Sencur host Zlatorog Lasko in the Liga Nova KBM on 7 November 2026, and the Pythia model names Sencur the clear favourite, rating them 89% to win largely because they are 4-1 with 88.2 points per game and only 79.6 allowed, while Zlatorog sit 3-3, 70.5 points per game and 75.7 allowed, and Sencur have dominated the 10-game head-to-head series 9-1, most recently beating Zlatorog 97-78 on 28 March 2026. Sencur's single home game was a 96.0-point win over Mornar Bar, and their last five games included a 81-71 home win, a 78-98 loss away to KK Krka, and a 76-70 win away to Gorica, showing a 3-2 record in that span. Zlatorog's road record is 1-1 with 68.0 points per game and 75.0 allowed, and their last five games were 2-3, with a 75-73 win away to Helios Domzale and losses to Rogaska and Perspektiva Ilirija. The model projects a 89-75 score for Sencur, 164.4 total points, a -14.5 line with a 48% chance of covering, and a 162.0 total line with a 56% over probability, and a 2% overtime chance. The next game will decide if Sencur can extend their dominance in this rivalry.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 88.2 | 79.6 | 167.8 | +8.6 | 80% |
| Season at home (1) | 96.0 | 81.0 | 177.0 | +15.0 | 100% |
| Season away (4) | 86.2 | 79.2 | 165.5 | +7.0 | 75% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.4 | 80.3 | 162.7 | +2.1 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 81.4 | 79.8 | 161.2 | +1.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 69.3 | 90.2 | 159.5 | -20.8 | 0% |
| vs Similar (6) | 91.3 | 92.7 | 184.0 | -1.3 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (18) | 86.3 | 75.8 | 162.1 | +10.4 | 89% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 70.5 | 75.7 | 146.2 | -5.2 | 50% |
| Season at home (4) | 71.8 | 76.0 | 147.8 | -4.2 | 50% |
| Season away (2) | 68.0 | 75.0 | 143.0 | -7.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 72.6 | 79.9 | 152.5 | -7.3 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 70.2 | 77.0 | 147.2 | -6.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (18) | 75.7 | 91.9 | 167.6 | -16.2 | 17% |
| vs Similar (6) | 80.0 | 78.8 | 158.8 | +1.2 | 67% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 78.8 | 82.7 | 161.5 | -3.8 | 33% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 81.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.0 | 41.9 | 84.8 | +1.1 | 47% | 63% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 43.2 | 40.8 | 84.1 | +2.4 | 54% | 69% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 42.8 | 42.6 | 85.4 | +0.1 | 41% | 59% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.6 | 42.5 | 85.1 | +0.1 | 50% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.2 | 41.4 | 83.6 | +0.8 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 37.0 | 46.0 | 83.0 | -9.0 | 0% | 67% |
| vs Similar (6) | 44.3 | 46.7 | 91.0 | -2.3 | 33% | 83% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (18) | 44.5 | 38.9 | 83.4 | +5.6 | 67% | 56% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 81.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.5 | 45.0 | 85.4 | -4.5 | 30% | 60% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 41.7 | 42.6 | 84.3 | -0.9 | 47% | 53% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 39.2 | 47.3 | 86.5 | -8.1 | 13% | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.5 | 41.4 | 77.9 | -4.9 | 20% | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.2 | 38.6 | 72.8 | -4.4 | 20% | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (18) | 39.3 | 46.7 | 86.1 | -7.4 | 22% | 67% |
| vs Similar (6) | 43.0 | 41.5 | 84.5 | +1.5 | 50% | 50% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 41.3 | 43.2 | 84.5 | -1.8 | 33% | 50% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sencur over 82.5 | 75.3% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +8.3pp | Lost |
| Zlatorog Lasko over 68.5 | 74.2% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +8.0pp | Lost |
| Sencur over 77.5 | 88.1% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Lost |
| Sencur over 79.5 | 83.7% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Lost |
| Sencur over 81.5 | 78.3% | 1.27 | 1.30 | 1.24 | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Lost |
| Sencur over 78.5 | 86.1% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Lost |
| Sencur over 83.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | 1.41 | 1.37 | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Lost |
| Over 155.5 | 70.5% | 1.44 | 1.44 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Lost |
| Over 154.5 | 72.6% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Lost |
| Sencur over 71.5 | 96.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Sencur over 69.5 | 97.5% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Sencur over 73.5 | 94.3% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Lost |
| Sencur over 75.5 | 91.6% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Lost |
| Sencur over 68.5 | 98.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Won |
| Zlatorog Lasko over 69.5 | 70.8% | 1.40 | 1.42 | 1.39 | 1.38 | - | - | +6.4pp | Lost |
| Sencur over 67.5 | 98.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Won |
| Zlatorog Lasko over 67.5 | 77.3% | 1.27 | 1.28 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Lost |
| Overtime: no | 97.6% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | - |
| Zlatorog Lasko over 64.5 | 85.3% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Lost |
| Over 137.5 | 95.1% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Lost |
| Zlatorog Lasko +21.5 | 74.6% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Won |
| Sencur (regulation) | 87.5% | 1.08 | 1.09 | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | +4.6pp | Won |
| Over 147.5 | 85.0% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Lost |
| Zlatorog Lasko over 63.5 | 87.5% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Lost |
| Zlatorog Lasko +24.5 | 82.1% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Over 152.5 | 76.6% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Lost |
| Zlatorog Lasko +20.5 | 71.7% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Sencur +10.5 | 97.7% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Zlatorog Lasko over 65.5 | 82.9% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Lost |
| Over 142.5 | 91.1% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Lost |
| Sencur +4.5 | 93.8% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| Zlatorog Lasko under 91.5 | 94.1% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.4pp | Won |
| Zlatorog Lasko under 89.5 | 91.7% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Won |
| Under 187.5 | 92.0% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +2.4pp | Won |
| Sencur win | 89.1% | 1.07 | 1.10 | 1.08 | 1.07 | 1.07 | 1.07 | +2.1pp | Won |
| Sencur -4.5 | 80.9% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +2.0pp | Won |
| Zlatorog Lasko under 87.5 | 88.6% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +1.5pp | Won |
| Sencur under 95.5 | 73.6% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +1.2pp | Won |
| Sencur -7.5 | 72.4% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +1.1pp | Won |
| Zlatorog Lasko under 83.5 | 79.7% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +0.9pp | Won |
| Zlatorog Lasko under 84.5 | 82.3% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +0.8pp | Won |
| Zlatorog Lasko under 85.5 | 84.6% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +0.8pp | Won |
| Under 182.5 | 86.7% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +0.0pp | Won |
| Under 177.5 | 79.1% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -0.4pp | Won |
| Zlatorog Lasko under 81.5 | 73.9% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | -0.6pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 42.2 | 22.9 | 53.4% | 45.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 20.3 | 6.8 | 30.3% | 20.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.4 | 16.2 | 70.0% | 16.2 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.6 | 18.5 | 53.4% | 37.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.6 | 7.8 | 30.3% | 23.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.3 | 12.0 | 70.0% | 12.0 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 | Sencur v Zlatorog Lasko | 97-78 |
| 31/01/26 | Zlatorog Lasko v Sencur | 82-94 |
| 08/11/25 | Sencur v Zlatorog Lasko | 110-72 |
| 21/12/24 | Sencur v Zlatorog Lasko | 66-61 |
| 12/10/24 | Zlatorog Lasko v Sencur | 69-83 |
| 03/04/23 | Sencur v Zlatorog Lasko | 71-53 |
| 15/01/23 | Sencur v Zlatorog Lasko | 91-92 |
| 29/10/22 | Zlatorog Lasko v Sencur | 59-75 |
| 14/01/22 | Zlatorog Lasko v Sencur | 76-80 |
| 30/10/21 | Sencur v Zlatorog Lasko | 104-85 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/26 | H | Mornar Bar | 81-71 |
| 27/10/26 | A | KK Krka Novo mesto | 78-98 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Gorica | 76-70 |
| 14/10/26 | A | Vojvodina Novi Sad | 76-79 |
| 09/10/26 | H | Polzela | 96-81 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Tajfun Sentjur | 99-74 |
| 26/09/26 | A | Rogaska | 92-75 |
| 23/05/26 | A | Cedevita Olimpija | 65-94 |
| 20/05/26 | H | Cedevita Olimpija | 79-86 |
| 12/05/26 | A | Helios Domzale | 82-75 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | H | Rogaska | 60-69 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Helios Domzale | 75-73 |
| 14/10/26 | H | Perspektiva Ilirija | 69-93 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Tajfun Sentjur | 86-73 |
| 29/09/26 | A | KK Krka Novo mesto | 61-77 |
| 26/09/26 | H | KK Triglav Kranj | 72-69 |
| 17/05/26 | A | Cedevita Olimpija | 74-106 |
| 09/05/26 | H | Cedevita Olimpija | 76-89 |
| 04/05/26 | H | Rogaska | 80-76 |
| 30/04/26 | H | KK Triglav Kranj | 73-74 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWL | 80% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | WWWL | 75% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| Win % | 80% | 100% | 75% |
| Points / game | 88.2 | 96.0 | 86.2 |
| Allowed / game | 79.6 | 81.0 | 79.2 |
| Point differential | +8.6 | +15.0 | +7.0 |
| Avg total | 167.8 | 177.0 | 165.5 |
| Over 160.5 | 80% | 100% | 75% |
| Win by 10+ | 60% | 100% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLWL | 50% |
| Home | WWLL | 50% |
| Away | LW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Points / game | 70.5 | 71.8 | 68.0 |
| Allowed / game | 75.7 | 76.0 | 75.0 |
| Point differential | -5.2 | -4.2 | -7.0 |
| Avg total | 146.2 | 147.8 | 143.0 |
| Over 160.5 | 17% | 25% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 17% | 25% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (2) | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 89.6 | 69.3 | +20.3 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 88.2 | 79.6 | +8.6 | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 81.9 | 71.7 | +10.1 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 82.4 | 73.3 | +9.1 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 77.3 | 74.7 | +2.6 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 70.5 | 75.7 | -5.2 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 67.6 | 79.1 | -11.6 | |
| 8 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 76.8 | 82.5 | -5.7 | |
| 9 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 67.0 | 81.2 | -14.2 | |
| 10 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 67.0 | 84.8 | -17.8 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 19 | 16 | 15 | 73 | |
| 21 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 60 |
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