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Texas State vs Old Dominion Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 61-64
29-27 32-37
Position#207
Record16-15
FormLWWLW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game73.6
vs
Position#261
Record13-19
FormLLLWW
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game72.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Texas State v Old Dominion
31 Jan 2026
TEXA81
OLD 64
06 Mar 2025
TEXA61
OLD 64
05 Mar 2024
TEXA92
OLD 83
11 Feb 2023
TEXA68
OLD 70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Old Dominion winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
61-70
61
70
-9
H31/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H01/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A06/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A08/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
72-60
72
60
+12
A14/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
65-70 OT
65
70
-5
A15/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H20/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
H22/02
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H26/02
NCAA
James Madison
#110
W
102-93 OT
102
93
+9
H01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
27-33
34-37
33-39
41-46
35-38
29-37
26-33
44-52
34-27
38-33
29-32
31-28
40-25
40-38
36-36
46-46
37-36
32-38
33-41
44-36
151.7Avg total
75.0Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)76.773.6150.3+3.152%
Season at home (16)80.871.8152.6+9.169%
Season away (15)72.375.6147.9-3.333%
Last 10 (10)75.076.7151.7-1.740%
Last 5 (5)81.878.4160.2+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.679.4152.0-6.929%
vs Similar (11)74.576.2150.7-1.645%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.270.3152.5+11.867%
This opponent (Old Dominion) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Old DominionUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#110
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A01/02
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H06/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A08/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
L
75-97
75
97
-22
A14/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A15/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H20/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H23/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
66-83
66
83
-17
A26/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
67-49
67
49
+18
H06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
25-36
29-32
38-35
37-29
26-29
44-47
25-41
50-56
27-42
48-36
26-41
51-40
35-43
35-33
38-39
28-44
27-24
34-35
29-23
38-26
142.1Avg total
69.0Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)68.572.2140.7-3.741%
Season at home (19)69.568.6138.1+0.942%
Season away (13)67.177.5144.5-10.438%
Last 10 (10)69.073.1142.1-4.130%
Last 5 (5)68.269.6137.8-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)67.274.2141.4-7.027%
vs Similar (10)69.473.3142.7-3.940%
vs Weaker (3)70.360.0130.3+10.3100%
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: -5.7-5.72nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +1.6+1.6
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: -5.7-5.72nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +1.6+1.6
Texas StateOld Dominion
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H31/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H01/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A06/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A14/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A15/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H20/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H26/02
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H01/03
NCAA
67.0Avg total
33.0Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.034.970.0+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.833.871.6+4.060%-
Last 30 away (15)32.336.168.3-3.820%-
Last 10 (10)33.034.067.0-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)35.034.069.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.137.769.9-5.614%-
vs Similar (11)32.535.467.8-2.927%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.132.972.0+6.267%-
This opponent (Old Dominion) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Old DominionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#110
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A01/02
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H06/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A08/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A14/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A15/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H20/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H23/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A26/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A01/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H06/03
NCAA
64.9Avg total
29.6Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.433.563.9-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (18)31.231.863.0-0.644%-
Last 30 away (12)29.136.265.2-7.125%-
Last 10 (10)29.635.364.9-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)31.034.065.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)29.935.465.3-5.520%-
vs Similar (10)29.533.763.2-4.230%-
vs Weaker (3)34.030.364.3+3.7100%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Texas State wins
2
Old Dominion wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HJames Madison102-93 OT
26/02/25HTroy69-74
22/02/25HSouth Alabama93-92 OT
20/02/25HLouisiana Monroe80-63
15/02/25ASouth Alabama65-70 OT
14/02/25ALouisiana Monroe72-60
08/02/25ACentral Michigan70-85
06/02/25AOld Dominion64-75
01/02/25HArkansas State74-85
31/01/25HLouisiana Lafayette61-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/25HLouisiana Lafayette67-49
01/03/25ACoastal Carolina61-59
26/02/25AMarshall66-83
23/02/25HGeorgia State70-76
20/02/25HMarshall77-81
15/02/25AGeorgia Southern75-78
14/02/25AGeorgia State75-97
08/02/25AEastern Michigan70-76
06/02/25HTexas State75-64
01/02/25AJames Madison54-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW52%
HomeLWWLW69%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %52%69%33%
Points / game76.780.872.3
Allowed / game73.671.875.6
Point differential+3.1+9.1-3.3
Avg total150.3152.6147.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %16%19%13%
Old Dominion
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW41%
HomeWWLLW42%
AwayLLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321913
Win %41%42%38%
Points / game68.569.567.1
Allowed / game72.268.677.5
Point differential-3.7+0.9-10.4
Avg total140.7138.1144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%26%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)43% (7)75% (4)
Overtime %6%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State3122971%79.469.2+10.1
2 South Alabama31211068%72.964.3+8.7
3 Troy30201067%73.065.3+7.7
4 James Madison31201165%74.470.2+4.1
5 Marshall31191261%75.771.4+4.3
6 Appalachian State30171357%68.263.6+4.6
7 Texas State31161552%76.773.6+3.1
8 Georgia Southern33171652%74.275.9-1.7
9 Georgia State32141844%75.178.2-3.2
10 Old Dominion32131941%68.572.2-3.7
11 Louisiana Lafayette33122136%65.473.0-7.6
12 Southern Miss33112233%71.376.0-4.7
13 Coastal Carolina32102231%66.871.1-4.3
14 Louisiana Monroe3272522%68.975.5-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State293261
Old Dominion273764
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