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Sencur vs LTH Castings Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 79-72
22-17 17-20 16-18 24-17
Position#5
Record5-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game81.1
Sencur 🏆
Slovenia
vs
LTH Castings
Slovenia
Position#7
Record7-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game86.8
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 12· Sportna dvorana Sencur
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sencur v LTH Castings
12 Nov 2024
SENC75
LTH 81
18 Oct 2024
SENC77
LTH 64
03 Apr 2024
SENC85
LTH 74
15 Dec 2023
SENC79
LTH 72
10 Oct 2022
SENC72
LTH 65
19 Apr 2017
SENC77
LTH 80
26 Nov 2016
SENC92
LTH 72
26 Apr 2016
SENC78
LTH 65
27 Feb 2016
SENC79
LTH 47
16 Dec 2015
SENC91
LTH 68
17 Apr 2010
SENC80
LTH 88
09 Jan 2010
SENC50
LTH 89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sencur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LTH Castings winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
Rogaska
#8
L
67-84
67
84
-17
55avg 64
A28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
82-71
82
71
+11
74avg 64
A04/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
W
82-70
82
70
+12
75avg 64
H10/11
Liga Nova KBM
Sutjeska
#10
L
74-89
74
89
-15
60avg 64
H13/11
ABA League 2
Borac Banja Luka
#8
L
56-65
56
65
-9
36avg 64
A15/11
ABA League 2
Podgorica
#5
W
71-68
71
68
+3
59avg 64
H17/11
ABA League 2
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
61-83
61
83
-22
48avg 64
A24/11
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
L
94-95 OT
94
95
-1
no box
H27/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
92-75
92
75
+17
85avg 64
H01/12
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
70-84
70
84
-14
50avg 64
A09/12
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
12-20
22-11
19-28
18-15
22-24
25-15
17-17
25-11
16-19
17-21
24-19
24-18
13-24
14-26
23-21
15-19
20-14
11-10
10-22
22-19
23-22
19-7
7-20
19-16
12-23
14-21
16-23
25-19
15-23
29-20
19-26
24-19
26-21
23-14
19-21
20-25
21-13
14-21
15-25
153.3Avg total
74.9Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.581.1159.5-2.645%
Season at home (5)89.477.2166.6+12.280%
Season away (6)69.384.3153.7-15.017%
Last 10 (10)74.978.4153.3-3.540%
Last 5 (5)77.681.0158.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.173.6143.7-3.444%
vs Similar ◀ (15)79.782.9162.6-3.340%
vs Weaker (6)82.772.5155.2+10.283%
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LTH CastingsSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCastings
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
90-97
90
97
-7
81avg 81
H25/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#36
W
100-44
100
44
+56
no box
A30/10
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#11
W
88-82
88
82
+6
70avg 81
A04/11
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija mladi
#14
W
84-65
84
65
+19
no box
A07/11
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
103-97 OT
103
97
+6
no box
H11/11
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija mladi
#14
W
97-81
97
81
+16
no box
H14/11
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
96-85
96
85
+11
96avg 81
A18/11
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
73-82
73
82
-9
62avg 81
H24/11
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
91-88
91
88
+3
89avg 81
A04/12
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
W
93-84
93
84
+9
82avg 81
H09/12
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
25-32
20-22
23-25
28-12
26-10
23-12
23-10
24-28
24-28
23-11
17-15
28-20
13-21
20-11
23-13
19-18
14-10
20-19
26-32
21-22
29-12
32-19
15-28
21-20
28-25
25-19
22-21
13-29
19-13
20-17
21-23
25-21
24-25
24-26
18-16
14-12
29-24
23-22
27-26
172.0Avg total
91.5Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)90.286.8177.0+3.464%
Season at home (6)94.387.8182.2+6.567%
Season away (5)85.285.6170.8-0.460%
Last 10 (10)91.580.5172.0+11.080%
Last 5 (5)90.084.0174.0+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)75.585.5161.0-9.931%
vs Similar ◀ (14)88.084.8172.8+3.264%
vs Weaker (2)90.573.0163.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
SencurLTH Castings
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rogaska
#8
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A04/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H10/11
Liga Nova KBM
Sutjeska
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H13/11
ABA League 2
Borac Banja Luka
#8
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A15/11
ABA League 2
Podgorica
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H17/11
ABA League 2
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A24/11
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H27/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H01/12
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A09/12
Liga Nova KBM
77.5Avg total
38.6Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.778.8-0.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.738.179.8+3.767%-
Last 30 away (15)36.341.477.7-5.140%-
Last 10 (10)38.638.977.5-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.081.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.439.677.0-2.144%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.641.780.3-3.147%-
vs Weaker (6)42.535.277.7+7.383%-
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LTH CastingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H25/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#36
W
54-22
54
22
+32
A30/10
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#11
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A04/11
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija mladi
#14
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A07/11
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H11/11
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija mladi
#14
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H14/11
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A18/11
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H24/11
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A04/12
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H09/12
Liga Nova KBM
84.6Avg total
44.6Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.080.9+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.738.978.5+0.853%-
Last 30 away (15)42.141.283.3+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)44.640.084.6+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)44.640.685.2+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.940.877.8-3.938%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.040.983.9+2.157%-
vs Weaker (2)45.537.583.0+8.050%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.5
52.2%
52.9%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.57.8
28.4%
33.0%23.4
🏀 Free throws14.28.7
61.3%
74.0%8.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
LTH Castingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LTH Castings: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.121.8
58.8%
52.9%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.0
36.6%
33.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.614.7
65.0%
74.0%14.7
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sencur
LWLLWLLWWL
LTH Castings
WWLWWWWWWL
#5
League position
#7
-4.1
Net rating
+4.3
100.5
Offensive rating
114.4
104.6
Defensive rating
110.2
48.2%
Effective FG%
57.1%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
15.7%
Turnover %
17.3%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.35
28.4%
3-point %
36.6%
51.2%
Assist %
57.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence100.5 · 114.4Defence104.6 · 110.2Shooting48.2% · 57.1%3-point %28.4% · 36.6%Ball care15.7% · 17.3%Off. rebounds29.3% · 30.7%Free throws0.21 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Sencur   ■ LTH Castings
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Sencur wins
5
LTH Castings wins
DateGameScore
16/10/23LTH Castings v Sencur108-72
13/03/23LTH Castings v Sencur81-74
16/12/22LTH Castings v Sencur85-86
10/10/22Sencur v LTH Castings72-65
19/04/17Sencur v LTH Castings77-80
25/03/17LTH Castings v Sencur62-92
25/02/17LTH Castings v Sencur75-73 OT
26/11/16Sencur v LTH Castings92-72
26/04/16Sencur v LTH Castings78-65
02/04/16LTH Castings v Sencur86-78
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23APerspektiva Ilirija70-84
01/12/23HKK Triglav Kranj92-75
27/11/23HPolzela94-95 OT
24/11/23AKK Krka Novo mesto61-83
17/11/23HPodgorica71-68
15/11/23ABorac Banja Luka56-65
13/11/23HSutjeska74-89
10/11/23HHelios Domzale82-70
04/11/23ATajfun Sentjur82-71
28/10/23ARogaska67-84
LTH Castingslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23HRogaska93-84
04/12/23ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek91-88
24/11/23HTajfun Sentjur73-82
18/11/23APerspektiva Ilirija96-85
14/11/23HCedevita Olimpija mladi97-81
11/11/23HKK Triglav Kranj103-97 OT
07/11/23ACedevita Olimpija mladi84-65
04/11/23APolzela88-82
30/10/23AGorica100-44
25/10/23HKK Krka Novo mesto90-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL45%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%80%17%
Points / game78.589.469.3
Allowed / game81.177.284.3
Point differential-2.6+12.2-15.0
Avg total159.5166.6153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%60%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %9%20%0%
LTH Castings
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game90.294.385.2
Allowed / game86.887.885.6
Point differential+3.4+6.5-0.4
Avg total177.0182.2170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto1210283%91.676.5+15.1
2 Helios Domzale129375%82.475.2+7.2
3 LTH Castings117464%90.286.8+3.4
4 Perspektiva Ilirija127558%76.975.4+1.5
5 Rogaska115645%72.775.1-2.4
6 Sencur115645%78.581.1-2.6
7 Tajfun Sentjur115645%76.682.7-6.1
8 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek113827%82.885.4-2.5
9 Polzela113827%80.688.7-8.1
10 KK Triglav Kranj123925%71.878.8-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sencur2217162479
LTH Castings1720181772
← all games of the day
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