PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Sergio Ceppi vs Luis Matte Larrain Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 93-65
27-9 23-16 17-17 26-23
Position#18
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game53.0
vs
Position#22
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game54.5
Allowed / game97.5
ChileCopa ChileRound 4
Other2022
Meetings · Sergio Ceppi v Luis Matte Larrain
01 Jun 2025
SERG58
LUIS64
30 Jun 2024
SERG80
LUIS57
06 May 2023
SERG73
LUIS69
15 Oct 2022
SERG93
LUIS65
04 Jun 2022
SERG69
LUIS53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sergio Ceppi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Luis Matte Larrain winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sergio CeppiChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisas
#14
W
92-54
92
54
+38
H26/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#6
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A02/07
LNB 2
Manquehue
#4
W
67-50
67
50
+17
A16/07
LNB 2
Manquehue
#4
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H18/07
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#15
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A23/07
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
65-95
65
95
-30
H28/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#9
L
75-106
75
106
-31
H31/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#6
L
44-63
44
63
-19
H08/08
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#6
L
51-72
51
72
-21
A13/08
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#25
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H25/09
Copa Chile
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-10
19-20
28-9
28-15
20-20
21-16
16-21
15-11
21-13
13-13
11-8
22-16
12-14
19-20
12-14
20-9
19-14
21-17
14-13
11-19
9-29
8-28
26-11
22-27
27-16
13-34
13-29
22-27
7-12
12-7
18-19
7-25
8-24
19-14
13-15
11-19
22-12
10-10
23-15
12-16
134.2Avg total
66.1Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)67.053.0120.0+14.0100%
Season at home (1)67.053.0120.0+14.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)66.168.1134.2-2.060%
Last 5 (5)60.477.8138.2-17.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)58.274.0132.2-15.817%
vs Similar (6)70.569.7140.2+0.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)70.854.6125.4+16.2100%
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Luis Matte LarrainChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arabe Valparaiso
#9
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A18/06
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#9
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H21/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#11
L
62-78
62
78
-16
H26/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#14
L
53-81
53
81
-28
A03/07
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
61-98
61
98
-37
A17/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#8
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H23/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#6
L
43-77
43
77
-34
H24/07
LNB 2
Manquehue
#4
L
52-90
52
90
-38
A30/07
LNB 2
Catolica
#14
L
30-108
30
108
-78
A30/09
Copa Chile
Arabe Valparaiso
#25
L
79-87 OT
79
87
-8
H07/10
Copa Chile
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
10-9
14-26
11-11
15-17
21-18
13-23
27-13
10-20
16-21
15-16
21-21
8-17
19-18
15-25
11-21
11-31
14-23
17-29
19-15
14-19
17-21
13-14
19-11
11-20
9-15
11-18
12-24
17-23
12-23
8-19
15-25
8-33
3-25
8-22
11-28
12-18
15-21
24-16
22-18
138.6Avg total
57.0Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)54.597.5152.0-43.00%
Season at home (1)79.087.0166.0-8.00%
Season away (1)30.0108.0138.0-78.00%
Last 10 (10)57.081.6138.6-24.610%
Last 5 (5)53.485.4138.8-32.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)55.378.2133.5-22.815%
vs Similar (3)68.371.3139.7-3.033%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sergio Ceppi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -9.1-9.1Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -5.8-5.8Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -7.0-7.0Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.9-1.9
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -9.1-9.1Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -5.8-5.8Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -7.0-7.0Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.9-1.9
Sergio CeppiLuis Matte Larrain
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sergio CeppiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisas
#14
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H26/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A02/07
LNB 2
Manquehue
#4
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A16/07
LNB 2
Manquehue
#4
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H18/07
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#15
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A23/07
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
17-57
17
57
-40
H28/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#9
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H31/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#6
D
19-19
19
19
+0
H08/08
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#6
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A13/08
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#25
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H25/09
Copa Chile
66.0Avg total
31.7Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)32.331.263.5+1.165%-
Last 30 at home (9)31.131.762.8-0.656%-
Last 30 away (8)33.630.664.2+3.075%-
Last 10 (10)31.734.366.0-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)27.037.264.2-10.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)28.336.064.3-7.733%-
vs Similar (6)34.531.866.3+2.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)34.424.659.0+9.8100%-
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Luis Matte LarrainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arabe Valparaiso
#9
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A18/06
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#9
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H21/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#11
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H26/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#14
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A03/07
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
25-54
25
54
-29
A17/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#8
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H23/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#6
L
20-35
20
35
-15
H24/07
LNB 2
Manquehue
#4
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A30/07
LNB 2
Catolica
#14
L
11-58
11
58
-47
A30/09
Copa Chile
Arabe Valparaiso
#25
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H07/10
Copa Chile
66.5Avg total
25.8Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)26.237.463.6-11.231%-
Last 30 at home (8)28.035.863.8-7.838%-
Last 30 away (8)24.439.063.4-14.625%-
Last 10 (10)25.840.766.5-14.920%-
Last 5 (5)23.643.667.2-20.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)25.638.564.1-12.831%-
vs Similar (3)28.732.761.3-4.033%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sergio Ceppi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Sergio Ceppi wins
0
Luis Matte Larrain wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/22HArabe Valparaiso67-53
13/08/22ABoston C. C.51-72
08/08/22HBoston C. C.44-63
31/07/22HArabe Valparaiso75-106
28/07/22HSportiva Italiana65-95
23/07/22ALuis Matte Larrain65-63
18/07/22HManquehue63-57
16/07/22AManquehue67-50
02/07/22ABoston C. C.72-68
26/06/22HBrisas92-54
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/22HArabe Valparaiso79-87 OT
30/09/22ACatolica30-108
30/07/22AManquehue52-90
24/07/22HBoston C. C.43-77
23/07/22HSergio Ceppi63-65
17/07/22ASportiva Italiana61-98
03/07/22ABrisas53-81
26/06/22HStadio Italiano62-78
21/06/22HArabe Valparaiso76-71
18/06/22AArabe Valparaiso51-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sergio Ceppi
Copa Chile 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game67.067.0-
Allowed / game53.053.0-
Point differential+14.0+14.0-
Avg total120.0120.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Luis Matte Larrain
Copa Chile 2022
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game54.579.030.0
Allowed / game97.587.0108.0
Point differential-43.0-8.0-78.0
Avg total152.0166.0138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %50%100%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 U. De Concepcion330100%111.764.7+47.0
2 Ancud440100%102.068.2+33.8
3 Espanol Osorno110100%96.064.0+32.0
4 Leones Quilpue220100%81.052.0+29.0
5 Sergio Ceppi110100%67.053.0+14.0
6 Sportiva Italiana110100%81.067.0+14.0
7 Tinguiririca330100%73.361.7+11.7
8 Valdivia220100%80.569.0+11.5
9 Boston C. C.110100%66.057.0+9.0
10 CD Puerto Varas32167%92.076.3+15.7
11 Catolica21150%87.555.5+32.0
12 Manquehue21150%80.566.0+14.5
13 Quilicura21150%72.561.5+11.0
14 Espanol de Talca21150%76.070.5+5.5
15 Truenos De Talca21150%75.075.5-0.5
16 Arabe Valparaiso21150%70.073.0-3.0
17 Puerto Montt21150%74.083.5-9.5
18 Brisas21150%54.573.0-18.5
19 Municipal Chillan21150%71.594.0-22.5
20 Tomas Lawrence31233%62.767.0-4.3
21 Liceo Curico41325%51.069.2-18.2
22 Las Animas1010%79.082.0-3.0
23 Puente Alto1010%71.079.0-8.0
24 Stadio Italiano2020%60.071.0-11.0
25 Deportes Castro2020%71.591.5-20.0
26 Liceo Pablo Neruda1010%59.079.0-20.0
27 Temuco1010%64.096.0-32.0
28 Aleman3030%48.383.7-35.3
29 CDSC Osorno3030%56.797.7-41.0
30 Luis Matte Larrain2020%54.597.5-43.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sergio Ceppi2723172693
Luis Matte Larrain916172365
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.