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Sebastiani Rieti vs Cividale Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 21 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record7-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game72.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Position#12
Record5-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game74.1
ItalySerie A2Round 31· PalaSojourner
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sebastiani Rieti v Cividale
21 Mar 2027
SEBA v CIVI
upcoming
15 May 2026
SEBA78
CIVI90
13 May 2026
SEBA73
CIVI82
09 Jan 2026
SEBA82
CIVI54
25 Jan 2025
SEBA90
CIVI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sebastiani Rieti win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cividale win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
L
78-90
78
90
-12
65avg 71
H15/05
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
81-73
81
73
+8
69avg 71
H27/09
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
79-64
79
64
+15
78avg 71
A04/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
W
78-70
78
70
+8
72avg 71
H11/10
Serie A2
Forli
#9
L
71-93
71
93
-22
55avg 71
A18/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
W
70-63
70
63
+7
73avg 71
H21/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
73-96
73
96
-23
57avg 71
A25/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
73-65
73
65
+8
66avg 71
H01/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
68-63
68
63
+5
no box
A08/11
Serie A2
Montecatini
#19
W
80-62
80
62
+18
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
18-27
21-13
23-26
27-18
17-19
19-21
18-15
24-15
26-17
16-15
13-17
24-23
21-15
12-12
21-20
11-25
33-30
15-13
12-25
18-17
18-20
13-15
21-11
25-32
14-28
14-10
20-26
21-16
15-23
14-7
23-19
17-10
11-17
24-15
16-21
23-13
12-13
23-19
22-17
149.0Avg total
75.1Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.872.1146.9+2.778%
Season at home (5)76.466.6143.0+9.8100%
Season away (4)72.879.0151.8-6.250%
Last 10 (10)75.173.9149.0+1.270%
Last 5 (5)72.869.8142.6+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.281.0157.2-4.840%
vs Similar (14)75.576.4151.9-0.943%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)81.074.6155.6+6.491%
This opponent (Cividale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CividaleItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCividale
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
76-87
76
87
-11
66avg 64
A28/05
Serie A2
Forli
#9
L
68-85
68
85
-17
6avg 64
H26/09
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
86-83
86
83
+3
16avg 64
A04/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
59-76
59
76
-17
51avg 64
A11/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
62-77
62
77
-15
64avg 64
H17/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
L
68-76
68
76
-8
45avg 64
A21/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#20
W
78-60
78
60
+18
74avg 64
H24/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
74-64
74
64
+10
57avg 64
A30/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
W
70-67
70
67
+3
no box
H07/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
W
81-79
81
79
+2
no box
A11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
22-24
12-24
17-18
15-27
8-21
23-16
22-21
23-19
19-23
18-22
26-19
25-23
10-15
17-19
7-19
13-31
16-20
14-14
19-12
21-22
18-20
15-13
14-21
15-17
23-12
17-15
23-16
16-18
21-13
23-21
14-12
14-15
22-25
13-17
21-10
15-26
23-18
23-22
20-13
147.6Avg total
72.2Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)71.874.1145.9-2.356%
Season at home (4)69.572.2141.8-2.850%
Season away (5)73.675.6149.2-2.060%
Last 10 (10)72.275.4147.6-3.250%
Last 5 (5)74.269.2143.4+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)65.081.0146.0-16.00%
vs Similar (18)75.976.4152.3-0.550%
vs Weaker (10)81.867.7149.5+14.180%
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +2.2+2.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +2.2+2.2
Sebastiani RietiCividale
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H15/05
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H27/09
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A04/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H11/10
Serie A2
Forli
#9
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A18/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H21/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A25/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H01/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A08/11
Serie A2
Montecatini
#19
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H11/11
Serie A2
79.3Avg total
39.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.539.077.6-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.538.678.1+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)37.539.577.0-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)39.140.279.3-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)34.837.872.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.045.285.2-5.240%-
vs Similar (14)37.741.178.8-3.421%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)38.933.672.5+5.373%-
This opponent (Cividale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CividaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A28/05
Serie A2
Forli
#9
L
23-48
23
48
-25
H26/09
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A04/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A11/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H17/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A21/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#20
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H24/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A30/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H07/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A11/11
Serie A2
77.4Avg total
36.4Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.338.676.9-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.936.173.0+0.856%-
Last 30 away (14)39.941.581.4-1.636%-
Last 10 (10)36.441.077.4-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.274.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)26.049.575.5-23.50%-
vs Similar (18)38.539.978.4-1.439%-
vs Weaker (10)40.434.274.6+6.270%-
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.715.2
49.5%
51.2%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.1
29.6%
34.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws25.517.7
69.4%
71.0%17.7
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cividaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cividale: 57.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.314.3
52.4%
51.2%28.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.86.1
28.0%
34.5%18.3
🏀 Free throws15.111.0
72.8%
71.0%11.0
They take 49.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sebastiani Rieti
WWWLWLWWWL
Cividale
WWWWLLLWLL
#4
League position
#12
-1.7
Net rating
-15.8
94.2
Offensive rating
85.5
95.9
Defensive rating
101.3
47.0%
Effective FG%
47.8%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
10.9%
Turnover %
11.6%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.6%
3-point %
28.0%
49.8%
Assist %
69.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence94.2 · 85.5Defence95.9 · 101.3Shooting47.0% · 47.8%3-point %29.6% · 28.0%Ball care10.9% · 11.6%Free throws0.42 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Sebastiani Rieti   ■ Cividale
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Sebastiani Rieti wins
4
Cividale wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HMontecatini80-62
08/11/26ARuvo Di Puglia68-63
01/11/26HJuVi Cremona73-65
25/10/26ARimini73-96
21/10/26HBrindisi70-63
18/10/26AForli71-93
11/10/26HPistoia78-70
04/10/26AVigevano79-64
27/09/26HCaserta81-73
15/05/26HCividale78-90
Cividalelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AMestre81-79
07/11/26HSassari70-67
30/10/26ACento74-64
24/10/26HUrania Milano78-60
21/10/26APesaro68-76
17/10/26HAvellino Basket62-77
11/10/26ABasket Torino59-76
04/10/26ARuvo Di Puglia86-83
26/09/26HForli68-85
28/05/26ARimini76-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%100%50%
Points / game74.876.472.8
Allowed / game72.166.679.0
Point differential+2.7+9.8-6.2
Avg total146.9143.0151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cividale
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW56%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%50%60%
Points / game71.869.573.6
Allowed / game74.172.275.6
Point differential-2.3-2.8-2.0
Avg total145.9141.8149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno98189%81.269.7+11.6
2 Avellino Basket98189%82.274.7+7.6
3 Fortitudo Bologna97278%79.474.3+5.1
4 Sebastiani Rieti97278%74.872.1+2.7
5 Rimini96367%80.471.8+8.7
6 Brindisi96367%77.473.9+3.6
7 Basket Torino85362%72.872.2+0.5
8 Pistoia106460%77.669.1+8.5
9 Forli95456%82.377.6+4.8
10 Pesaro95456%81.079.9+1.1
11 Sassari95456%77.276.4+0.8
12 Cividale95456%71.874.1-2.3
13 Mestre94544%75.076.4-1.4
14 Vigevano93633%76.381.8-5.4
15 Caserta82625%78.182.6-4.5
16 JuVi Cremona92722%75.377.9-2.6
17 Ruvo Di Puglia92722%74.481.7-7.2
18 Cento92722%72.882.2-9.4
19 Montecatini91811%68.182.3-14.2
20 Urania Milano101910%74.682.7-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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