PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Shandong vs Shenzhen Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 20 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#14
Record3-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game94.2
vs
Position#10
Record4-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game93.9
ChinaCBARound 16· Shandong Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Shandong v Shenzhen
20 Dec 2026
SHAN v SHEN
upcoming
22 Dec 2025
SHAN92
SHEN95
13 Dec 2024
SHAN107
SHEN98
24 Oct 2024
SHAN121
SHEN118
19 Jan 2024
SHAN106
SHEN118
12 Nov 2023
SHAN102
SHEN103
30 Dec 2022
SHAN87
SHEN97
04 Apr 2022
SHAN108
SHEN120
12 Mar 2022
SHAN106
SHEN111
17 Jan 2021
SHAN107
SHEN113
04 Jul 2020
SHAN111
SHEN107
01 Feb 2019
SHAN121
SHEN99
15 Nov 2017
SHAN106
SHEN99
24 Jan 2017
SHAN117
SHEN106
02 Dec 2015
SHAN102
SHEN95
19 Dec 2014
SHAN78
SHEN89
08 Jan 2014
SHAN112
SHEN98
03 Mar 2013
SHAN110
SHEN95
01 Mar 2013
SHAN92
SHEN86
28 Dec 2012
SHAN73
SHEN79
04 Dec 2011
SHAN94
SHEN100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shandong win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Shenzhen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShandongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShandong
Date
Competition
Shanghai
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
72avg 85
A06/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
68-96
68
96
-28
51avg 85
H09/05
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
84-95
84
95
-11
no box
H18/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
75-89
75
89
-14
no box
A21/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
106-97
106
97
+9
no box
A23/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
W
105-93
105
93
+12
no box
H25/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
92-103
92
103
-11
no box
H27/10
CBA
Fujian
#7
L
90-102
90
102
-12
no box
A29/10
CBA
Guangdong
#12
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
H31/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
97-99 OT
97
99
-2
no box
H02/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
20-19
17-17
17-18
12-29
20-29
17-20
19-18
13-27
31-26
23-21
17-21
20-28
13-16
12-26
30-19
22-25
26-23
26-17
32-32
31-25
22-19
20-25
32-24
15-25
22-30
34-26
21-22
26-22
29-29
19-26
16-25
19-27
21-12
20-21
25-16
29-21
25-21
16-26
17-19
181.5Avg total
88.1Scored
93.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.894.2186.0-2.538%
Season at home (5)92.693.2185.8-0.640%
Season away (3)90.396.0186.3-5.733%
Last 10 (10)88.193.4181.5-5.330%
Last 5 (5)93.894.6188.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)85.697.2182.8-11.50%
vs Similar (12)87.488.5175.9-1.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)104.790.9195.6+13.986%
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShenzhen
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
91-80
91
80
+11
73avg 94
H21/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
88-97
88
97
-9
74avg 94
H23/05
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
68-102
68
102
-34
no box
A16/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#17
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
A19/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
62-120
62
120
-58
no box
A22/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
70-103
70
103
-33
no box
H25/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
W
95-83
95
83
+12
no box
H28/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
A30/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
71-91
71
91
-20
no box
A01/11
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
no box
H03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-18
15-28
26-19
20-15
21-14
29-31
22-36
16-16
19-16
13-29
21-30
15-27
25-31
14-19
29-14
21-17
18-32
11-30
12-29
21-29
19-29
14-31
19-24
18-19
32-27
17-27
24-19
22-10
19-22
26-22
18-16
19-21
24-24
10-21
17-19
20-27
14-25
22-3
15-19
17-21
173.7Avg total
80.9Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.893.9172.6-15.150%
Season at home (3)86.092.0178.0-6.067%
Season away (5)74.495.0169.4-20.640%
Last 10 (10)80.992.8173.7-11.950%
Last 5 (5)82.289.6171.8-7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)78.893.9172.6-15.150%
vs Similar (10)98.295.7193.9+2.560%
vs Weaker (12)105.892.0197.8+13.8100%
This opponent (Shandong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -7.0-7.0Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.3-1.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -7.0-7.0Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.3-1.3
ShandongShenzhen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShandongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanghai
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A06/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
32-58
32
58
-26
H09/05
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H18/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A21/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A23/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H25/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H27/10
CBA
Fujian
#7
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A29/10
CBA
Guangdong
#12
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H31/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H02/11
CBA
92.4Avg total
44.1Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.649.095.6-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.647.993.5-2.444%-
Last 30 away (14)47.850.298.0-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)44.148.392.4-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)47.846.294.0+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)43.851.995.7-8.118%-
vs Similar (12)46.548.394.8-1.842%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)51.145.696.7+5.671%-
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H21/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H23/05
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A16/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#17
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A19/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
29-62
29
62
-33
A22/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
33-60
33
60
-27
H25/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H28/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A30/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A01/11
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H03/11
CBA
87.1Avg total
39.2Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.048.298.2+1.867%-
Last 30 at home (13)52.546.398.8+6.277%-
Last 30 away (17)48.149.697.8-1.559%-
Last 10 (10)39.247.987.1-8.730%-
Last 5 (5)39.446.285.6-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.148.585.6-11.425%-
vs Similar (10)52.850.4103.2+2.470%-
vs Weaker (12)56.346.2102.5+10.292%-
This opponent (Shandong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shandongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shandong: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.422.9
52.8%
53.8%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.2
33.9%
35.0%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.016.5
78.6%
74.8%16.5
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shenzhentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shenzhen: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.7
52.1%
53.8%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.5
33.5%
35.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.914.1
74.6%
74.8%14.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shandong
LWLLWWLLLL
Shenzhen
WLWWLLWLLW
#14
League position
#10
-2.8
Net rating
-14.8
96.8
Offensive rating
88.7
99.6
Defensive rating
103.5
52.1%
Effective FG%
51.4%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
14.8%
Turnover %
15.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.9%
3-point %
33.5%
58.8%
Assist %
65.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 88.7Defence99.6 · 103.5Shooting52.1% · 51.4%3-point %33.9% · 33.5%Ball care14.8% · 15.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Shandong   ■ Shenzhen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Shandong wins
6
Shenzhen wins
DateGameScore
19/04/26Shenzhen v Shandong95-103
22/12/25Shandong v Shenzhen92-95
15/03/25Shenzhen v Shandong100-111
11/01/25Shenzhen v Shandong115-99
13/12/24Shandong v Shenzhen107-98
24/10/24Shandong v Shenzhen121-118 OT
30/03/24Shenzhen v Shandong106-95
19/01/24Shandong v Shenzhen106-118
16/12/23Shenzhen v Shandong110-96
12/11/23Shandong v Shenzhen102-103
Shandonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26HBeijing Royal Fighters97-99 OT
31/10/26HGuangdong85-76
29/10/26AFujian90-102
27/10/26HBeijing92-103
25/10/26HTianjin105-93
23/10/26ANanjing Tongxi106-97
21/10/26AZhejiang Chouzhou75-89
18/10/26HLiaoning84-95
09/05/26HShanghai68-96
06/05/26AShanghai79-84
Shenzhenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HZhejiang Chouzhou93-90 OT
01/11/26ALiaoning71-91
30/10/26AJilin82-81
28/10/26HShanxi Zhongyu95-83
25/10/26HBeijing Royal Fighters70-103
22/10/26ABeijing62-120
19/10/26AJiangsu Dragons89-81
16/10/26AShanghai68-102
23/05/26HZhejiang Guangsha88-97
21/05/26HZhejiang Guangsha91-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shandong
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL38%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%40%33%
Points / game91.892.690.3
Allowed / game94.293.296.0
Point differential-2.5-0.6-5.7
Avg total186.0185.8186.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %12%20%0%
Shenzhen
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game78.886.074.4
Allowed / game93.992.095.0
Point differential-15.1-6.0-20.6
Avg total172.6178.0169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %12%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing880100%107.479.6+27.8
2 Shanghai87188%98.889.1+9.6
3 Liaoning87188%97.087.8+9.2
4 Beijing Royal Fighters86275%99.183.0+16.1
5 Shanxi Zhongyu86275%99.290.0+9.2
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou85362%83.676.5+7.1
7 Fujian85362%90.586.5+4.0
8 Zhejiang Guangsha85362%91.694.9-3.2
9 Guangzhou84450%91.295.1-3.9
10 Shenzhen84450%78.893.9-15.1
11 Jilin83538%86.987.1-0.2
12 Guangdong83538%88.690.4-1.8
13 Qingdao83538%91.593.2-1.8
14 Shandong83538%91.894.2-2.5
15 Xinjiang83538%85.889.5-3.8
16 Tianjin82625%92.195.5-3.4
17 Jiangsu Dragons82625%81.586.9-5.4
18 Nanjing Tongxi82625%88.197.0-8.9
19 Sichuan82625%79.893.9-14.1
20 Ningbo Rockets8080%79.198.2-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.