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Seattle vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 66-52
33-33 33-19
Position#108
Record4-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game71.2
Seattle 🏆
USA
vs
Position#125
Record6-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game62.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Seattle winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SeattleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#29
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H02/03
NCAA
Southern Utah
#297
W
62-39
62
39
+23
A07/03
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
W
70-65
70
65
+5
A09/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A14/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A15/03
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H04/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H09/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
94-67
94
67
+27
H13/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H16/11
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
77-69
77
69
+8
A22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
23-37
37-26
35-18
27-21
39-37
31-28
30-25
39-38
24-34
31-34
42-37
42-36
38-39
33-34
48-37
46-30
43-34
40-40
37-41
40-28
137.9Avg total
72.5Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.871.2153.0+10.680%
Season at home (4)83.071.8154.8+11.275%
Season away (1)77.069.0146.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)72.565.4137.9+7.170%
Last 5 (5)81.871.2153.0+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)62.069.0131.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)70.570.7141.2-0.345%
vs Weaker (13)75.263.5138.8+11.777%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#110
W
102-93 OT
102
93
+9
H01/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H07/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
48-83
48
83
-35
A04/11
NCAA
Texas A&M SA Jaguars
#619
W
114-55
114
55
+59
H06/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A08/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H13/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H15/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H19/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H22/11
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#676
W
93-41
93
41
+52
H25/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-41
44-36
29-27
32-37
29-40
19-43
53-25
61-30
39-26
32-53
38-26
42-43
47-30
30-37
32-22
31-27
28-26
37-30
51-27
42-14
143.0Avg total
77.4Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.462.4138.8+14.075%
Season at home (6)82.056.2138.2+25.8100%
Season away (2)59.581.0140.5-21.50%
Last 10 (10)77.465.6143.0+11.870%
Last 5 (5)75.656.4132.0+19.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.779.6149.3-9.929%
vs Similar ◀ (6)76.082.7158.7-6.717%
vs Weaker (17)78.866.9145.7+11.971%
This opponent (Seattle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +8.9+8.92nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: +2.0+2.0
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +8.9+8.92nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: +2.0+2.0
SeattleTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SeattleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#29
L
23-37
23
37
-14
H02/03
NCAA
Southern Utah
#297
W
35-18
35
18
+17
A07/03
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A09/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A14/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A15/03
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H04/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H09/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H13/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H16/11
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A22/11
NCAA
69.8Avg total
35.9Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.432.667.9+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.631.870.4+6.862%-
Last 30 away (14)31.733.465.1-1.750%-
Last 10 (10)35.933.969.8+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.637.679.2+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.033.063.0-3.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)32.435.367.6-2.936%-
vs Weaker (13)38.231.169.3+7.277%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#110
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H01/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H07/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A04/11
NCAA
Texas A&M SA Jaguars
#619
W
53-25
53
25
+28
H06/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A08/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H13/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H15/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H19/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H22/11
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#676
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H25/11
NCAA
66.9Avg total
37.9Scored
29.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.733.469.1+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.231.369.5+6.971%-
Last 30 away (13)32.436.168.5-3.723%-
Last 10 (10)37.929.066.9+8.980%-
Last 5 (5)39.226.265.4+13.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.937.170.0-4.314%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)32.237.369.5-5.217%-
vs Weaker (17)38.130.468.5+7.776%-
This opponent (Seattle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Seattle wins
0
Texas State wins
No previous meetings.
Seattlelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25AStanford77-69
16/11/25HIdaho State83-74
13/11/25HEast. Washington94-67
09/11/25HCal Poly71-73
04/11/25HDenver84-73
15/03/25AUtah Valley State55-68
14/03/25AAbilene Christian69-63
09/03/25AUtah Tech70-65
07/03/25ASouthern Utah62-39
02/03/25HGrand Canyon60-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/25HTexas Lutheran93-41
22/11/25HUALR65-56
19/11/25HAbilene Christian63-49
15/11/25HTexas Southern77-67
13/11/25HUTSA Roadrunners80-69
08/11/25ATulane71-79
06/11/25HTexas A&M SA Jaguars114-55
04/11/25ABowling Green48-83
07/03/25HOld Dominion61-64
01/03/25HJames Madison102-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Seattle
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %80%75%100%
Points / game81.883.077.0
Allowed / game71.271.869.0
Point differential+10.6+11.2+8.0
Avg total153.0154.8146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Texas State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game76.482.059.5
Allowed / game62.456.281.0
Point differential+14.0+25.8-21.5
Avg total138.8138.2140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%83%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Marys (CA)98189%82.263.8+18.4
2 Gonzaga87188%90.867.0+23.8
3 Loyola Marymount87188%82.464.6+17.8
4 Santa Clara76186%80.162.9+17.3
5 Seattle54180%81.871.2+10.6
6 San Francisco75271%79.067.3+11.7
7 Pacific75271%75.366.6+8.7
8 Portland85362%83.579.1+4.4
9 San Diego Toreros63350%74.072.2+1.8
10 Pepperdine73443%78.376.6+1.7
11 Oregon State73443%71.775.1-3.4
12 Washington State83538%80.481.8-1.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State86275%76.462.4+14.0
2 South Alabama75271%74.667.9+6.7
3 Marshall75271%81.679.7+1.9
4 James Madison85362%78.175.6+2.5
5 Southern Miss74357%80.771.7+9.0
6 Coastal Carolina74357%76.068.0+8.0
7 Arkansas State74357%78.682.1-3.6
8 Troy95456%88.081.7+6.3
9 Appalachian State84450%69.670.0-0.4
10 Old Dominion83538%75.176.5-1.4
11 Georgia Southern83538%79.883.1-3.4
12 Louisiana Monroe71614%71.082.0-11.0
13 Louisiana Lafayette71614%58.775.9-17.1
14 Georgia State81712%63.174.9-11.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Seattle333366
Texas State331952
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