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Sergio Ceppi vs Arabe Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 79-71
19-18 21-18 18-12 21-23
Position#6
Record12-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game72.0
Sergio Ceppi 🏆
Chile
vs
Arabe Valparaiso
Chile
Position#10
Record7-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game66.1
Allowed / game72.1
ChileLNB 2· Sergio Ceppi Gimnasio
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sergio Ceppi v Arabe Valparaiso
13 Jul 2024
SERG79
ARAB71
30 Jul 2023
SERG75
ARAB56
29 Jul 2023
SERG55
ARAB68
27 May 2023
SERG85
ARAB76
25 Sep 2022
SERG67
ARAB53
30 Jul 2022
SERG75
ARAB106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sergio Ceppi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arabe Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sergio CeppiChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeppi
Date
Competition
Colo Colo
#1
L
69-87
69
87
-18
54avg 65
H19/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
63-80
63
80
-17
48avg 65
H26/05
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
W
93-91
93
91
+2
83avg 65
A01/06
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
58-55
58
55
+3
40avg 65
A02/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
68-67
68
67
+1
61avg 65
H09/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
62-90
62
90
-28
38avg 65
A15/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
85-70
85
70
+15
71avg 65
H16/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
60-72
60
72
-12
49avg 65
A23/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
80-57
80
57
+23
78avg 65
H30/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
60-62
60
62
-2
48avg 65
A06/07
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
15-20
12-26
20-20
18-15
13-26
10-18
22-21
24-27
22-21
30-21
17-22
18-21
13-15
12-9
15-10
11-13
12-15
24-24
21-15
15-24
9-22
16-26
22-18
25-28
26-14
15-16
19-12
20-18
8-25
16-16
16-13
14-10
22-16
26-12
18-19
16-21
16-13
14-12
14-16
142.9Avg total
69.8Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)73.472.0145.4+1.560%
Season at home (10)76.567.2143.7+9.380%
Season away (10)70.376.7147.0-6.440%
Last 10 (10)69.873.1142.9-3.350%
Last 5 (5)69.470.2139.6-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.888.9160.7-17.122%
vs Similar (16)69.665.4135.1+4.269%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)80.276.2156.4+4.060%
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arabe ValparaisoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValparaiso
Date
Competition
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
56-96
56
96
-40
39avg 60
A12/05
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
64-76
64
76
-12
53avg 60
A18/05
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
49-52
49
52
-3
no box
A19/05
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
43-57
43
57
-14
32avg 60
H25/05
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
60-48
60
48
+12
56avg 60
A26/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
L
71-80
71
80
-9
64avg 60
A02/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
70-66
70
66
+4
69avg 60
A15/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
68-78
68
78
-10
57avg 60
H16/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
49-81
49
81
-32
45avg 60
H20/06
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
59avg 60
A07/07
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-15
21-30
10-25
16-26
15-23
16-25
16-16
17-12
–
–
–
–
16-23
13-6
7-12
7-16
17-16
15-14
12-11
16-7
23-8
8-23
19-27
21-22
23-25
11-19
24-12
12-10
20-27
15-18
16-22
17-11
19-16
11-15
14-22
5-28
7-24
17-18
23-18
26-22
131.9Avg total
60.3Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)66.172.1138.2-5.941%
Season at home (8)66.275.0141.2-8.838%
Season away (9)66.069.4135.4-3.444%
Last 10 (10)60.371.6131.9-11.320%
Last 5 (5)66.277.4143.6-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)62.676.6139.2-14.025%
vs Similar (12)65.566.6132.1-1.142%
vs Weaker (6)73.867.5141.3+6.367%
This opponent (Sergio Ceppi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.9-1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.9-1.9
Sergio CeppiArabe Valparaiso
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sergio CeppiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colo Colo
#1
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H19/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H26/05
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A01/06
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A02/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H09/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A15/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H16/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A23/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H30/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A06/07
LNB 2
72.4Avg total
33.9Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)35.637.272.9-1.650%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.834.070.8+2.862%-
Last 30 away (15)34.640.074.6-5.440%-
Last 10 (10)33.938.572.4-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)34.238.272.4-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.248.182.4-13.912%-
vs Similar (15)34.932.767.6+2.353%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)40.033.473.4+6.6100%-
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arabe ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A12/05
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A18/05
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H25/05
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A26/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A02/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A15/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H16/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H20/06
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A07/07
LNB 2
69.0Avg total
30.7Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)32.436.268.6-3.833%-
Last 30 at home (11)33.137.170.2-4.027%-
Last 30 away (10)31.635.266.8-3.640%-
Last 10 (9)30.738.369.0-7.711%-
Last 5 (5)30.838.669.4-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)32.037.169.1-5.130%-
vs Similar (9)31.935.967.8-4.033%-
vs Weaker (2)36.533.069.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Sergio Ceppi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sergio Ceppitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sergio Ceppi: 68.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.318.8
42.4%
44.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.56.3
28.0%
28.7%18.9
🏀 Free throws20.312.3
60.6%
63.6%12.3
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Arabe Valparaisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Arabe Valparaiso: 62.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.518.2
46.1%
44.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.55.5
23.4%
28.7%16.5
🏀 Free throws15.39.7
63.4%
63.6%9.7
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jul 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sergio Ceppi
LWLWLWWWLL
Arabe Valparaiso
LLLWLWLLLL
#6
League position
#10
-4.1
Net rating
-14.8
85.4
Offensive rating
80.4
89.5
Defensive rating
95.2
42.3%
Effective FG%
42.0%
44.7%
Opp. effective FG%
45.3%
21.3%
Turnover %
24.1%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
28.0%
3-point %
23.4%
51.8%
Assist %
62.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence85.4 · 80.4Defence89.5 · 95.2Shooting42.3% · 42.0%3-point %28.0% · 23.4%Ball care21.3% · 24.1%Off. rebounds28.1% · 27.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Sergio Ceppi   ■ Arabe Valparaiso
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Sergio Ceppi wins
3
Arabe Valparaiso wins
DateGameScore
11/05/24Arabe Valparaiso v Sergio Ceppi84-81
06/08/23Arabe Valparaiso v Sergio Ceppi68-72
05/08/23Arabe Valparaiso v Sergio Ceppi70-71
30/07/23Sergio Ceppi v Arabe Valparaiso75-56
30/07/23Sergio Ceppi v Arabe Valparaiso55-68
23/07/23Arabe Valparaiso v Sergio Ceppi66-69
28/05/23Sergio Ceppi v Arabe Valparaiso85-76
29/10/22Arabe Valparaiso v Sergio Ceppi56-71
25/09/22Sergio Ceppi v Arabe Valparaiso67-53
31/07/22Sergio Ceppi v Arabe Valparaiso75-106
Sergio Ceppilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/24AQuilpue Basquetbol60-62
30/06/24HLuis Matte Larrain80-57
23/06/24ABrisas60-72
16/06/24HArturo Prat San Felipe85-70
15/06/24ATruenos De Talca62-90
09/06/24HStadio Italiano68-67
02/06/24AMunicipal Chillan58-55
01/06/24AAleman93-91
26/05/24HBoston C. C.63-80
19/05/24HColo Colo69-87
Arabe Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/07/24AColo Colo73-82
20/06/24HBrisas49-81
16/06/24HQuilpue Basquetbol68-78
15/06/24ALuis Matte Larrain70-66
02/06/24AArturo Prat San Felipe71-80
26/05/24AQuilpue Basquetbol60-48
25/05/24HTruenos De Talca43-57
19/05/24AMunicipal Chillan49-52
18/05/24AAleman64-76
12/05/24AStadio Italiano56-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sergio Ceppi
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL60%
HomeLLWWW80%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game73.476.570.3
Allowed / game72.067.276.7
Point differential+1.4+9.3-6.4
Avg total145.3143.7147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Arabe Valparaiso
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL41%
HomeLWLLL38%
AwayLWLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %41%38%44%
Points / game66.166.266.0
Allowed / game72.175.069.4
Point differential-5.9-8.8-3.4
Avg total138.2141.2135.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%12%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colo Colo20200100%82.963.0+19.9
2 Truenos De Talca2013765%74.367.0+7.3
3 Stadio Italiano2013765%67.562.3+5.2
4 Sergio Ceppi2012860%73.472.0+1.4
5 Aleman1911858%75.371.9+3.3
6 Boston C. C.2011955%71.368.0+3.2
7 Municipal Chillan1981142%62.266.1-3.9
8 Quilpue Basquetbol1981142%64.869.7-4.9
9 Arabe Valparaiso1771041%66.172.1-5.9
10 Luis Matte Larrain1971237%67.672.9-5.3
11 Brisas1941521%65.871.1-5.3
12 Arturo Prat San Felipe2021810%69.686.5-16.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sergio Ceppi1921182179
Arabe Valparaiso1818122371
← all games of the day
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