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Sencur vs MZT Skopje Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 73-75
13-17 21-21 17-25 22-12
Position#12
Record3-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game77.3
Sencur
vs
MZT Skopje 🏆
Position#6
Record4-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game77.4
EuropeABA League 2Round 8· Sportna dvorana Sencur
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sencur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
MZT Skopje winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SencurLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
LTH Castings
#7
W
79-72
79
72
+7
70avg 64
H15/12
Liga Nova KBM
Spartak Subotica
#1
L
76-109
76
109
-33
69avg 64
A19/12
ABA League 2
GKK Sibenka
#14
W
78-57
78
57
+21
74avg 64
H21/12
ABA League 2
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
no box
A26/12
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
W
74-73
74
73
+1
61avg 64
H05/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#16
L
68-77
68
77
-9
60avg 64
H09/01
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
82-61
82
61
+21
76avg 64
H13/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#16
W
75-68
75
68
+7
70avg 64
A16/01
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#3
L
50-76
50
76
-26
30avg 64
A19/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
84-89
84
89
-5
70avg 64
H24/01
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
17-20
16-18
24-17
19-23
19-26
18-34
20-26
26-16
17-22
17-9
18-10
16-23
20-11
17-27
24-16
18-17
20-20
15-18
21-18
23-18
12-22
21-17
12-20
26-12
21-16
20-12
15-21
28-14
15-23
15-15
17-16
14-20
12-20
7-16
17-20
17-25
32-25
16-21
19-18
154.1Avg total
76.1Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.777.3150.0-4.643%
Season at home (4)75.274.0149.2+1.250%
Season away (3)69.381.7151.0-12.333%
Last 10 (10)76.178.0154.1-1.950%
Last 5 (5)71.874.2146.0-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)68.280.3148.6-12.122%
vs Similar (19)78.880.2159.1-1.447%
vs Weaker (2)82.066.0148.0+16.0100%
This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MZT SkopjeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSkopje
Date
Competition
TFT Skopje
#6
W
68-63
68
63
+5
60avg 74
A22/11
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
W
91-58
91
58
+33
94avg 74
H25/11
Prva Liga
Vardar
#10
W
96-61
96
61
+35
96avg 74
A02/12
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
79-72
79
72
+7
72avg 74
H07/12
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
W
79-65
79
65
+14
71avg 74
H13/12
Prva Liga
Podgorica
#5
W
78-74
78
74
+4
70avg 74
A20/12
ABA League 2
Spartak Subotica
#1
L
81-86
81
86
-5
71avg 74
H22/12
ABA League 2
Gostivar
#9
W
78-69
78
69
+9
75avg 74
A26/12
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
66-72
66
72
-6
59avg 74
H20/01
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
91-95
91
95
-4
79avg 74
H25/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
20-18
18-17
15-11
17-16
16-12
32-5
26-25
34-12
24-23
23-16
15-10
19-10
16-16
23-32
21-14
26-11
14-21
15-11
24-22
18-21
21-8
18-22
21-23
19-22
18-20
18-27
26-17
25-10
19-18
16-19
18-22
14-24
19-15
20-16
13-17
22-29
18-21
19-26
32-19
152.2Avg total
80.7Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.777.4159.1+4.357%
Season at home (4)77.581.5159.0-4.025%
Season away (3)87.372.0159.3+15.3100%
Last 10 (10)80.771.5152.2+9.270%
Last 5 (5)78.879.2158.0-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)81.086.0167.0-5.00%
vs Similar (4)77.272.2149.5+5.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)82.670.9153.6+11.784%
This opponent (Sencur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +3.1+3.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +3.1+3.1
SencurMZT Skopje
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LTH Castings
#7
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H15/12
Liga Nova KBM
Spartak Subotica
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A19/12
ABA League 2
GKK Sibenka
#14
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H21/12
ABA League 2
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A26/12
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H05/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#16
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H09/01
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H13/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#16
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A16/01
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#3
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A19/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H24/01
Liga Nova KBM
78.4Avg total
39.4Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.640.378.8-1.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.938.879.7+2.262%-
Last 30 away (14)35.942.077.9-6.143%-
Last 10 (10)39.439.078.4+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.079.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.041.479.4-3.433%-
vs Similar (19)38.340.478.7-2.158%-
vs Weaker (2)43.533.577.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MZT SkopjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TFT Skopje
#6
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A22/11
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H25/11
Prva Liga
Vardar
#10
W
58-35
58
35
+23
A02/12
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H07/12
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H13/12
Prva Liga
Podgorica
#5
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A20/12
ABA League 2
Spartak Subotica
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H22/12
ABA League 2
Gostivar
#9
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A26/12
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H20/01
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H25/01
Prva Liga
73.8Avg total
39.4Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.935.475.2+4.573%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.535.673.1+1.965%-
Last 30 away (13)43.035.178.1+7.985%-
Last 10 (10)39.434.473.8+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.676.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.042.079.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (4)35.032.567.5+2.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)40.835.676.3+5.276%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.0
53.3%
53.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.96.6
25.5%
31.5%19.8
🏀 Free throws17.913.0
72.6%
73.7%13.0
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
MZT Skopjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

MZT Skopje: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.723.5
59.2%
53.6%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.1
27.5%
31.5%21.3
🏀 Free throws15.811.8
74.7%
73.7%11.8
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sencur
LLWWLWLWLW
MZT Skopje
LLWLWWWWWW
#12
League position
#6
-3.5
Net rating
+12.7
99.1
Offensive rating
107.8
102.6
Defensive rating
95.2
47.2%
Effective FG%
52.1%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
45.8%
16.0%
Turnover %
17.8%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
25.5%
3-point %
27.5%
56.0%
Assist %
52.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence99.1 · 107.8Defence102.6 · 95.2Shooting47.2% · 52.1%3-point %25.5% · 27.5%Ball care16.0% · 17.8%Off. rebounds26.5% · 32.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Sencur   ■ MZT Skopje
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sencur wins
0
MZT Skopje wins
No previous meetings.
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24HKK Krka Novo mesto84-89
19/01/24AHelios Domzale50-76
16/01/24AHelios Domzale75-68
13/01/24HTajfun Sentjur82-61
09/01/24HHelios Domzale68-77
05/01/24HRogaska74-73
26/12/23ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek95-98 OT
21/12/23HGKK Sibenka78-57
19/12/23ASpartak Subotica76-109
15/12/23HLTH Castings79-72
MZT Skopjelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/24HRabotnicki91-95
20/01/24HPelister66-72
26/12/23AGostivar78-69
22/12/23HSpartak Subotica81-86
20/12/23APodgorica78-74
13/12/23HKozuv79-65
07/12/23HFMP Akademija79-72
02/12/23AVardar96-61
25/11/23HCair 203091-58
22/11/23ATFT Skopje68-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sencur
ABA League 2 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW43%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game72.775.269.3
Allowed / game77.374.081.7
Point differential-4.6+1.2-12.3
Avg total150.0149.2151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %14%25%0%
MZT Skopje
ABA League 2 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%25%100%
Points / game81.777.587.3
Allowed / game77.481.572.0
Point differential+4.3-4.0+15.3
Avg total159.1159.0159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zlatibor87188%89.476.6+12.8
2 Siroki Brijeg87188%79.972.2+7.6
3 Vojvodina Novi Sad1210283%81.173.4+7.7
4 Spartak Subotica86275%82.275.9+6.4
5 Podgorica85362%79.276.0+3.2
6 MZT Skopje74357%81.777.4+4.3
7 KK Bosna42250%78.078.5-0.5
8 Sencur73443%72.777.3-4.6
9 Borac Banja Luka83538%69.570.8-1.2
10 Helios Domzale83538%75.978.8-2.9
11 Sutjeska83538%77.081.4-4.4
12 Cedevita Junior83538%74.981.6-6.8
13 Pelister72529%74.779.9-5.1
14 GKK Sibenka71614%73.683.4-9.9
15 TFT Skopje81712%71.078.4-7.4
16 Perspektiva Ilirija2020%75.580.0-4.5
17 Spars Ilidza2020%79.095.5-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sencur1321172273
MZT Skopje1721251275
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