PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Nagasaki vs SeaHorses Mikawa Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 81-76
25-25 19-15 25-23 12-13
Position#17
Record6-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#8
Record5-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game74.0
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center (Nagasaki)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nagasaki v SeaHorses Mikawa
17 Nov 2026
NAGA v SEAH
upcoming
15 Oct 2025
NAGA107
SEAH82
29 Oct 2023
NAGA81
SEAH76
28 Oct 2023
NAGA82
SEAH97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
SeaHorses Mikawa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Chiba
#9
W
91-82
91
82
+9
83avg 82
H08/10
B League
Chiba
#9
W
89-86
89
86
+3
90avg 82
H09/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
96-84
96
84
+12
90avg 82
A14/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
94-83
94
83
+11
91avg 82
A15/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
78-85
78
85
-7
65avg 82
A21/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
91-74
91
74
+17
89avg 82
A22/10
B League
Shimane
#12
W
77-73
77
73
+4
71avg 82
H25/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
82-97
82
97
-15
76avg 82
H28/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
23-24
14-18
27-24
26-18
18-23
25-23
20-22
25-25
17-26
28-15
26-18
32-20
24-21
16-27
22-15
29-26
22-14
13-25
14-20
30-23
24-18
16-23
21-10
23-11
19-25
22-16
13-21
20-31
22-17
13-23
27-26
170.2Avg total
87.2Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.283.0170.2+4.275%
Season at home (4)84.884.5169.2+0.275%
Season away (4)89.881.5171.2+8.275%
Last 10 (8)87.283.0170.2+4.275%
Last 5 (5)84.482.4166.8+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)84.884.5169.2+0.275%
vs Similar (2)84.579.5164.0+5.050%
vs Weaker (2)95.083.5178.5+11.5100%
This opponent (SeaHorses Mikawa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SeaHorses MikawaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMikawa
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#17
W
95-75
95
75
+20
no box
H06/05
B League
NeoPhoenix
#17
L
78-86
78
86
-8
no box
H07/05
B League
Shimane
#12
L
71-76
71
76
-5
58avg 81
A07/10
B League
Shimane
#12
W
80-74
80
74
+6
78avg 81
A08/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
85-87
85
87
-2
81avg 81
H14/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
82-93
82
93
-11
80avg 81
H15/10
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
84-65
84
65
+19
83avg 81
H21/10
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
78-56
78
56
+22
79avg 81
H22/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
90-59
90
59
+31
88avg 81
A25/10
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
97-82
97
82
+15
101avg 81
A28/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
26-12
35-30
14-15
17-24
26-14
19-31
16-17
19-20
16-21
19-24
17-11
22-13
30-25
11-18
17-18
16-21
23-25
26-19
20-22
14-19
26-27
15-23
27-24
23-17
19-18
26-12
16-18
22-8
32-10
12-18
12-20
22-9
14-13
30-16
24-21
31-20
17-22
23-13
26-27
159.3Avg total
84.0Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.474.0157.4+9.462%
Season at home (4)82.275.2157.5+7.050%
Season away (4)84.572.8157.2+11.875%
Last 10 (10)84.075.3159.3+8.760%
Last 5 (5)86.271.0157.2+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.481.9159.3-4.457%
vs Similar (14)79.980.3160.2-0.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)89.374.1163.4+15.289%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
NagasakiSeaHorses Mikawa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiba
#9
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H08/10
B League
Chiba
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H09/10
B League
Toyama
#24
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A14/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A15/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A21/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A22/10
B League
Shimane
#12
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H25/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H28/10
B League
89.9Avg total
47.6Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (8)47.642.289.9+5.475%-
Last 30 at home (4)44.541.285.8+3.275%-
Last 30 away (4)50.843.294.0+7.575%-
Last 10 (8)47.642.289.9+5.475%-
Last 5 (5)49.041.290.2+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)44.541.285.8+3.275%-
vs Similar (2)52.540.593.0+12.0100%-
vs Weaker (2)49.046.095.0+3.050%-
This opponent (SeaHorses Mikawa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SeaHorses MikawaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#17
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H06/05
B League
NeoPhoenix
#17
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H07/05
B League
Shimane
#12
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A07/10
B League
Shimane
#12
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A08/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H14/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H15/10
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H21/10
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
54-18
54
18
+36
H22/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
36-22
36
22
+14
A25/10
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A28/10
B League
79.1Avg total
43.5Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.338.378.6+2.067%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.337.276.6+2.162%-
Last 30 away (14)41.439.580.9+1.971%-
Last 10 (10)43.535.679.1+7.970%-
Last 5 (5)44.032.676.6+11.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.738.776.4-1.071%-
vs Similar (14)39.139.979.0-0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.235.479.7+8.889%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.5
55.2%
50.9%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.011.1
38.4%
33.5%33.4
🏀 Free throws17.011.9
69.9%
72.0%11.9
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
SeaHorses Mikawatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

SeaHorses Mikawa: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.6
58.1%
50.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.9
38.8%
33.5%32.6
🏀 Free throws14.810.8
72.9%
72.0%10.8
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/8 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LWWLWWWW
SeaHorses Mikawa
WWWWLLWLLW
#17
League position
#8
+5.4
Net rating
+13.0
109.6
Offensive rating
111.6
104.2
Defensive rating
98.6
56.2%
Effective FG%
58.2%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
45.2%
18.3%
Turnover %
19.8%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
38.4%
3-point %
38.8%
62.8%
Assist %
61.9%
75%
Form (last 8/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 111.6Defence104.2 · 98.6Shooting56.2% · 58.2%3-point %38.4% · 38.8%Ball care18.3% · 19.8%Off. rebounds24.6% · 27.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.24Form (last 8/10)75% · 60%
■ Nagasaki   ■ SeaHorses Mikawa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nagasaki wins
1
SeaHorses Mikawa wins
DateGameScore
28/10/23Nagasaki v SeaHorses Mikawa82-97
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23HSeaHorses Mikawa82-97
25/10/23HShimane77-73
22/10/23ASun Rockers Shibuya91-74
21/10/23ASun Rockers Shibuya78-85
15/10/23AToyama94-83
14/10/23AToyama96-84
09/10/23HChiba89-86
08/10/23HChiba91-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23ANagasaki97-82
25/10/23AToyama90-59
22/10/23HHokkaido78-56
21/10/23HHokkaido84-65
15/10/23HBrave Thunders82-93
14/10/23HBrave Thunders85-87
08/10/23AShimane80-74
07/10/23AShimane71-76
07/05/23HNeoPhoenix78-86
06/05/23HNeoPhoenix95-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Losses (last 8)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL75%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game87.284.889.8
Allowed / game83.084.581.5
Point differential+4.2+0.2+8.2
Avg total170.2169.2171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%0%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
SeaHorses Mikawa
B League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game83.482.284.5
Allowed / game74.075.272.8
Point differential+9.4+7.0+11.8
Avg total157.4157.5157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark98189%78.660.2+18.3
2 NeoPhoenix98189%88.078.1+9.9
3 Osaka87188%87.877.8+10.0
4 Brave Thunders87188%83.074.0+9.0
5 Diamond Dolphins87188%85.178.8+6.4
6 Shimane97278%81.075.9+5.1
7 Utsunomiya Brex86275%78.271.5+6.8
8 Nagasaki86275%87.283.0+4.2
9 Ryukyu86275%80.177.6+2.5
10 SeaHorses Mikawa85362%83.474.0+9.4
11 Chiba85362%85.483.4+2.0
12 Nagoya Fighting Eagles84450%71.975.2-3.4
13 Sendai94544%80.282.7-2.4
14 Yokohama94544%77.080.7-3.7
15 Saga83538%71.975.6-3.8
16 Gunma83538%77.184.4-7.2
17 Hiroshima D.93633%76.776.2+0.4
18 Sun Rockers Shibuya82625%76.680.1-3.5
19 Shinshu92722%78.385.6-7.2
20 Akita92722%71.880.0-8.2
21 Hokkaido91811%75.083.9-8.9
22 Kyoto91811%73.782.8-9.1
23 Ibaraki Robots8080%79.188.4-9.2
24 Toyama8080%71.187.8-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki2519251281
SeaHorses Mikawa2515231376
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.