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Sencur vs Rogaska Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 74-73
18-17 20-20 15-18 21-18
Position#5
Record6-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game81.7
Sencur 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Rogaska
Slovenia
Position#8
Record5-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game77.9
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 14· Sportna dvorana Sencur
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sencur v Rogaska
05 Dec 2026
SENC v ROGA
upcoming
09 Mar 2026
SENC79
ROGA78
14 Feb 2026
SENC82
ROGA61
10 Jan 2025
SENC92
ROGA68
02 Mar 2024
SENC69
ROGA61
05 Jan 2024
SENC74
ROGA73
16 Apr 2023
SENC92
ROGA73
05 Nov 2022
SENC86
ROGA59
04 May 2022
SENC92
ROGA96
13 Nov 2021
SENC92
ROGA62
17 Apr 2021
SENC87
ROGA90
17 Oct 2020
SENC78
ROGA77
04 Jan 2020
SENC92
ROGA53
27 Oct 2018
SENC79
ROGA81
14 Apr 2018
SENC75
ROGA82
03 Feb 2018
SENC79
ROGA64
08 Jan 2018
SENC78
ROGA52
10 Jan 2017
SENC75
ROGA76
10 Dec 2016
SENC63
ROGA77
28 Nov 2015
SENC72
ROGA70
22 Oct 2014
SENC61
ROGA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sencur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rogaska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
Borac Banja Luka
#8
L
56-65
56
65
-9
36avg 65
A15/11
ABA League 2
Podgorica
#5
W
71-68
71
68
+3
59avg 65
H17/11
ABA League 2
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
61-83
61
83
-22
48avg 65
A24/11
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
L
94-95 OT
94
95
-1
no box
H27/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
92-75
92
75
+17
85avg 65
H01/12
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
70-84
70
84
-14
50avg 65
A09/12
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
W
79-72
79
72
+7
70avg 65
H15/12
Liga Nova KBM
Spartak Subotica
#1
L
76-109
76
109
-33
69avg 65
A19/12
ABA League 2
GKK Sibenka
#14
W
78-57
78
57
+21
74avg 65
H21/12
ABA League 2
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
no box
A26/12
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
20-14
11-10
10-22
22-19
23-22
19-7
7-20
19-16
12-23
14-21
16-23
25-19
15-23
29-20
19-26
24-19
26-21
23-14
19-21
20-25
21-13
14-21
15-25
22-17
17-20
16-18
24-17
19-23
19-26
18-34
20-26
26-16
17-22
17-9
18-10
16-23
20-11
17-27
24-16
157.8Avg total
77.2Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.881.7161.5-1.946%
Season at home (6)87.776.3164.0+11.383%
Season away (7)73.086.3159.3-13.314%
Last 10 (10)77.280.6157.8-3.440%
Last 5 (5)79.684.0163.6-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.679.7148.3-11.129%
vs Similar ◀ (18)80.481.7162.1-1.344%
vs Weaker (5)84.470.8155.2+13.6100%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
Zoltasti Troti
#18
W
88-67
88
67
+21
no box
H21/11
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
72-67
72
67
+5
61avg 76
H25/11
Liga Nova KBM
Zoltasti Troti
#18
W
78-61
78
61
+17
no box
A29/11
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
63-94
63
94
-31
51avg 76
H02/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
84-80
84
80
+4
87avg 76
H04/12
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
L
84-93
84
93
-9
73avg 76
A09/12
Liga Nova KBM
Vojnik
#8
W
99-87
99
87
+12
no box
A12/12
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
89-92
89
92
-3
87avg 76
H18/12
Liga Nova KBM
Vojnik
#8
W
95-60
95
60
+35
no box
H20/12
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
93-95
93
95
-2
89avg 76
A23/12
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
23-21
14-16
24-15
13-16
25-23
15-21
19-7
22-14
14-14
22-11
20-22
13-20
16-29
19-24
15-21
20-21
20-17
25-22
19-20
12-14
24-29
22-23
26-27
30-21
29-21
27-21
13-24
23-25
29-27
22-18
15-22
18-22
26-17
26-6
25-15
16-23
28-17
31-26
18-29
164.1Avg total
84.5Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.577.9153.5-2.438%
Season at home (7)81.180.7161.9+0.457%
Season away (6)69.074.7143.7-5.717%
Last 10 (10)84.579.6164.1+4.960%
Last 5 (5)92.085.4177.4+6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.287.7163.9-11.433%
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.578.9156.5-1.454%
vs Weaker (7)90.379.7170.0+10.657%
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
SencurRogaska
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Borac Banja Luka
#8
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A15/11
ABA League 2
Podgorica
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H17/11
ABA League 2
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A24/11
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H27/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H01/12
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A09/12
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H15/12
Liga Nova KBM
Spartak Subotica
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A19/12
ABA League 2
GKK Sibenka
#14
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H21/12
ABA League 2
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A26/12
Liga Nova KBM
78.9Avg total
39.8Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.639.779.3-0.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.037.978.9+3.169%-
Last 30 away (14)38.041.979.9-3.950%-
Last 10 (10)39.839.178.9+0.770%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.278.6+0.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.140.478.6-2.343%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)38.740.879.5-2.156%-
vs Weaker (5)44.835.079.8+9.8100%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zoltasti Troti
#18
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H21/11
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H25/11
Liga Nova KBM
Zoltasti Troti
#18
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A29/11
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
29-49
29
49
-20
H02/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H04/12
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A09/12
Liga Nova KBM
Vojnik
#8
W
59-42
59
42
+17
A12/12
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H18/12
Liga Nova KBM
Vojnik
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H20/12
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A23/12
Liga Nova KBM
83.4Avg total
42.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.941.083.9+1.962%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.942.586.4+1.360%-
Last 30 away (14)41.839.481.1+2.464%-
Last 10 (10)42.840.683.4+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)47.043.290.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.644.284.8-3.744%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.441.483.8+1.050%-
vs Weaker (7)46.038.084.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.121.1
54.0%
52.9%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.16.8
26.1%
33.0%20.4
🏀 Free throws15.310.5
68.6%
74.0%10.5
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.6
54.1%
52.9%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.4
31.7%
33.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.113.4
70.2%
74.0%13.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sencur
LWLWLWLLWL
Rogaska
LWLWLWLWWW
#5
League position
#8
-4.2
Net rating
-2.0
100.2
Offensive rating
103.8
104.4
Defensive rating
105.8
48.0%
Effective FG%
51.4%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
15.0%
Turnover %
21.7%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.30
26.1%
3-point %
31.7%
54.5%
Assist %
70.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.2 · 103.8Defence104.4 · 105.8Shooting48.0% · 51.4%3-point %26.1% · 31.7%Ball care15.0% · 21.7%Off. rebounds25.9% · 33.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Sencur   ■ Rogaska
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Sencur wins
6
Rogaska wins
DateGameScore
28/10/23Rogaska v Sencur84-67
16/04/23Sencur v Rogaska92-73
21/01/23Rogaska v Sencur76-80
05/11/22Sencur v Rogaska86-59
07/05/22Rogaska v Sencur87-72
04/05/22Sencur v Rogaska92-96
29/01/22Rogaska v Sencur86-78
13/11/21Sencur v Rogaska92-62
17/04/21Sencur v Rogaska87-90
13/03/21Rogaska v Sencur76-68
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/23ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek95-98 OT
21/12/23HGKK Sibenka78-57
19/12/23ASpartak Subotica76-109
15/12/23HLTH Castings79-72
09/12/23APerspektiva Ilirija70-84
01/12/23HKK Triglav Kranj92-75
27/11/23HPolzela94-95 OT
24/11/23AKK Krka Novo mesto61-83
17/11/23HPodgorica71-68
15/11/23ABorac Banja Luka56-65
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23ATajfun Sentjur93-95
20/12/23HVojnik95-60
18/12/23HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek89-92
12/12/23AVojnik99-87
09/12/23ALTH Castings84-93
04/12/23HKK Krka Novo mesto84-80
02/12/23HPerspektiva Ilirija63-94
29/11/23AZoltasti Troti78-61
25/11/23HKK Triglav Kranj72-67
21/11/23HZoltasti Troti88-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL46%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%83%14%
Points / game79.887.773.0
Allowed / game81.776.386.3
Point differential-1.9+11.3-13.3
Avg total161.5164.0159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %15%17%14%
Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL38%
HomeWWLWL57%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %38%57%17%
Points / game75.581.169.0
Allowed / game77.980.774.7
Point differential-2.4+0.4-5.7
Avg total153.5161.9143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto1412286%91.976.0+15.9
2 Helios Domzale139469%82.175.5+6.6
3 LTH Castings148657%86.286.6-0.4
4 Perspektiva Ilirija137654%77.376.3+1.0
5 Tajfun Sentjur137654%80.083.6-3.6
6 Sencur136746%79.881.7-1.9
7 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek135838%84.786.4-1.7
8 Rogaska135838%75.577.9-2.4
9 KK Triglav Kranj134931%73.778.3-4.6
10 Polzela1331023%80.290.3-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sencur1820152174
Rogaska1720181873
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