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Sebastiani Rieti vs Rimini Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record7-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game73.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
5.9/10
Above normal
Position#4
Record7-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game72.5
ItalySerie A2Round 21· PalaSojourner
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sebastiani Rieti v Rimini
17 Jan 2027
SEBA v RIMI
upcoming
21 Jan 2026
SEBA83
RIMI65
26 Mar 2025
SEBA69
RIMI82
06 May 2024
SEBA73
RIMI69
04 May 2024
SEBA74
RIMI73
18 Feb 2024
SEBA93
RIMI86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sebastiani Rieti win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Rimini win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Caserta
#15
W
81-73
81
73
+8
69avg 70
H27/09
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
79-64
79
64
+15
78avg 70
A04/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
W
78-70
78
70
+8
72avg 70
H11/10
Serie A2
Forli
#9
L
71-93
71
93
-22
55avg 70
A18/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#5
W
70-63
70
63
+7
73avg 70
H21/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#4
L
73-96
73
96
-23
57avg 70
A25/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
73-65
73
65
+8
66avg 70
H01/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
68-63
68
63
+5
no box
A08/11
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
80-62
80
62
+18
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
78-89
78
89
-11
no box
A15/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
17-19
19-21
18-15
24-15
26-17
16-15
13-17
24-23
21-15
12-12
21-20
11-25
33-30
15-13
12-25
18-17
18-20
13-15
21-11
25-32
14-28
14-10
20-26
21-16
15-23
14-7
23-19
17-10
11-17
24-15
16-21
23-13
12-13
23-19
22-17
14-29
20-22
18-19
26-19
148.9Avg total
75.1Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.173.8148.9+1.370%
Season at home (5)76.466.6143.0+9.8100%
Season away (5)73.881.0154.8-7.240%
Last 10 (10)75.173.8148.9+1.370%
Last 5 (5)74.475.0149.4-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)76.582.3158.8-5.833%
vs Similar (15)75.976.2152.1-0.347%
vs Weaker (9)80.474.0154.4+6.489%
This opponent (Rimini) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiminiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRimini
Date
Competition
Montecatini
#20
W
84-59
84
59
+25
79avg 76
A27/09
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
72-73
72
73
-1
21avg 76
H04/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
66-78
66
78
-12
62avg 76
A11/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#11
W
91-76
91
76
+15
99avg 76
H18/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#10
W
84-67
84
67
+17
97avg 76
A21/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#6
W
96-73
96
73
+23
96avg 76
H25/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
A30/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
76-68
76
68
+8
no box
H08/11
Serie A2
Forli
#9
L
70-81
70
81
-11
no box
A11/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
W
88-79
88
79
+9
no box
H15/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
14-18
28-13
22-7
23-23
22-11
11-21
16-18
16-28
19-4
21-22
10-24
20-16
26-23
29-17
16-20
22-20
28-16
16-14
18-17
32-25
28-14
10-14
26-20
24-16
25-12
17-22
19-21
23-24
14-18
22-12
17-14
24-21
21-15
12-21
13-24
19-19
23-16
21-12
25-32
153.7Avg total
81.2Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.272.5153.7+8.770%
Season at home (5)84.673.8158.4+10.880%
Season away (5)77.871.2149.0+6.660%
Last 10 (10)81.272.5153.7+8.770%
Last 5 (5)83.074.4157.4+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)81.781.1162.8+0.744%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.275.5161.7+10.783%
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +7.3+7.3Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.5-1.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +7.3+7.3Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.5-1.5
Sebastiani RietiRimini
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caserta
#15
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H27/09
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A04/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H11/10
Serie A2
Forli
#9
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A18/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H21/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#4
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A25/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H01/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A08/11
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H11/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A15/11
Serie A2
79.3Avg total
39.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.539.778.2-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.538.678.1+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)37.540.778.2-3.327%-
Last 10 (10)39.140.279.3-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)34.440.675.0-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)39.046.285.2-7.233%-
vs Similar (15)38.140.878.9-2.727%-
vs Weaker (9)38.833.472.2+5.367%-
This opponent (Rimini) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiminiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montecatini
#20
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A27/09
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H04/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A11/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#11
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H18/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#10
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A21/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#6
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H25/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
W
49-28
49
28
+21
A30/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H08/11
Serie A2
Forli
#9
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A11/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H15/11
Serie A2
80.3Avg total
44.3Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.941.084.9+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.541.587.0+4.153%-
Last 30 away (15)42.340.582.8+1.753%-
Last 10 (10)44.336.080.3+8.380%-
Last 5 (5)46.636.082.6+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)42.941.884.7+1.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.439.885.2+5.667%-
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.715.2
49.5%
51.2%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.1
29.6%
34.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws25.517.7
69.4%
71.0%17.7
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Riminitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rimini: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.1
50.1%
51.2%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.8
37.0%
34.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.312.5
72.3%
71.0%12.5
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sebastiani Rieti
LWWWLWLWWW
Rimini
WLWWWWWLLW
#6
League position
#4
-1.7
Net rating
+6.2
94.2
Offensive rating
101.1
95.9
Defensive rating
94.9
47.0%
Effective FG%
52.3%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
10.9%
Turnover %
9.5%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.6%
3-point %
37.0%
49.8%
Assist %
51.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence94.2 · 101.1Defence95.9 · 94.9Shooting47.0% · 52.3%3-point %29.6% · 37.0%Ball care10.9% · 9.5%Free throws0.42 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Sebastiani Rieti   ■ Rimini
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Sebastiani Rieti wins
2
Rimini wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AFortitudo Bologna78-89
11/11/26HMontecatini80-62
08/11/26ARuvo Di Puglia68-63
01/11/26HJuVi Cremona73-65
25/10/26ARimini73-96
21/10/26HBrindisi70-63
18/10/26AForli71-93
11/10/26HPistoia78-70
04/10/26AVigevano79-64
27/09/26HCaserta81-73
Riminilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HCividale88-79
11/11/26AForli70-81
08/11/26HVigevano76-68
30/10/26AUrania Milano85-71
25/10/26HSebastiani Rieti96-73
21/10/26ASassari84-67
18/10/26HMestre91-76
11/10/26AFortitudo Bologna66-78
04/10/26HAvellino Basket72-73
27/09/26AMontecatini84-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL70%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%100%40%
Points / game75.176.473.8
Allowed / game73.866.681.0
Point differential+1.3+9.8-7.2
Avg total148.9143.0154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rimini
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW70%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game81.284.677.8
Allowed / game72.573.871.2
Point differential+8.7+10.8+6.6
Avg total153.7158.4149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%40%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno109190%80.968.5+12.4
2 Avellino Basket109190%80.873.9+6.9
3 Fortitudo Bologna108280%80.474.7+5.7
4 Rimini107370%81.272.5+8.7
5 Brindisi107370%78.274.4+3.8
6 Sebastiani Rieti107370%75.173.8+1.3
7 Basket Torino96367%72.972.0+0.9
8 Pistoia106460%77.669.1+8.5
9 Forli105550%82.078.9+3.1
10 Sassari105550%76.275.6+0.6
11 Mestre105550%76.076.1-0.1
12 Pesaro105550%79.679.7-0.1
13 Cividale105550%72.575.5-3.0
14 Vigevano104640%76.580.3-3.8
15 Caserta93633%79.682.2-2.7
16 JuVi Cremona102820%75.178.6-3.5
17 Ruvo Di Puglia102820%74.080.9-6.9
18 Cento102820%73.482.5-9.1
19 Urania Milano101910%74.682.7-8.1
20 Montecatini101910%67.181.9-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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