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Olimpia Milano vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 99-87
22-27 33-16 24-19 20-25
Position#2
Record15-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game79.1
vs
Position#16
Record8-14
FormLWLWL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game88.7
ItalyLega ARound 23· Unipol Forum
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Sassari
22 Mar 2026
MIL99
SAS87
06 Oct 2024
MIL100
SAS75
28 Jan 2024
MIL80
SAS65
29 May 2023
MIL80
SAS75
27 May 2023
MIL95
SAS72
07 May 2023
MIL79
SAS67
30 May 2022
MIL91
SAS82
28 May 2022
MIL88
SAS71
16 Feb 2022
MIL88
SAS68
31 Oct 2021
MIL79
SAS50
20 Dec 2020
MIL102
SAS86
24 Nov 2019
MIL90
SAS78
07 Apr 2019
MIL79
SAS93
04 Mar 2018
MIL116
SAS93
19 Feb 2017
MIL84
SAS74
13 Nov 2016
MIL86
SAS77
02 Jan 2016
MIL87
SAS50
10 Jun 2015
MIL81
SAS86
06 Jun 2015
MIL95
SAS88
31 May 2015
MIL84
SAS71
29 May 2015
MIL75
SAS84
29 Mar 2015
MIL97
SAS80
22 Feb 2015
MIL94
SAS101
05 Oct 2014
MIL88
SAS96
07 Jun 2014
MIL73
SAS76
01 Jun 2014
MIL83
SAS90
30 May 2014
MIL95
SAS84
04 May 2014
MIL88
SAS78
07 Feb 2014
MIL80
SAS82
02 Dec 2012
MIL80
SAS86
12 Feb 2012
MIL71
SAS81
20 May 2011
MIL73
SAS63
18 May 2011
MIL70
SAS71
27 Feb 2011
MIL88
SAS72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
77-76
77
76
+1
78avg 81
A06/02
Euroleague
Treviso
#14
W
76-71
76
71
+5
73avg 81
A09/02
Lega A
Dubai
#11
L
78-96
78
96
-18
70avg 81
H13/02
Euroleague
Cremona
#12
W
86-67
86
67
+19
82avg 81
A15/02
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
86-92
86
92
-6
82avg 81
A26/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#8
W
87-84
87
84
+3
90avg 81
H05/03
Euroleague
Cantu
#15
W
88-86
88
86
+2
74avg 81
H09/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
96-87
96
87
+9
94avg 81
H13/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
94-104
94
104
-10
82avg 81
A15/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#4
L
75-79
75
79
-4
64avg 81
A20/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
22-15
25-16
10-23
16-15
21-17
20-20
19-19
20-18
26-33
13-22
19-23
23-20
25-11
23-17
15-19
19-29
28-20
17-24
22-19
24-17
22-17
32-17
9-33
33-20
14-21
19-22
22-23
25-26
28-16
21-25
22-20
22-30
23-24
28-20
21-30
23-17
14-12
15-28
23-22
168.5Avg total
84.3Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)85.379.1164.4+6.268%
Season at home (11)84.280.2164.4+4.064%
Season away (11)86.578.0164.5+8.573%
Last 10 (10)84.384.2168.5+0.160%
Last 5 (5)88.088.0176.0+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.791.3174.0-8.733%
vs Similar (16)87.487.3174.8+0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)83.379.1162.4+4.282%
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#11
L
78-84
78
84
-6
no box
H18/01
Lega A
Petkim Spor
#11
L
70-82
70
82
-12
56avg 78
A21/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Trieste
#10
L
70-76
70
76
-6
65avg 78
A24/01
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
104-86
104
86
+18
104avg 78
H01/02
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
76-81
76
81
-5
70avg 78
H04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Udine
#13
L
79-92
79
92
-13
64avg 78
A08/02
Lega A
Basket Zaragoza
#9
W
69-68
69
68
+1
67avg 78
A10/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Tortona
#6
L
82-89
82
89
-7
75avg 78
H15/02
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
99-96 OT
99
96
+3
89avg 78
A07/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
99-102
99
102
-3
95avg 78
H15/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
20-19
20-22
21-23
25-20
18-27
14-19
13-16
16-20
13-6
20-18
21-32
26-17
26-28
31-17
21-24
18-24
15-18
24-23
19-16
19-19
16-27
25-23
19-23
22-11
17-14
17-23
13-20
17-23
16-19
27-22
22-25
31-20
21-19
14-28
24-23
31-23
26-28
23-24
19-27
168.2Avg total
82.6Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)86.188.7174.8-2.636%
Season at home (12)89.787.2176.8+2.550%
Season away (10)81.890.5172.3-8.720%
Last 10 (10)82.685.6168.2-3.030%
Last 5 (5)85.689.4175.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)83.689.1172.7-5.431%
vs Similar (12)85.084.0169.0+1.050%
vs Weaker (2)95.569.0164.5+26.5100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: -3.7-3.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: -3.7-3.7
Olimpia MilanoSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A06/02
Euroleague
Treviso
#14
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A09/02
Lega A
Dubai
#11
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H13/02
Euroleague
Cremona
#12
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A15/02
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A26/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#8
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H05/03
Euroleague
Cantu
#15
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H09/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H13/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A15/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#4
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A20/03
Euroleague
84.8Avg total
44.8Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.842.787.5+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.141.988.1+4.265%-
Last 30 away (13)43.243.686.8-0.538%-
Last 10 (10)44.840.084.8+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)45.640.085.6+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.346.089.3-2.733%-
vs Similar (16)45.744.890.4+0.944%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.038.782.7+5.373%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H18/01
Lega A
Petkim Spor
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A21/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Trieste
#10
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A24/01
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H01/02
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Udine
#13
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A08/02
Lega A
Basket Zaragoza
#9
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A10/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Tortona
#6
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H15/02
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A07/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H15/03
Lega A
81.2Avg total
41.0Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.841.982.7-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.942.586.4+1.444%-
Last 30 away (14)37.241.378.5-4.136%-
Last 10 (10)41.040.281.2+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.683.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.642.882.4-3.131%-
vs Similar (12)41.641.082.6+0.650%-
vs Weaker (2)45.041.086.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.917.0
60.9%
54.1%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.7
35.8%
34.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws13.09.9
76.2%
76.1%9.9
They take 55.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.8
55.6%
54.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.9
31.0%
34.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws23.418.0
76.9%
76.1%18.0
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LLWWWLWLWW
Sassari
LWLWLLWLLL
#2
League position
#16
+0.3
Net rating
-5.6
80.4
Offensive rating
96.1
80.1
Defensive rating
101.7
57.4%
Effective FG%
51.8%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.38
35.8%
3-point %
31.0%
68.5%
Assist %
58.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence80.4 · 96.1Defence80.1 · 101.7Shooting57.4% · 51.8%3-point %35.8% · 31.0%Ball care15.3% · 15.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Sassari
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Olimpia Milano wins
1
Sassari wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/26AFenerbahce75-79
15/03/26AVirtus Bologna94-104
13/03/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv96-87
09/03/26HCantu88-86
05/03/26HBarcelona87-84
26/02/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv86-92
15/02/26ACremona86-67
13/02/26HDubai78-96
09/02/26ATreviso76-71
06/02/26ALyon-Villeurbanne77-76
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26HReggiana99-102
07/03/26ATrento99-96 OT
15/02/26HTortona82-89
10/02/26ABasket Zaragoza69-68
08/02/26AUdine79-92
04/02/26HPeristeri76-81
01/02/26HCremona104-86
24/01/26ATrieste70-76
21/01/26APetkim Spor70-82
18/01/26HBasket Napoli78-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL68%
HomeWWLLW64%
AwayWWWWL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %68%64%73%
Points / game85.384.286.5
Allowed / game79.180.278.0
Point differential+6.2+4.0+8.5
Avg total164.4164.4164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%36%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)75% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sassari
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL36%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayWLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %36%50%20%
Points / game86.189.781.8
Allowed / game88.787.290.5
Point differential-2.6+2.5-8.7
Avg total174.8176.8172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %14%8%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2219386%83.975.2+8.6
2 Brescia2116576%88.383.4+4.9
3 Venezia2115671%91.685.7+5.9
4 Olimpia Milano2215768%85.379.1+6.2
5 Tortona2114767%87.986.3+1.6
6 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
7 Trieste21111052%84.587.3-2.8
8 Trento22101245%82.881.4+1.4
9 Varese22101245%83.386.3-3.0
10 Reggiana2191243%81.981.1+0.7
11 Udine2281436%82.183.1-1.0
12 Sassari2281436%86.188.7-2.6
13 Cremona2281436%81.784.9-3.1
14 Basket Napoli2171433%82.887.0-4.1
15 Cantu2261627%84.088.8-4.8
16 Treviso2131814%81.390.0-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2233242099
Sassari2716192587
← all games of the day
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