg 78
H13/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
22-28
29-16
21-15
17-23
12-25
22-12
32-29
25-21
23-21
18-22
20-23
21-22
27-14
18-23
26-19
14-31
18-24
31-17
15-18
23-27
24-16
18-16
16-15
24-16
24-18
28-20
22-22
28-24
25-22
16-22
26-21
16-29
19-23
23-29
24-25
25-13
19-25
13-23
27-13
171.9Avg total
87.6Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)85.285.7170.9-0.643%
Season at home (16)86.487.2173.6-0.844%
Season away (14)83.784.1167.8-0.443%
Last 10 (10)87.684.3171.9+3.360%
Last 5 (5)88.083.8171.8+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)82.987.9170.7-5.029%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.683.1165.7-0.540%
vs Weaker (6)94.885.2180.0+9.783%
This opponent (Santos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.9+2.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.9+2.9
SantosAbejas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SantosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H21/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
34-54
34
54
-20
H22/09
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A26/09
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A27/09
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H02/10
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H03/10
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A07/10
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A08/10
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A12/10
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A13/10
LNBP
89.4Avg total
43.0Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.646.189.7-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.445.488.9-2.050%-
Last 30 away (16)43.846.790.5-2.938%-
Last 10 (10)43.046.489.4-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)45.642.688.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)42.848.090.8-5.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)46.144.290.2+1.950%-
vs Weaker (2)35.542.578.0-7.050%-
This opponent (Abejas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AbejasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Freseros
#13
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H21/09
LNBP
Freseros
#13
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H22/09
LNBP
Santos
#10
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H26/09
LNBP
Santos
#10
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H27/09
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A02/10
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A03/10
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A07/10
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A08/10
LNBP
Santos
#10
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H12/10
LNBP
Santos
#10
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H13/10
LNBP
87.4Avg total
43.1Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.643.285.8-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.644.787.3-2.144%-
Last 30 away (14)42.541.684.1+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)43.144.387.4-1.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.442.688.0+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)42.544.687.1-2.136%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.240.780.9-0.550%-
vs Weaker (6)46.744.290.8+2.567%-
This opponent (Santos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Santostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Santos: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.424.3
57.3%
54.1%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.3
31.6%
34.8%24.9
🏀 Free throws24.714.7
59.5%
71.7%14.7
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Abejastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Abejas: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.522.7
53.4%
54.1%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.3
36.5%
34.8%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.214.5
75.5%
71.7%14.5
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Santos
LWWLWWLWLL
Abejas
WLWWWLWLLW
#10
League position
#8
-0.4
Net rating
+4.8
97.5
Offensive rating
100.2
98.0
Defensive rating
95.4
53.5%
Effective FG%
53.9%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
11.5%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.6%
3-point %
36.5%
56.4%
Assist %
63.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 100.2Defence98.0 · 95.4Shooting53.5% · 53.9%3-point %31.6% · 36.5%Ball care11.5% · 13.4%Free throws0.36 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Santos   ■ Abejas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Santos wins
4
Abejas wins
DateGameScore
13/10/26Abejas v Santos84-74
12/10/26Abejas v Santos82-106
27/09/26Abejas v Santos92-78
26/09/26Abejas v Santos86-87
09/08/25Santos v Abejas90-75
08/08/25Santos v Abejas87-91
17/10/24Abejas v Santos105-98
16/10/24Abejas v Santos83-84
13/07/24Santos v Abejas98-91
12/07/24Santos v Abejas98-78
Santoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/26AAbejas74-84
12/10/26AAbejas106-82
08/10/26AMineros93-82
07/10/26AMineros75-96
03/10/26HFreseros108-87
02/10/26HFreseros96-81
27/09/26AAbejas78-92
26/09/26AAbejas87-86
22/09/26HLobos Plateados84-99
21/09/26HLobos Plateados86-95
Abejaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/26HSantos84-74
12/10/26HSantos82-106
08/10/26ACorrecaminos95-89
07/10/26ACorrecaminos98-76
03/10/26AMineros81-74
02/10/26AMineros78-90
27/09/26HSantos92-78
26/09/26HSantos86-87
22/09/26HFreseros83-89
21/09/26HFreseros97-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Santos
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL40%
HomeLLLWW43%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %40%43%38%
Points / game84.986.883.2
Allowed / game88.889.388.3
Point differential-3.9-2.5-5.1
Avg total173.7176.1171.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%29%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Abejas
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW43%
HomeLLWLW44%
AwayLLWWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %43%44%43%
Points / game85.286.483.7
Allowed / game85.787.284.1
Point differential-0.6-0.8-0.4
Avg total170.9173.6167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%25%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Soles2821775%85.174.6+10.4
2 Astros2820871%88.380.2+8.1
3 Fuerza Regia2819968%89.785.0+4.7
4 Panteras2819968%88.585.0+3.5
5 Lobos Plateados30201067%84.980.0+4.9
6 Dorados30191163%86.584.6+1.9
7 Mineros30161453%86.785.2+1.5
8 Abejas30131743%85.285.7-0.6
9 Diablos Rojos30121840%82.685.3-2.7
10 Santos30121840%84.988.8-3.9
11 Gambusinos30111937%80.183.8-3.7
12 El Calor de Cancun2891932%81.385.1-3.9
13 Freseros3092130%84.392.2-7.9
14 Correcaminos2842414%82.594.1-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Santos2518221984
Abejas2526202394
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