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Sergio Ceppi vs Luis Matte Larrain Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 58-64
23-17 13-20 13-15 9-12
Position#17
Record2-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game67.1
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#5
Record5-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game68.3
ChileLNB 2· Sergio Ceppi Gimnasio
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sergio Ceppi v Luis Matte Larrain
01 Jun 2025
SERG58
LUIS64
30 Jun 2024
SERG80
LUIS57
06 May 2023
SERG73
LUIS69
15 Oct 2022
SERG93
LUIS65
04 Jun 2022
SERG69
LUIS53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sergio Ceppi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Luis Matte Larrain winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sergio CeppiChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeppi
Date
Competition
Colo Colo
#1
L
78-91
78
91
-13
66avg 54
A28/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
62-76
62
76
-14
45avg 54
A29/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
50-73
50
73
-23
34avg 54
H04/08
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
L
69-90
69
90
-21
52avg 54
H28/03
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
76-65 OT
76
65
+11
63avg 54
A04/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
59-69
59
69
-10
49avg 54
H13/04
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#5
L
71-90
71
90
-19
52avg 54
A26/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
L
59-73
59
73
-14
46avg 54
A03/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
75-63
75
63
+12
71avg 54
H10/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
61-82
61
82
-21
53avg 54
A18/05
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
21-20
19-17
15-30
12-23
23-14
18-21
9-18
16-18
14-15
8-20
12-20
17-27
21-24
10-18
21-21
10-13
25-16
15-17
15-19
19-16
13-13
9-18
18-22
22-22
18-22
14-17
17-29
9-22
17-16
16-26
17-9
19-20
19-15
17-18
20-10
20-17
15-20
15-27
11-18
143.2Avg total
66.0Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)67.176.0143.1-8.929%
Season at home (3)67.774.0141.7-6.333%
Season away (4)66.877.5144.2-10.825%
Last 10 (10)66.077.2143.2-11.220%
Last 5 (5)65.075.4140.4-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)66.179.9146.0-13.714%
vs Similar (10)71.967.3139.2+4.670%
vs Weaker (6)80.075.3155.3+4.767%
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Luis Matte LarrainChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarrain
Date
Competition
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
55-66
55
66
-11
42avg 66
A14/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
79-86
79
86
-7
72avg 66
H21/07
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
97-89
97
89
+8
96avg 66
A21/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
65-73
65
73
-8
55avg 66
A29/03
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
63-57
63
57
+6
53avg 66
H12/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
W
86-74
86
74
+12
83avg 66
A18/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
90-71
90
71
+19
100avg 66
H26/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
71-82
71
82
-11
67avg 66
H03/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
82-60
82
60
+22
83avg 66
A17/05
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
W
74-61
74
61
+13
70avg 66
H25/05
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
12-23
17-16
11-13
30-15
15-20
16-26
18-25
20-19
32-23
22-11
23-36
19-17
13-21
20-9
13-26
17-20
22-9
10-14
14-14
26-20
22-20
25-8
13-26
22-22
22-18
17-14
29-17
14-27
24-15
19-27
14-13
18-17
24-11
23-17
17-15
24-19
11-22
17-4
22-16
148.1Avg total
76.2Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.968.3144.1+7.671%
Season at home (4)74.567.8142.2+6.875%
Season away (3)77.769.0146.7+8.767%
Last 10 (10)76.271.9148.1+4.360%
Last 5 (5)80.669.6150.2+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)67.672.4139.9-4.836%
vs Similar (10)67.572.2139.7-4.730%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)79.873.8153.7+6.083%
This opponent (Sergio Ceppi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
Sergio CeppiLuis Matte Larrain
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sergio CeppiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colo Colo
#1
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A28/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A29/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H04/08
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H28/03
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A04/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H13/04
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A26/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A03/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H10/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A18/05
LNB 2
73.0Avg total
35.3Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.936.872.8-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.834.772.5+3.262%-
Last 30 away (17)34.538.572.9-4.024%-
Last 10 (10)35.337.773.0-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)34.236.670.8-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)34.639.674.3-5.014%-
vs Similar (10)35.334.770.0+0.640%-
vs Weaker (6)40.033.873.8+6.2100%-
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Luis Matte LarrainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A14/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H21/07
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A21/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A29/03
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H12/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A18/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H26/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H03/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A17/05
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H25/05
LNB 2
77.4Avg total
40.2Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.837.072.8-1.245%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.535.973.4+1.553%-
Last 30 away (14)34.038.272.2-4.236%-
Last 10 (10)40.237.277.4+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.438.279.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)33.237.570.7-4.431%-
vs Similar (10)34.836.371.1-1.540%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)43.237.280.3+6.083%-
This opponent (Sergio Ceppi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sergio Ceppitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sergio Ceppi: 65.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.417.4
40.1%
46.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.16.8
28.2%
27.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws16.69.8
59.0%
64.0%9.8
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Luis Matte Larraintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Luis Matte Larrain: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.5
51.6%
46.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.6
30.8%
27.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws16.712.0
71.9%
64.0%12.0
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sergio Ceppi
LWLLLWLLLL
Luis Matte Larrain
WWLWWWLWLL
#17
League position
#5
-14.3
Net rating
+5.6
78.5
Offensive rating
97.2
92.8
Defensive rating
91.6
40.9%
Effective FG%
49.5%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
21.7%
Turnover %
21.5%
21.9%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
28.2%
3-point %
30.8%
57.9%
Assist %
60.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence78.5 · 97.2Defence92.8 · 91.6Shooting40.9% · 49.5%3-point %28.2% · 30.8%Ball care21.7% · 21.5%Off. rebounds21.9% · 29.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Sergio Ceppi   ■ Luis Matte Larrain
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/25ABoston C. C.61-82
10/05/25HBrisas75-63
03/05/25AStadio Italiano59-73
26/04/25ALuis Matte Larrain71-90
13/04/25HBoston C. C.59-69
04/04/25ABrisas76-65 OT
28/03/25HStadio Italiano69-90
04/08/24HColo Colo50-73
29/07/24AColo Colo62-76
28/07/24AColo Colo78-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/25HStadio Italiano74-61
17/05/25ABrisas82-60
03/05/25HBoston C. C.71-82
26/04/25HSergio Ceppi90-71
18/04/25AStadio Italiano86-74
12/04/25HBrisas63-57
29/03/25ABoston C. C.65-73
21/07/24AArturo Prat San Felipe97-89
21/07/24HTruenos De Talca79-86
14/07/24AQuilpue Basquetbol55-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sergio Ceppi
LNB 2 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game67.167.766.8
Allowed / game76.074.077.5
Point differential-8.9-6.3-10.8
Avg total143.1141.7144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %14%0%25%
Luis Matte Larrain
LNB 2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game75.974.577.7
Allowed / game68.367.869.0
Point differential+7.6+6.8+8.7
Avg total144.1142.2146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Truenos De Talca880100%79.165.8+13.4
2 Puerto Montt87188%89.568.0+21.5
3 Boston C. C.87188%77.963.2+14.6
4 Arabe Valparaiso86275%75.262.8+12.5
5 Luis Matte Larrain75271%75.968.3+7.6
6 Liceo Curico85362%69.564.4+5.1
7 Aleman85362%74.069.5+4.5
8 Illapel85362%70.270.6-0.4
9 Omega85362%60.464.0-3.6
10 Quilpue Basquetbol84450%70.967.9+3.0
11 Stadio Italiano84450%70.268.6+1.6
12 Municipal Chillan84450%61.265.8-4.5
13 The Sharks83538%75.975.0+0.9
14 Sergio Ceppi72529%67.176.0-8.9
15 CDSB Constitucion82625%74.676.9-2.2
16 Regional Temuco82625%73.883.4-9.6
17 Arturo Prat San Felipe82625%68.284.2-16.0
18 Tinguiririca81712%64.075.8-11.8
19 CD Huachipato81712%65.077.8-12.8
20 Brisas81712%59.674.8-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sergio Ceppi231313958
Luis Matte Larrain1720151264
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