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Shimane vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 101-93
27-25 26-27 22-16 26-25
Position#14
Record14-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game80.7
Shimane 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#1
Record23-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game75.9
JapanB League· Matsue General Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Shimane v Nagasaki
07 Apr 2027
SHIM v NAGA
upcoming
24 Dec 2025
SHIM101
NAGA93
09 Apr 2025
SHIM72
NAGA63
07 Feb 2024
SHIM92
NAGA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shimane winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShimane
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
W
115-83
115
83
+32
117avg 76
A12/11
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
89-91
89
91
-2
84avg 76
H15/11
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
81-97
81
97
-16
74avg 76
H16/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
93-92
93
92
+1
88avg 76
A06/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
92-99
92
99
-7
90avg 76
A07/12
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
81-57
81
57
+24
81avg 76
A10/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
71-73
71
73
-2
66avg 76
H13/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
96-88
96
88
+8
65avg 76
H14/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
L
68-79
68
79
-11
60avg 76
A19/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
72-69
72
69
+3
66avg 76
A20/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
28-26
30-15
31-19
22-20
23-28
13-23
31-20
19-28
17-23
26-28
19-18
25-23
21-29
22-20
25-20
22-25
20-31
19-31
31-12
22-9
19-24
20-11
20-13
18-17
20-20
18-12
15-24
24-20
22-29
21-10
29-29
15-23
20-21
18-14
15-21
19-21
26-15
19-14
8-19
168.6Avg total
85.8Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)83.080.7163.7+2.356%
Season at home (9)81.779.1160.8+2.656%
Season away (16)83.881.6165.4+2.156%
Last 10 (10)85.882.8168.6+3.050%
Last 5 (5)77.673.2150.8+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)78.488.2166.7-9.822%
vs Similar (11)81.078.8159.8+2.255%
vs Weaker (10)85.977.1163.0+8.880%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
86-80
86
80
+6
85avg 79
A12/11
B League
Akita
#26
W
91-70
91
70
+21
87avg 79
H15/11
B League
Akita
#26
W
97-61
97
61
+36
102avg 79
H16/11
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
91-58
91
58
+33
93avg 79
H06/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
99-76
99
76
+23
98avg 79
H07/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
105-74
105
74
+31
109avg 79
A10/12
B League
Shiga
#18
W
107-82
107
82
+25
105avg 79
A13/12
B League
Shiga
#18
W
106-84
106
84
+22
104avg 79
A14/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
102-70
102
70
+32
98avg 79
H20/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
85-71
85
71
+14
77avg 79
H21/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
23-21
30-15
12-18
26-20
23-17
23-17
19-16
27-23
21-15
28-15
21-8
19-14
28-13
22-5
22-26
31-18
27-19
20-18
21-21
18-11
33-21
23-15
31-27
25-23
28-26
23-19
31-14
26-17
33-15
22-22
25-30
24-23
26-17
24-19
28-11
18-20
32-18
18-21
17-12
169.5Avg total
96.9Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)94.475.9170.4+18.592%
Season at home (13)93.175.4168.5+17.792%
Season away (12)95.976.5172.4+19.492%
Last 10 (10)96.972.6169.5+24.3100%
Last 5 (5)101.076.2177.2+24.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.583.0151.5-14.50%
vs Similar (3)80.775.3156.0+5.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)94.475.9170.4+18.592%
This opponent (Shimane) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +9.2+9.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +6.7+6.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +4.4+4.4
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +9.2+9.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +6.7+6.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +4.4+4.4
ShimaneNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A12/11
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H15/11
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H16/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A06/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A07/12
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A10/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H13/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H14/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A19/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A20/12
B League
88.3Avg total
42.8Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.742.284.9+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (10)42.940.883.7+2.160%-
Last 30 away (20)42.642.985.5-0.350%-
Last 10 (10)42.845.588.3-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.880.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)42.645.488.0-2.933%-
vs Similar (11)41.239.780.9+1.564%-
vs Weaker (10)44.542.086.5+2.560%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A12/11
B League
Akita
#26
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H15/11
B League
Akita
#26
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H16/11
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H06/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H07/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
51-32
51
32
+19
A10/12
B League
Shiga
#18
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A13/12
B League
Shiga
#18
W
59-32
59
32
+27
A14/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H20/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H21/12
B League
88.6Avg total
50.9Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.739.586.2+7.273%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.139.184.2+5.975%-
Last 30 away (14)48.639.988.6+8.771%-
Last 10 (10)50.937.788.6+13.290%-
Last 5 (5)52.638.290.8+14.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.037.571.5-3.50%-
vs Similar (3)41.040.381.3+0.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)48.439.688.0+8.984%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.921.4
56.5%
53.1%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.6
33.1%
33.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws22.016.2
73.6%
73.1%16.2
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 96.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.0
55.9%
53.1%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.214.1
41.2%
33.7%42.3
🏀 Free throws17.114.0
81.9%
73.1%14.0
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shimane
WLWLWLWLLW
Nagasaki
WWWWWWWWWW
#14
League position
#1
+4.0
Net rating
+31.5
113.9
Offensive rating
121.8
109.8
Defensive rating
90.3
53.7%
Effective FG%
58.8%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
44.3%
16.1%
Turnover %
16.1%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.1%
3-point %
41.2%
72.7%
Assist %
73.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence113.9 · 121.8Defence109.8 · 90.3Shooting53.7% · 58.8%3-point %33.1% · 41.2%Ball care16.1% · 16.1%Off. rebounds30.8% · 29.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 100%
■ Shimane   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Shimane wins
5
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
09/04/25Shimane v Nagasaki72-63
02/02/25Nagasaki v Shimane96-74
01/02/25Nagasaki v Shimane69-78
18/12/24Nagasaki v Shimane77-73
31/03/24Nagasaki v Shimane81-85 OT
30/03/24Nagasaki v Shimane74-67
07/02/24Shimane v Nagasaki92-99
25/10/23Nagasaki v Shimane77-73
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25ABrave Thunders72-69
19/12/25ABrave Thunders68-79
14/12/25HHiroshima D.96-88
13/12/25HHiroshima D.71-73
10/12/25AKyoto81-57
07/12/25ANeoPhoenix92-99
06/12/25ANeoPhoenix93-92
16/11/25HHokkaido81-97
15/11/25HHokkaido89-91
12/11/25AToyama115-83
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HSun Rockers Shibuya85-71
20/12/25HSun Rockers Shibuya102-70
14/12/25AShiga106-84
13/12/25AShiga107-82
10/12/25AHiroshima D.105-74
07/12/25HKoshigaya Alphas99-76
06/12/25HKoshigaya Alphas91-58
16/11/25HAkita97-61
15/11/25HAkita91-70
12/11/25ANeoPhoenix86-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shimane
B League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW56%
HomeWLLLW56%
AwayWLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25916
Win %56%56%56%
Points / game83.081.783.8
Allowed / game80.779.181.6
Point differential+2.3+2.6+2.1
Avg total163.7160.8165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%22%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)33% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nagasaki
B League 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %92%92%92%
Points / game94.493.195.9
Allowed / game75.975.476.5
Point differential+18.5+17.7+19.4
Avg total170.4168.5172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+72%69%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki2523292%94.475.9+18.5
2 Chiba2521484%83.273.1+10.1
3 Diamond Dolphins2520580%83.271.3+12.0
4 Utsunomiya Brex2520580%85.478.1+7.3
5 Hokkaido2519676%87.483.5+3.9
6 SeaHorses Mikawa2518772%86.179.0+7.1
7 Ryukyu2517868%83.476.1+7.4
8 Gunma2516964%83.075.8+7.2
9 Alvark25151060%78.077.4+0.6
10 Hiroshima D.25141156%85.081.7+3.3
11 Shimane25141156%83.080.7+2.3
12 Sendai25141156%78.978.1+0.8
13 Nagoya Fighting Eagles25111444%80.581.8-1.4
14 Saga25111444%81.183.1-2.0
15 Shiga25111444%81.385.6-4.3
16 NeoPhoenix25101540%82.282.9-0.7
17 Osaka25101540%81.283.8-2.7
18 Yokohama2591636%77.682.0-4.4
19 Koshigaya Alphas2591636%72.678.6-6.1
20 Altiri Chiba2581732%81.685.6-4.1
21 Sun Rockers Shibuya2581732%76.483.1-6.6
22 Toyama2571828%83.291.1-7.8
23 Kyoto2561924%70.280.2-9.9
24 Ibaraki Robots2552020%73.580.6-7.0
25 Brave Thunders2552020%74.283.7-9.5
26 Akita2542116%69.583.4-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shimane27262226101
Nagasaki2527162593
← all games of the day
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