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Varese vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 91-90
24-20 27-22 12-25 28-23
Position#8
Record11-14
FormWWLWL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game87.2
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#16
Record8-17
FormWLLLL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game89.5
ItalyLega ARound 26· Palasport Lino Oldrini
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Varese v Sassari
12 Apr 2026
VAR91
SAS90
19 Apr 2025
VAR89
SAS84
05 Nov 2023
VAR90
SAS79
02 Oct 2022
VAR87
SAS81
08 May 2022
VAR96
SAS110
08 Sep 2021
VAR82
SAS92
06 Mar 2021
VAR89
SAS74
26 Sep 2019
VAR52
SAS74
30 Jan 2019
VAR69
SAS79
27 Jan 2019
VAR84
SAS73
19 Nov 2017
VAR61
SAS82
22 Jan 2017
VAR76
SAS83
26 Oct 2015
VAR70
SAS86
26 Dec 2014
VAR113
SAS117
23 Feb 2014
VAR91
SAS112
18 Nov 2012
VAR85
SAS84
01 Apr 2012
VAR85
SAS79
06 Jan 2011
VAR84
SAS91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
L
94-106
94
106
-12
no box
H18/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
84-74
84
74
+10
80avg 74
A26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
61-76
61
76
-15
53avg 74
H01/02
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 74
A08/02
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
98-96
98
96
+2
90avg 74
H14/02
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
92-81
92
81
+11
85avg 74
A08/03
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
91-86
91
86
+5
84avg 74
H15/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
75-104
75
104
-29
57avg 74
A22/03
Lega A
Tortona
#6
W
97-87
97
87
+10
90avg 74
H28/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
89-90
89
90
-1
76avg 74
A04/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-31
34-18
18-35
17-22
15-19
21-24
27-19
21-12
10-24
16-11
14-20
21-21
18-23
17-15
18-24
25-22
22-34
19-21
31-23
26-18
28-21
18-21
21-15
25-24
21-22
30-22
19-23
21-19
13-25
6-22
25-26
31-31
21-28
28-21
22-23
26-15
20-25
33-23
18-22
18-20
174.3Avg total
85.9Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)83.887.2170.9-3.444%
Season at home (12)80.984.2165.1-3.250%
Season away (13)86.489.9176.3-3.538%
Last 10 (10)85.988.4174.3-2.550%
Last 5 (5)88.889.6178.4-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)81.789.8171.4-8.138%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.984.4169.3+0.657%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Cremona
#12
W
104-86
104
86
+18
104avg 78
H01/02
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
76-81
76
81
-5
70avg 78
H04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Udine
#13
L
79-92
79
92
-13
64avg 78
A08/02
Lega A
Basket Zaragoza
#9
W
69-68
69
68
+1
67avg 78
A10/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Tortona
#6
L
82-89
82
89
-7
75avg 78
H15/02
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
99-96 OT
99
96
+3
89avg 78
A07/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
99-102
99
102
-3
95avg 78
H15/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
87-99
87
99
-12
85avg 78
A22/03
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
103-108
103
108
-5
104avg 78
H29/03
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
78-80
78
80
-2
79avg 78
A04/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
26-28
31-17
21-24
18-24
15-18
24-23
19-16
19-19
16-27
25-23
19-23
22-11
17-14
17-23
13-20
17-23
16-19
27-22
22-25
31-20
21-19
14-28
24-23
31-23
26-28
23-24
19-27
27-22
16-33
19-24
25-20
22-26
37-26
20-24
24-32
28-20
14-25
24-16
12-19
177.7Avg total
87.6Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)86.589.5176.0-3.032%
Season at home (13)90.788.8179.5+1.946%
Season away (12)81.990.3172.2-8.417%
Last 10 (10)87.690.1177.7-2.530%
Last 5 (5)93.297.0190.2-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)84.689.6174.2-5.031%
vs Similar ◀ (13)84.384.8169.1-0.538%
vs Weaker (1)97.065.0162.0+32.0100%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -3.1-3.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -3.1-3.1
VareseSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H18/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H01/02
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A08/02
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H14/02
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A08/03
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H15/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
19-47
19
47
-28
A22/03
Lega A
Tortona
#6
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H28/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A04/04
Lega A
86.5Avg total
41.5Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.643.483.9-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.942.181.9-2.236%-
Last 30 away (16)41.244.585.7-3.338%-
Last 10 (10)41.545.086.5-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)43.646.089.6-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)41.244.685.8-3.431%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.941.981.8-2.143%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#12
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H01/02
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Udine
#13
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A08/02
Lega A
Basket Zaragoza
#9
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A10/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Tortona
#6
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H15/02
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A07/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H15/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A22/03
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H29/03
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A04/04
Lega A
88.7Avg total
44.5Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.542.083.6-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.042.187.1+2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)38.141.980.0-3.933%-
Last 10 (10)44.544.288.7+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)50.648.499.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.143.183.2-3.031%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.241.284.4+1.954%-
vs Weaker (1)43.035.078.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.219.4
58.4%
54.1%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.711.0
33.6%
34.6%33.0
🏀 Free throws17.713.0
73.4%
76.1%13.0
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.221.1
58.3%
54.1%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.5
34.1%
34.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws25.319.6
77.5%
76.1%19.6
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWLWWWLLWL
Sassari
LLLLWLWLLW
#8
League position
#16
-1.8
Net rating
-3.0
96.4
Offensive rating
101.7
98.2
Defensive rating
104.7
54.5%
Effective FG%
55.4%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
14.6%
Turnover %
16.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.41
33.6%
3-point %
34.1%
57.6%
Assist %
59.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.4 · 101.7Defence98.2 · 104.7Shooting54.5% · 55.4%3-point %33.6% · 34.1%Ball care14.6% · 16.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Varese   ■ Sassari
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Varese wins
4
Sassari wins
DateGameScore
05/10/25Sassari v Varese102-105
19/04/25Varese v Sassari89-84
05/01/25Sassari v Varese81-86
21/04/24Sassari v Varese88-112
05/11/23Varese v Sassari90-79
18/03/23Sassari v Varese102-73
02/10/22Varese v Sassari87-81
08/05/22Varese v Sassari96-110
19/12/21Sassari v Varese104-99
14/09/21Sassari v Varese77-61
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26ATrieste89-90
28/03/26HTortona97-87
22/03/26ABasket Napoli75-104
15/03/26HTreviso91-86
08/03/26AUdine92-81
14/02/26HBrescia98-96
08/02/26ATrento78-84
01/02/26HReggiana61-76
26/01/26AOlimpia Milano84-74
18/01/26HVenezia94-106
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26ACantu78-80
29/03/26HTreviso103-108
22/03/26AOlimpia Milano87-99
15/03/26HReggiana99-102
07/03/26ATrento99-96 OT
15/02/26HTortona82-89
10/02/26ABasket Zaragoza69-68
08/02/26AUdine79-92
04/02/26HPeristeri76-81
01/02/26HCremona104-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL44%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayWLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game83.880.986.4
Allowed / game87.284.289.9
Point differential-3.4-3.2-3.5
Avg total170.9165.1176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%17%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sassari
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL32%
HomeLWLLL46%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %32%46%17%
Points / game86.590.781.9
Allowed / game89.588.890.3
Point differential-3.0+1.9-8.4
Avg total176.0179.5172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%23%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)33% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %12%8%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2419579%83.276.0+7.2
2 Brescia2519676%88.883.5+5.3
3 Olimpia Milano2517868%85.679.6+6.0
4 Venezia2517868%90.286.2+4.0
5 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
6 Tortona2415962%88.386.4+1.9
7 Trieste25131252%84.386.9-2.6
8 Reggiana25121348%83.081.0+2.1
9 Trento24111346%83.581.8+1.8
10 Varese25111444%83.887.2-3.4
11 Cremona26101638%82.385.2-2.8
12 Udine2591636%81.483.3-1.8
13 Basket Napoli2481633%83.787.0-3.3
14 Sassari2581732%86.589.5-3.0
15 Cantu2581732%83.988.3-4.4
16 Treviso2461825%83.590.6-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2427122891
Sassari2022252390
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