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SeaHorses Mikawa vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 87-85 (OT)
23-19 25-14 10-19 14-20 15-13
Position#4
Record20-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Position#1
Record28-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game93.9
Allowed / game77.6
JapanB League· Wing Arena Kariya
Other2025-26
Meetings · SeaHorses Mikawa v Nagasaki
11 Apr 2027
SEAH v NAGA
upcoming
09 Apr 2027
SEAH v NAGA
upcoming
28 Jan 2026
SEAH87
NAGA85
13 Apr 2025
SEAH83
NAGA78
12 Apr 2025
SEAH86
NAGA91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SeaHorses Mikawa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SeaHorses MikawaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMikawa
Date
Competition
Akita
#26
L
85-89
85
89
-4
83avg 78
A14/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
109-94
109
94
+15
111avg 78
A20/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
83-69
83
69
+14
72avg 78
A21/12
B League
Osaka
#17
W
80-70
80
70
+10
76avg 78
H24/12
B League
Alvark
#8
L
73-82
73
82
-9
65avg 78
H27/12
B League
Alvark
#8
L
79-82
79
82
-3
72avg 78
H28/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
65-86
65
86
-21
52avg 78
A03/01
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
75-65
75
65
+10
71avg 78
A04/01
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 78
A24/01
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
62-77
62
77
-15
45avg 78
A25/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
17-31
25-15
21-24
19-35
26-20
33-18
31-21
28-12
19-20
20-16
16-21
24-18
20-10
14-20
22-22
15-30
21-21
12-18
25-13
19-16
23-24
13-22
24-20
21-25
12-20
13-19
19-22
15-13
27-21
13-9
20-22
23-17
18-25
11-14
26-27
15-16
26-22
7-20
14-19
158.6Avg total
78.9Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)83.278.8162.0+4.562%
Season at home (18)84.878.1162.9+6.761%
Season away (14)81.379.6160.9+1.764%
Last 10 (10)78.979.7158.6-0.840%
Last 5 (5)71.878.6150.4-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)82.0107.0189.0-25.00%
vs Similar (15)81.981.1162.9+0.847%
vs Weaker (14)85.675.1160.6+10.586%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Shiga
#18
W
106-84
106
84
+22
104avg 81
A14/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
102-70
102
70
+32
98avg 81
H20/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
85-71
85
71
+14
77avg 81
H21/12
B League
Shimane
#14
L
93-101
93
101
-8
84avg 81
A24/12
B League
Chiba
#6
W
86-79
86
79
+7
77avg 81
H27/12
B League
Chiba
#6
W
93-77
93
77
+16
83avg 81
H28/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
100-85
100
85
+15
100avg 81
H03/01
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
91-78
91
78
+13
86avg 81
H04/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
95-70
95
70
+25
94avg 81
A24/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
87-95
87
95
-8
77avg 81
A25/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
33-15
22-22
25-30
24-23
26-17
24-19
28-11
18-20
32-18
18-21
17-12
25-27
27-26
16-22
25-26
22-15
22-23
19-18
23-23
19-19
18-18
19-20
37-20
33-19
21-20
30-22
16-24
25-30
30-21
16-13
20-14
30-18
24-15
22-19
19-18
23-26
17-23
27-26
20-20
174.8Avg total
93.8Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)93.977.6171.5+16.388%
Season at home (17)92.976.4169.4+16.594%
Season away (15)95.178.9174.0+16.180%
Last 10 (10)93.881.0174.8+12.880%
Last 5 (5)93.281.0174.2+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)93.777.3170.9+16.490%
This opponent (SeaHorses Mikawa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +3.2+3.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +3.2+3.2
SeaHorses MikawaNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SeaHorses MikawaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akita
#26
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A14/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A20/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A21/12
B League
Osaka
#17
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H24/12
B League
Alvark
#8
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H27/12
B League
Alvark
#8
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H28/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A03/01
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A04/01
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A24/01
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A25/01
B League
82.5Avg total
41.0Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.882.7+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.439.881.2+1.756%-
Last 30 away (14)42.342.184.4+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)41.041.582.5-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.879.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)41.042.083.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (15)41.142.683.7-1.547%-
vs Weaker (14)42.638.981.5+3.864%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#18
W
59-32
59
32
+27
A14/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H20/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H21/12
B League
Shimane
#14
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A24/12
B League
Chiba
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H27/12
B League
Chiba
#6
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H28/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H03/01
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H04/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A24/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A25/01
B League
90.5Avg total
49.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.339.888.1+8.480%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.240.187.4+7.182%-
Last 30 away (13)49.639.589.1+10.277%-
Last 10 (10)49.541.090.5+8.570%-
Last 5 (5)48.041.889.8+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)48.339.888.1+8.480%-
This opponent (SeaHorses Mikawa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
SeaHorses Mikawatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

SeaHorses Mikawa: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.917.1
50.4%
53.1%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.1
32.2%
33.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws16.713.6
81.4%
73.1%13.6
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 93.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.1
54.4%
53.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.213.4
38.1%
33.7%40.2
🏀 Free throws18.815.0
79.8%
73.1%15.0
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
SeaHorses Mikawa
LLWLLLWWWL
Nagasaki
LWWWWWLWWW
#4
League position
#1
-2.3
Net rating
+16.5
106.2
Offensive rating
114.7
108.5
Defensive rating
98.2
49.4%
Effective FG%
55.8%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
14.7%
Turnover %
14.8%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.2%
3-point %
38.1%
68.4%
Assist %
65.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 114.7Defence108.5 · 98.2Shooting49.4% · 55.8%3-point %32.2% · 38.1%Ball care14.7% · 14.8%Off. rebounds33.2% · 28.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ SeaHorses Mikawa   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
SeaHorses Mikawa wins
3
Nagasaki wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26ADiamond Dolphins62-77
24/01/26ADiamond Dolphins78-83
04/01/26ARyukyu75-65
03/01/26ARyukyu65-86
28/12/25HAlvark79-82
27/12/25HAlvark73-82
24/12/25HOsaka80-70
21/12/25ANeoPhoenix83-69
20/12/25ANeoPhoenix109-94
14/12/25AAkita85-89
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26ANeoPhoenix87-95
24/01/26ANeoPhoenix95-70
04/01/26HYokohama91-78
03/01/26HYokohama100-85
28/12/25HChiba93-77
27/12/25HChiba86-79
24/12/25AShimane93-101
21/12/25HSun Rockers Shibuya85-71
20/12/25HSun Rockers Shibuya102-70
14/12/25AShiga106-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SeaHorses Mikawa
B League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL62%
HomeWWWLL61%
AwayWLWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321814
Win %62%61%64%
Points / game83.284.881.3
Allowed / game78.878.179.6
Point differential+4.5+6.7+1.7
Avg total162.0162.9160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%44%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)40% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nagasaki
B League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL88%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWLWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %88%94%80%
Points / game93.992.995.1
Allowed / game77.676.478.9
Point differential+16.3+16.5+16.1
Avg total171.5169.4174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%71%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki3228488%93.977.6+16.3
2 Diamond Dolphins3225778%83.471.9+11.5
3 Utsunomiya Brex3225778%85.878.6+7.2
4 Chiba3224875%82.274.7+7.6
5 Hokkaido3224875%88.283.2+5.0
6 Gunma32211166%83.474.6+8.8
7 Alvark32211166%80.577.8+2.7
8 Ryukyu32201262%81.975.8+6.1
9 SeaHorses Mikawa32201262%83.278.8+4.5
10 Sendai32191359%79.478.2+1.2
11 Hiroshima D.32181456%85.182.7+2.4
12 Shimane32171553%82.981.4+1.6
13 Saga32171553%80.881.7-0.9
14 NeoPhoenix32141844%82.583.1-0.6
15 Osaka32131941%80.281.6-1.3
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles32131941%80.983.2-2.3
17 Sun Rockers Shibuya32131941%77.082.0-5.0
18 Koshigaya Alphas32122038%72.479.3-6.9
19 Yokohama32112134%77.782.3-4.7
20 Shiga32112134%80.587.1-6.5
21 Ibaraki Robots3292328%76.179.9-3.9
22 Altiri Chiba3292328%79.284.8-5.6
23 Toyama3292328%82.490.3-8.0
24 Kyoto3292328%70.880.3-9.6
25 Brave Thunders3282425%76.284.2-7.9
26 Akita3262619%72.584.3-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
SeaHorses Mikawa232510141587
Nagasaki191419201385
← all games of the day
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