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Brescia vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 May 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 92-71
27-16 30-15 15-24 20-16
Position#4
Record20-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game84.2
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#16
Record8-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game89.5
ItalyLega ARound 30· PalaLeonessa
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Brescia v Sassari
10 May 2026
BRE92
SAS71
20 Oct 2024
BRE94
SAS87
10 Dec 2023
BRE110
SAS65
12 Feb 2023
BRE80
SAS93
18 May 2022
BRE85
SAS91
16 May 2022
BRE104
SAS97
23 Jan 2022
BRE97
SAS86
18 Apr 2021
BRE82
SAS94
29 Mar 2020
BRE v SAS
upcoming
30 Dec 2018
BRE71
SAS95
09 Dec 2017
BRE78
SAS79
05 Feb 2017
BRE56
SAS48
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
79-87
79
87
-8
H09/02
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
96-98
96
98
-2
A14/02
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
79-78
79
78
+1
A15/03
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A22/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
92-101
92
101
-9
H29/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
100-85
100
85
+15
H04/04
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
89-74
89
74
+15
A11/04
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A19/04
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
90-99
90
99
-9
H26/04
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A03/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
18-23
18-25
24-16
34-22
21-19
23-31
18-26
24-29
18-14
19-14
18-21
30-18
17-18
22-24
16-17
21-23
29-28
22-26
20-24
23-24
18-20
29-17
30-24
21-25
20-21
24-17
24-11
17-17
22-27
21-19
26-19
31-18
20-30
27-25
12-26
22-18
16-20
18-23
24-27
174.5Avg total
87.6Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)88.484.2172.6+4.271%
Season at home (13)92.186.2178.3+5.877%
Season away (15)85.382.4167.7+2.967%
Last 10 (10)87.686.9174.5+0.750%
Last 5 (5)89.085.6174.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.885.0157.8-12.250%
vs Similar (11)85.283.5168.7+1.655%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.184.3174.4+5.780%
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#9
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A10/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Tortona
#6
L
82-89
82
89
-7
H15/02
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
99-96 OT
99
96
+3
A07/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
99-102
99
102
-3
H15/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
87-99
87
99
-12
A22/03
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
103-108
103
108
-5
H29/03
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A04/04
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
90-91
90
91
-1
A12/04
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
79-98
79
98
-19
H19/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H03/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-11
17-14
17-23
13-20
17-23
16-19
27-22
22-25
31-20
21-19
14-28
24-23
31-23
26-28
23-24
19-27
27-22
16-33
19-24
25-20
22-26
37-26
20-24
24-32
28-20
14-25
24-16
12-19
20-24
22-27
25-12
23-28
18-33
16-19
26-27
19-19
13-14
24-16
15-30
21-20
177.0Avg total
85.9Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)85.989.5175.4-3.729%
Season at home (15)88.788.8177.5-0.140%
Season away (13)82.590.4172.9-7.815%
Last 10 (10)85.991.1177.0-5.220%
Last 5 (5)84.691.4176.0-6.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)83.789.6173.2-5.928%
vs Similar (11)84.386.3170.5-2.027%
vs Weaker (1)97.065.0162.0+32.0100%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -3.1-3.1
BresciaSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H09/02
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A14/02
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A15/03
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A22/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H29/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H04/04
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A11/04
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A19/04
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H26/04
Lega A
Tortona
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A03/05
Lega A
87.8Avg total
44.1Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.343.286.5+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.943.590.4+3.554%-
Last 30 away (17)40.543.183.6-2.541%-
Last 10 (10)44.143.787.8+0.430%-
Last 5 (5)42.044.086.0-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.546.080.5-11.525%-
vs Similar (11)43.043.386.3-0.336%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.942.588.3+3.460%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#9
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A10/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Tortona
#6
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H15/02
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A07/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H15/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A22/03
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H29/03
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A04/04
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A12/04
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H19/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H03/05
Lega A
88.0Avg total
43.8Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.442.582.9-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.742.585.2+0.250%-
Last 30 away (16)38.342.580.8-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)43.844.288.0-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.846.088.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.642.982.5-3.333%-
vs Similar (11)41.442.583.9-1.245%-
vs Weaker (1)43.035.078.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.2
50.5%
54.1%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.5
35.6%
34.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.818.5
81.1%
76.1%18.5
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.621.4
55.4%
54.1%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.1
33.2%
34.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws24.018.5
77.1%
76.1%18.5
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LLWWWLWWLL
Sassari
LLLLLLLWLW
#4
League position
#16
+0.3
Net rating
-6.1
101.6
Offensive rating
98.4
101.2
Defensive rating
104.5
51.6%
Effective FG%
53.3%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
12.0%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.38
35.6%
3-point %
33.2%
56.6%
Assist %
62.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence101.6 · 98.4Defence101.2 · 104.5Shooting51.6% · 53.3%3-point %35.6% · 33.2%Ball care12.0% · 16.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Brescia   ■ Sassari
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Brescia wins
6
Sassari wins
DateGameScore
04/01/26Sassari v Brescia93-86 OT
04/05/25Sassari v Brescia77-96
20/10/24Brescia v Sassari94-87
17/03/24Sassari v Brescia106-101 OT
10/12/23Brescia v Sassari110-65
12/02/23Brescia v Sassari80-93
02/01/23Sassari v Brescia92-94 OT
22/05/22Sassari v Brescia98-95
20/05/22Sassari v Brescia98-68
18/05/22Brescia v Sassari85-91
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/26ATortona80-88
26/04/26HTreviso90-99
19/04/26ATrieste86-82
11/04/26AVenezia89-74
04/04/26HBasket Napoli100-85
29/03/26HReggiana92-101
22/03/26ATrento85-77
15/03/26ACremona79-78
14/02/26AVarese96-98
09/02/26HVirtus Bologna79-87
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/26HVirtus Bologna73-80
19/04/26HVenezia79-98
12/04/26AVarese90-91
04/04/26ACantu78-80
29/03/26HTreviso103-108
22/03/26AOlimpia Milano87-99
15/03/26HReggiana99-102
07/03/26ATrento99-96 OT
15/02/26HTortona82-89
10/02/26ABasket Zaragoza69-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL71%
HomeWLLWL77%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %71%77%67%
Points / game88.492.185.3
Allowed / game84.286.282.4
Point differential+4.2+5.8+2.9
Avg total172.6178.3167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (1)67% (6)
Overtime %7%0%13%
Sassari
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeLLLLL40%
AwayLWLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %29%40%15%
Points / game85.988.782.5
Allowed / game89.588.890.4
Point differential-3.7-0.1-7.8
Avg total175.4177.5172.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)33% (6)33% (6)
Overtime %11%7%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2823582%83.476.0+7.4
2 Olimpia Milano2820871%87.180.3+6.8
3 Brescia2820871%88.484.2+4.2
4 Venezia2819968%91.086.1+4.9
5 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
6 Tortona28171161%87.485.7+1.7
7 Reggiana28151354%83.880.5+3.2
8 Varese28131546%84.587.3-2.8
9 Trieste28131546%83.987.1-3.3
10 Trento28121643%82.982.4+0.4
11 Udine28101836%81.583.3-1.8
12 Basket Napoli28101836%84.287.5-3.3
13 Cremona28101836%82.286.0-3.8
14 Treviso2891932%83.889.5-5.8
15 Cantu2992031%83.988.5-4.7
16 Sassari2882029%85.989.5-3.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2730152092
Sassari1615241671
← all games of the day
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