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Helios Domzale vs Sencur Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 76-50
20-14 20-12 16-7 20-17
Position#3
Record11-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game76.9
vs
Position#5
Record8-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game79.7
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 16· Sportna dvorana Domzale
Other2023-24
Meetings · Helios Domzale v Sencur
13 Feb 2027
HDO v SENC
upcoming
12 May 2026
HDO75
SENC82
04 May 2026
HDO70
SENC76
17 Jan 2026
HDO101
SENC88
30 Sep 2024
HDO79
SENC57
30 Mar 2024
HDO94
SENC69
19 Jan 2024
HDO76
SENC50
16 Jan 2024
HDO68
SENC75
13 Oct 2023
HDO71
SENC76
25 Mar 2023
HDO73
SENC75
12 Feb 2023
HDO76
SENC57
30 Apr 2022
HDO73
SENC75
04 Jan 2022
HDO75
SENC65
08 May 2021
HDO68
SENC66
04 May 2021
HDO70
SENC62
31 Mar 2021
HDO74
SENC69
16 Dec 2020
HDO74
SENC77
05 Oct 2019
HDO66
SENC57
17 Nov 2018
HDO59
SENC64
07 Apr 2018
HDO87
SENC84
10 Feb 2018
HDO82
SENC85
14 Jan 2017
HDO79
SENC71
14 Nov 2015
HDO63
SENC69
01 Apr 2015
HDO88
SENC92
18 Oct 2014
HDO76
SENC74
02 Dec 2009
HDO82
SENC67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Helios Domzale winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sencur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Helios DomzaleSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDomzale
Date
Competition
Polzela
#11
W
78-66
78
66
+12
71avg 73
H04/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
72-81
72
81
-9
64avg 73
A11/12
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
85-67
85
67
+18
88avg 73
H15/12
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatibor
#3
L
72-89
72
89
-17
60avg 73
H18/12
ABA League 2
Siroki Brijeg
#4
L
63-82
63
82
-19
52avg 73
A20/12
ABA League 2
LTH Castings
#7
L
78-79
78
79
-1
59avg 73
A26/12
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
93-85
93
85
+8
84avg 73
H06/01
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#10
W
77-68
77
68
+9
76avg 73
A09/01
Slovenian Cup
Rogaska
#8
W
99-87
99
87
+12
96avg 73
A12/01
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#10
L
68-75
68
75
-7
58avg 73
H16/01
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
18-25
27-10
18-16
25-19
16-18
15-26
16-18
22-20
13-16
26-17
24-14
23-26
15-23
18-22
16-18
15-27
18-14
19-17
11-24
16-23
10-14
32-23
20-19
23-16
15-23
37-24
18-22
18-23
22-12
17-21
20-12
17-25
21-22
22-33
39-7
14-28
23-15
15-15
16-17
156.4Avg total
78.5Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.976.9160.8+7.173%
Season at home (8)83.872.8156.5+11.088%
Season away (7)84.181.6165.7+2.657%
Last 10 (10)78.577.9156.4+0.650%
Last 5 (5)83.078.8161.8+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.684.2163.8-4.640%
vs Similar (9)76.281.9158.1-5.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)83.175.7158.8+7.373%
This opponent (Sencur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
92-75
92
75
+17
85avg 65
H01/12
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
70-84
70
84
-14
50avg 65
A09/12
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
W
79-72
79
72
+7
70avg 65
H15/12
Liga Nova KBM
Spartak Subotica
#1
L
76-109
76
109
-33
69avg 65
A19/12
ABA League 2
GKK Sibenka
#14
W
78-57
78
57
+21
74avg 65
H21/12
ABA League 2
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
no box
A26/12
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
W
74-73
74
73
+1
61avg 65
H05/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#16
L
68-77
68
77
-9
60avg 65
H09/01
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
82-61
82
61
+21
76avg 65
H13/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#16
W
75-68
75
68
+7
70avg 65
A16/01
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
26-21
23-14
19-21
20-25
21-13
14-21
15-25
22-17
17-20
16-18
24-17
19-23
19-26
18-34
20-26
26-16
17-22
17-9
18-10
16-23
20-11
17-27
24-16
18-17
20-20
15-18
21-18
23-18
12-22
21-17
12-20
26-12
21-16
20-12
15-21
28-14
15-23
15-15
17-16
156.3Avg total
78.9Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.579.7159.3-0.253%
Season at home (8)85.274.0159.2+11.288%
Season away (7)73.086.3159.3-13.314%
Last 10 (10)78.977.4156.3+1.560%
Last 5 (5)78.875.4154.2+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)68.679.7148.3-11.129%
vs Similar (21)79.280.4159.7-1.248%
vs Weaker (2)82.066.0148.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
Helios DomzaleSencur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Helios DomzaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Polzela
#11
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H04/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A11/12
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H15/12
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatibor
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H18/12
ABA League 2
Siroki Brijeg
#4
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A20/12
ABA League 2
LTH Castings
#7
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A26/12
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H06/01
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#10
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A09/01
Slovenian Cup
Rogaska
#8
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A12/01
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H16/01
Slovenian Cup
76.3Avg total
35.9Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.040.478.5-2.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.740.379.0-1.727%-
Last 30 away (15)37.440.577.9-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)35.940.476.3-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)35.840.276.0-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.441.683.0-0.240%-
vs Similar (9)37.943.881.7-5.911%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)37.338.075.3-0.733%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H01/12
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A09/12
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H15/12
Liga Nova KBM
Spartak Subotica
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A19/12
ABA League 2
GKK Sibenka
#14
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H21/12
ABA League 2
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A26/12
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H05/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#16
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H09/01
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H13/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#16
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A16/01
Slovenian Cup
78.8Avg total
41.0Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.978.8-1.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.238.478.6+1.962%-
Last 30 away (14)37.441.779.1-4.450%-
Last 10 (10)41.037.878.8+3.280%-
Last 5 (5)39.835.275.0+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)38.140.478.6-2.343%-
vs Similar (21)38.740.479.1-1.757%-
vs Weaker (2)43.533.577.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Helios Domzaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helios Domzale: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.117.7
53.5%
52.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.310.2
32.6%
33.0%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.711.6
69.5%
74.0%11.6
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.6
54.1%
52.9%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.0
27.5%
33.0%21.0
🏀 Free throws17.312.5
72.3%
74.0%12.5
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Helios Domzale
LWWWLLLWLW
Sencur
WWLWLWLWLW
#3
League position
#5
+0.8
Net rating
-0.3
106.6
Offensive rating
101.4
105.8
Defensive rating
101.6
51.2%
Effective FG%
48.9%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
18.1%
Turnover %
16.9%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.6%
3-point %
27.5%
62.7%
Assist %
59.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 101.4Defence105.8 · 101.6Shooting51.2% · 48.9%3-point %32.6% · 27.5%Ball care18.1% · 16.9%Off. rebounds31.8% · 27.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Helios Domzale   ■ Sencur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Helios Domzale wins
5
Sencur wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/24HSencur68-75
12/01/24ARogaska99-87
09/01/24ASencur77-68
06/01/24HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek93-85
26/12/23ALTH Castings78-79
20/12/23ASiroki Brijeg63-82
18/12/23HZlatibor72-89
15/12/23HPerspektiva Ilirija85-67
11/12/23AKK Triglav Kranj72-81
04/12/23HPolzela78-66
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/24AHelios Domzale75-68
13/01/24HTajfun Sentjur82-61
09/01/24HHelios Domzale68-77
05/01/24HRogaska74-73
26/12/23ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek95-98 OT
21/12/23HGKK Sibenka78-57
19/12/23ASpartak Subotica76-109
15/12/23HLTH Castings79-72
09/12/23APerspektiva Ilirija70-84
01/12/23HKK Triglav Kranj92-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Helios Domzale
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW73%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %73%88%57%
Points / game83.983.884.1
Allowed / game76.972.881.6
Point differential+7.1+11.0+2.6
Avg total160.8156.5165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW53%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%88%14%
Points / game79.585.273.0
Allowed / game79.774.086.3
Point differential-0.2+11.2-13.3
Avg total159.3159.2159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %13%12%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto1614288%91.776.0+15.7
2 Helios Domzale1511473%83.976.9+7.1
3 Perspektiva Ilirija159660%79.476.7+2.7
4 LTH Castings159660%85.585.8-0.3
5 Sencur158753%79.579.7-0.2
6 Tajfun Sentjur157847%77.683.3-5.7
7 KK Triglav Kranj1551033%74.577.6-3.1
8 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek1551033%84.187.6-3.5
9 Rogaska1651131%76.179.2-3.1
10 Polzela1531220%79.990.2-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Helios Domzale2020162076
Sencur141271750
← all games of the day
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