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Sergio Ceppi vs Luis Matte Larrain Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 80-57
14-10 22-16 26-12 18-19
Position#6
Record11-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game73.3
Sergio Ceppi 🏆
Chile
vs
Luis Matte Larrain
Chile
Position#9
Record6-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.4
Allowed / game72.2
ChileLNB 2· Sergio Ceppi Gimnasio
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sergio Ceppi v Luis Matte Larrain
01 Jun 2025
SERG58
LUIS64
30 Jun 2024
SERG80
LUIS57
06 May 2023
SERG73
LUIS69
15 Oct 2022
SERG93
LUIS65
04 Jun 2022
SERG69
LUIS53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sergio Ceppi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Luis Matte Larrain winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sergio CeppiChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeppi
Date
Competition
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
82-73
82
73
+9
88avg 65
H05/05
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
L
81-84
81
84
-3
70avg 65
A11/05
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
69-87
69
87
-18
54avg 65
H19/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
63-80
63
80
-17
48avg 65
H26/05
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
W
93-91
93
91
+2
83avg 65
A01/06
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
58-55
58
55
+3
40avg 65
A02/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
68-67
68
67
+1
61avg 65
H09/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
62-90
62
90
-28
38avg 65
A15/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
85-70
85
70
+15
71avg 65
H16/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
60-72
60
72
-12
49avg 65
A23/06
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-13
18-21
20-22
17-17
23-18
24-19
17-20
17-27
22-21
15-20
12-26
20-20
18-15
13-26
10-18
22-21
24-27
22-21
30-21
17-22
18-21
13-15
12-9
15-10
11-13
12-15
24-24
21-15
15-24
9-22
16-26
22-18
25-28
26-14
15-16
19-12
20-18
8-25
16-16
16-13
149.0Avg total
72.1Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)73.873.3147.1+0.461%
Season at home (9)76.168.3144.4+7.878%
Season away (9)71.478.3149.8-6.944%
Last 10 (10)72.176.9149.0-4.850%
Last 5 (5)66.670.8137.4-4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.888.9160.7-17.122%
vs Similar (16)69.466.1135.6+3.369%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)79.479.2158.6+0.260%
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Luis Matte LarrainChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarrain
Date
Competition
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
74-53
74
53
+21
74avg 58
H28/04
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
A04/05
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
62-51
62
51
+11
61avg 58
H12/05
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
72-75
72
75
-3
22avg 58
A19/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
94-92
94
92
+2
86avg 58
H19/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
58-70
58
70
-12
49avg 58
H26/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
72-75
72
75
-3
65avg 58
A02/06
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
L
66-70
66
70
-4
59avg 58
H15/06
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
62-98
62
98
-36
46avg 58
A16/06
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
49-64
49
64
-15
39avg 58
H29/06
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-10
11-15
23-11
27-17
–
–
–
–
19-12
6-15
17-16
20-8
11-17
15-20
20-16
26-22
29-20
24-18
20-31
21-23
17-25
11-15
19-19
11-11
14-19
21-20
21-20
16-16
25-23
19-11
12-24
10-12
13-30
18-23
16-24
15-21
14-14
16-10
12-15
7-25
140.3Avg total
67.5Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)67.472.2139.7-4.838%
Season at home (9)69.068.4137.4+0.656%
Season away (7)65.477.1142.6-11.714%
Last 10 (10)67.572.8140.3-5.330%
Last 5 (5)61.475.4136.8-14.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)64.672.6137.2-8.136%
vs Similar (11)65.065.9130.9-0.936%
vs Weaker (5)68.666.4135.0+2.260%
This opponent (Sergio Ceppi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
Sergio CeppiLuis Matte Larrain
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sergio CeppiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H05/05
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A11/05
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H19/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H26/05
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A01/06
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A02/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H09/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A15/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H16/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A23/06
LNB 2
75.9Avg total
36.3Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)35.837.873.5-2.050%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.934.771.6+2.258%-
Last 30 away (14)34.840.475.2-5.643%-
Last 10 (10)36.339.675.9-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)31.439.070.4-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.248.182.4-13.912%-
vs Similar (14)35.132.667.7+2.657%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)41.035.276.2+5.8100%-
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Luis Matte LarrainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
24-25
24
25
-1
H28/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H12/05
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A19/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H19/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H26/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A02/06
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H15/06
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A16/06
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H29/06
LNB 2
68.1Avg total
32.9Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)33.336.469.7-3.239%-
Last 30 at home (10)35.033.268.2+1.860%-
Last 30 away (8)31.140.571.6-9.412%-
Last 10 (9)32.935.268.1-2.333%-
Last 5 (5)33.638.071.6-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)31.737.068.7-5.327%-
vs Similar (5)33.633.066.6+0.660%-
vs Weaker (2)41.042.083.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Sergio Ceppi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sergio Ceppitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sergio Ceppi: 71.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.219.8
42.9%
44.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.15.7
27.0%
28.7%17.1
🏀 Free throws22.914.4
62.9%
63.6%14.4
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Luis Matte Larraintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Luis Matte Larrain: 65.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.619.1
44.8%
44.9%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.15.6
27.9%
28.7%16.8
🏀 Free throws15.910.6
66.7%
63.6%10.6
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jun 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sergio Ceppi
LWLWWWLLLW
Luis Matte Larrain
LLLLLWLWLW
#6
League position
#9
-5.8
Net rating
-8.2
86.6
Offensive rating
88.4
92.5
Defensive rating
96.6
42.1%
Effective FG%
43.9%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.3%
22.4%
Turnover %
19.6%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.25
27.0%
3-point %
27.9%
53.7%
Assist %
56.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence86.6 · 88.4Defence92.5 · 96.6Shooting42.1% · 43.9%3-point %27.0% · 27.9%Ball care22.4% · 19.6%Off. rebounds30.7% · 26.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Sergio Ceppi   ■ Luis Matte Larrain
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Sergio Ceppi wins
3
Luis Matte Larrain wins
DateGameScore
28/04/24Luis Matte Larrain v Sergio Ceppi74-53
02/07/23Luis Matte Larrain v Sergio Ceppi73-57
07/05/23Sergio Ceppi v Luis Matte Larrain73-69
19/11/22Luis Matte Larrain v Sergio Ceppi68-67
15/10/22Sergio Ceppi v Luis Matte Larrain93-65
23/07/22Luis Matte Larrain v Sergio Ceppi63-65
05/06/22Sergio Ceppi v Luis Matte Larrain69-53
Sergio Ceppilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/06/24ABrisas60-72
16/06/24HArturo Prat San Felipe85-70
15/06/24ATruenos De Talca62-90
09/06/24HStadio Italiano68-67
02/06/24AMunicipal Chillan58-55
01/06/24AAleman93-91
26/05/24HBoston C. C.63-80
19/05/24HColo Colo69-87
11/05/24AArabe Valparaiso81-84
05/05/24HQuilpue Basquetbol82-73
Luis Matte Larrainlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/06/24HMunicipal Chillan49-64
16/06/24AColo Colo62-98
15/06/24HArabe Valparaiso66-70
02/06/24ABoston C. C.72-75
26/05/24HBrisas58-70
19/05/24HArturo Prat San Felipe94-92
19/05/24ATruenos De Talca72-75
12/05/24HStadio Italiano62-51
04/05/24AAleman66-80
28/04/24HSergio Ceppi74-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sergio Ceppi
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL61%
HomeWLLWW78%
AwayLWWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %61%78%44%
Points / game73.876.171.4
Allowed / game73.368.378.3
Point differential+0.4+7.8-6.9
Avg total147.1144.4149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Luis Matte Larrain
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL38%
HomeWWLLL56%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %38%56%14%
Points / game67.469.065.4
Allowed / game72.268.477.1
Point differential-4.8+0.6-11.7
Avg total139.7137.4142.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colo Colo17170100%84.962.5+22.4
2 Truenos De Talca1811761%71.767.2+4.5
3 Aleman1811761%74.570.9+3.6
4 Sergio Ceppi1811761%73.873.3+0.4
5 Stadio Italiano1710759%68.864.0+4.8
6 Boston C. C.1810856%70.668.3+2.3
7 Municipal Chillan1881044%62.566.6-4.1
8 Arabe Valparaiso167944%65.771.4-5.8
9 Quilpue Basquetbol1771041%65.671.1-5.4
10 Luis Matte Larrain1661038%67.472.2-4.8
11 Brisas1741324%67.270.7-3.5
12 Arturo Prat San Felipe1821611%70.385.0-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sergio Ceppi1422261880
Luis Matte Larrain1016121957
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