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Texas State vs Texas Southern Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 77-67
47-30 30-37
Position#125
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Position#281
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game67.7
Allowed / game98.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Texas State v Texas Southern
19 Dec 2026
TEXA v TEXA
upcoming
15 Nov 2025
TEXA77
TEXA67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas Southern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#83
L
65-70 OT
65
70
-5
A15/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H20/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
H22/02
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H26/02
NCAA
James Madison
#110
W
102-93 OT
102
93
+9
H01/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H07/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
48-83
48
83
-35
A04/11
NCAA
Texas A&M SA Jaguars
#619
W
114-55
114
55
+59
H06/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A08/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-32
31-28
40-25
40-38
36-36
46-46
37-36
32-38
33-41
44-36
29-27
32-37
29-40
19-43
53-25
61-30
39-26
32-53
38-26
42-43
152.5Avg total
78.3Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.271.5149.8+6.850%
Season at home (2)97.062.0159.0+35.0100%
Season away (2)59.581.0140.5-21.50%
Last 10 (10)78.374.2152.5+4.150%
Last 5 (5)74.870.0144.8+4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.779.6149.3-9.929%
vs Similar (9)75.276.2151.4-1.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)81.469.5150.9+11.964%
This opponent (Texas Southern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas SouthernUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Univ.
#106
L
57-66
57
66
-9
A18/02
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#370
W
79-38
79
38
+41
H22/02
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
81-56
81
56
+25
H25/02
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
L
52-67
52
67
-15
A01/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#321
W
75-59
75
59
+16
A04/03
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
80-68
80
68
+12
A08/03
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H13/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
43-98
43
98
-55
A04/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
70-104
70
104
-34
A07/11
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-38
31-28
35-16
44-22
36-23
45-33
21-31
31-36
38-24
37-35
40-35
40-33
29-41
50-43
27-46
16-52
36-41
34-63
39-44
43-38
143.9Avg total
70.6Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)67.798.3166.0-30.70%
Season at home (1)90.093.0183.0-3.00%
Season away (2)56.5101.0157.5-44.50%
Last 10 (10)70.673.3143.9-2.740%
Last 5 (5)72.489.4161.8-17.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)62.487.0149.4-24.60%
vs Similar (11)69.374.4143.6-5.136%
vs Weaker (11)79.362.6141.9+16.682%
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: -1.2-1.2
Texas StateTexas Southern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#83
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A15/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H20/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H26/02
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H01/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H07/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A04/11
NCAA
Texas A&M SA Jaguars
#619
W
53-25
53
25
+28
H06/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A08/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H13/11
NCAA
67.7Avg total
36.3Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.433.869.2+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.232.470.6+5.969%-
Last 30 away (14)32.135.567.6-3.421%-
Last 10 (10)36.331.467.7+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)37.628.866.4+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.937.170.0-4.314%-
vs Similar (9)32.334.967.2-2.633%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)38.631.570.1+7.171%-
This opponent (Texas Southern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas SouthernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Univ.
#106
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A18/02
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#370
W
35-16
35
16
+19
H22/02
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H25/02
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
L
21-31
21
31
-10
A01/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#321
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A04/03
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A08/03
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H13/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A04/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A07/11
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H13/11
NCAA
66.6Avg total
32.7Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.833.365.1-1.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.030.563.5+2.550%-
Last 30 away (16)30.835.866.6-5.125%-
Last 10 (10)32.733.966.6-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)34.241.475.6-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)29.638.968.4-9.30%-
vs Similar (11)30.436.066.4-5.618%-
vs Weaker (11)34.027.061.0+7.073%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Texas State wins
0
Texas Southern wins
DateGameScore
01/12/24Texas Southern v Texas State59-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/25HUTSA Roadrunners80-69
08/11/25ATulane71-79
06/11/25HTexas A&M SA Jaguars114-55
04/11/25ABowling Green48-83
07/03/25HOld Dominion61-64
01/03/25HJames Madison102-93 OT
26/02/25HTroy69-74
22/02/25HSouth Alabama93-92 OT
20/02/25HLouisiana Monroe80-63
15/02/25ASouth Alabama65-70 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/25HSamford90-93 OT
07/11/25ATexas A&M70-104
04/11/25AGonzaga43-98
13/03/25HAlabama State79-84
08/03/25APrairie View A&M80-68
04/03/25AAlcorn State75-59
01/03/25AJackson State52-67
25/02/25HArkansas-Pine Bluff81-56
22/02/25HMiss. Valley St.79-38
18/02/25ASouthern Univ.57-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game78.297.059.5
Allowed / game71.562.081.0
Point differential+6.8+35.0-21.5
Avg total149.8159.0140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Texas Southern
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game67.790.056.5
Allowed / game98.393.0101.0
Point differential-30.7-3.0-44.5
Avg total166.0183.0157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %33%100%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Alabama54180%75.866.0+9.8
2 Troy43175%87.872.0+15.8
3 Georgia Southern43175%93.888.8+5.0
4 Marshall43175%84.284.5-0.2
5 Old Dominion32167%75.065.7+9.3
6 Arkansas State32167%80.086.7-6.7
7 Coastal Carolina42250%82.865.0+17.8
8 Appalachian State42250%71.864.2+7.5
9 Texas State42250%78.271.5+6.8
10 James Madison42250%74.273.2+1.0
11 Southern Miss41325%80.275.0+5.2
12 Georgia State41325%66.066.0+0.0
13 Louisiana Monroe41325%74.078.8-4.8
14 Louisiana Lafayette41325%61.570.2-8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grambling St.43175%75.272.2+3.0
2 Alabama State32167%88.381.0+7.3
3 Alabama A&M Bulldogs32167%66.374.0-7.7
4 Prairie View A&M42250%79.575.0+4.5
5 Southern Univ.31233%91.386.7+4.7
6 Bethune-Cookman31233%84.085.3-1.3
7 Miss. Valley St.51420%68.688.8-20.2
8 Alcorn State5050%64.887.0-22.2
9 Arkansas-Pine Bluff5050%68.094.0-26.0
10 Florida A&M3030%66.397.0-30.7
11 Texas Southern3030%67.798.3-30.7
12 Jackson State2020%62.5109.5-47.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State473077
Texas Southern303767
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