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Shenzhen vs Shandong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 106-95
28-24 24-29 31-23 23-19
Position#8
Record29-20
FormWLLLW
Points / game104.9
Allowed / game102.5
vs
Position#15
Record20-29
FormLLWWW
Points / game103.5
Allowed / game104.9
ChinaCBARound 50· Shenzhen Dayun Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shenzhen v Shandong
15 Dec 2026
SHEN v SHAN
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
SHEN95
SHAN103
15 Mar 2025
SHEN100
SHAN111
11 Jan 2025
SHEN115
SHAN99
30 Mar 2024
SHEN106
SHAN95
16 Dec 2023
SHEN110
SHAN96
19 Dec 2022
SHEN110
SHAN105
10 Oct 2022
SHEN102
SHAN90
02 Apr 2022
SHEN115
SHAN101
06 Mar 2022
SHEN118
SHAN115
26 Dec 2020
SHEN110
SHAN107
22 Dec 2019
SHEN104
SHAN95
23 Nov 2018
SHEN116
SHAN91
16 Jan 2018
SHEN129
SHAN103
29 Nov 2016
SHEN122
SHAN99
22 Dec 2015
SHEN94
SHAN108
05 Nov 2014
SHEN97
SHAN94
19 Nov 2013
SHEN108
SHAN103
27 Feb 2013
SHEN86
SHAN91
06 Feb 2013
SHEN94
SHAN117
13 Jan 2012
SHEN95
SHAN89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shenzhen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shandong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShenzhenChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShenzhen
Date
Competition
Tianjin
#14
W
109-99
109
99
+10
109avg 98
A08/03
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
L
106-111
106
111
-5
95avg 98
H10/03
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
98-109
98
109
-11
89avg 98
A12/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
97-102
97
102
-5
83avg 98
H14/03
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
103-94
103
94
+9
101avg 98
A17/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
109-91
109
91
+18
95avg 98
A19/03
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
86-112
86
112
-26
80avg 98
A21/03
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
L
106-115
106
115
-9
102avg 98
H24/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
97-111
97
111
-14
86avg 98
A26/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
89-77
89
77
+12
86avg 98
A28/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-30
28-29
24-19
24-21
25-27
27-23
19-25
35-36
23-26
31-32
23-25
21-26
28-25
24-22
26-22
19-33
22-24
33-30
20-26
28-14
27-27
27-25
25-21
30-18
20-31
25-24
20-28
21-29
26-32
23-17
29-38
28-28
31-26
29-34
16-24
21-27
23-23
28-17
21-19
17-18
202.1Avg total
100.0Scored
102.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)104.9102.5207.3+2.459%
Season at home (23)108.6103.1211.7+5.565%
Season away (26)101.6101.9203.5-0.354%
Last 10 (10)100.0102.1202.1-2.140%
Last 5 (5)97.4101.2198.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)101.2106.8208.0-5.644%
vs Similar ◀ (12)104.6106.2210.8-1.633%
vs Weaker (9)110.2100.0210.2+10.2100%
This opponent (Shandong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShandongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShandong
Date
Competition
Xinjiang
#3
L
121-130
121
130
-9
110avg 94
A07/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
116-123
116
123
-7
99avg 94
H09/03
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
115-120 OT
115
120
-5
no box
A11/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
98-92
98
92
+6
90avg 94
A15/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
104-107
104
107
-3
103avg 94
H17/03
CBA
Guangdong
#4
L
101-127
101
127
-26
83avg 94
A20/03
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
L
110-116
110
116
-6
105avg 94
A22/03
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
120-109
120
109
+11
119avg 94
H24/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
111-85
111
85
+26
110avg 94
H26/03
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
115-98
115
98
+17
115avg 94
A28/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-38
33-28
28-29
25-35
22-32
31-34
31-25
32-32
29-27
28-33
18-24
33-24
24-24
27-28
27-18
20-22
28-20
26-29
22-34
28-24
23-39
32-32
24-24
22-32
27-16
35-37
22-30
26-33
25-33
30-24
33-27
32-25
29-22
25-24
33-18
24-21
36-25
35-22
22-25
22-26
221.8Avg total
111.1Scored
110.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)103.5104.9208.3-1.441%
Season at home (25)107.9103.2211.1+4.760%
Season away (24)98.9106.6205.5-7.721%
Last 10 (10)111.1110.7221.8+0.440%
Last 5 (5)111.4107.0218.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)103.2108.4211.7-5.222%
vs Similar ◀ (16)107.6107.4215.1+0.244%
vs Weaker (5)99.097.2196.2+1.880%
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
ShenzhenShandong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShenzhenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tianjin
#14
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A08/03
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H10/03
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A12/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H14/03
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A17/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A19/03
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A21/03
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H24/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
D
60-60
60
60
+0
A26/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A28/03
CBA
105.7Avg total
53.3Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.352.8106.1+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.651.9106.5+2.664%-
Last 30 away (16)52.253.5105.7-1.344%-
Last 10 (10)53.352.4105.7+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)51.851.2103.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)50.153.9104.0-3.822%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)53.852.8106.6+0.942%-
vs Weaker (9)55.951.6107.4+4.3100%-
This opponent (Shandong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShandongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xinjiang
#3
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A07/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
53-66
53
66
-13
H09/03
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A11/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A15/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H17/03
CBA
Guangdong
#4
L
55-71
55
71
-16
A20/03
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
62-53
62
53
+9
A22/03
CBA
Fujian
#17
L
55-57
55
57
-2
H24/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H26/03
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
71-47
71
47
+24
A28/03
CBA
114.7Avg total
58.0Scored
56.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.154.4108.5-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.153.7108.8+1.457%-
Last 30 away (16)53.254.9108.2-1.731%-
Last 10 (10)58.056.7114.7+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)59.454.8114.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)55.056.1111.1-1.156%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)54.255.2109.4-0.931%-
vs Weaker (5)52.048.6100.6+3.460%-
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shenzhentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shenzhen: 98.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.025.6
50.2%
52.7%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.5
33.3%
34.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws25.718.9
73.5%
76.0%18.9
They take 79.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shandongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shandong: 108.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.726.3
50.9%
52.7%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.312.2
37.8%
34.6%36.6
🏀 Free throws24.619.6
79.7%
76.0%19.6
They take 84.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shenzhen
WLLLWWLLLW
Shandong
WWWLLLWLLL
#8
League position
#15
-3.1
Net rating
+0.1
105.7
Offensive rating
114.5
108.8
Defensive rating
114.4
50.1%
Effective FG%
53.1%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
16.1%
Turnover %
14.0%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.3%
3-point %
37.8%
64.7%
Assist %
64.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 114.5Defence108.8 · 114.4Shooting50.1% · 53.1%3-point %33.3% · 37.8%Ball care16.1% · 14.0%Off. rebounds28.7% · 30.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Shenzhen   ■ Shandong
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Shenzhen wins
0
Shandong wins
DateGameScore
19/01/24Shandong v Shenzhen106-118
16/12/23Shenzhen v Shandong110-96
12/11/23Shandong v Shenzhen102-103
30/12/22Shandong v Shenzhen87-97
19/12/22Shenzhen v Shandong110-105
10/10/22Shenzhen v Shandong102-90
04/04/22Shandong v Shenzhen108-120
02/04/22Shenzhen v Shandong115-101
12/03/22Shandong v Shenzhen106-111
06/03/22Shenzhen v Shandong118-115
Shenzhenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/24AJiangsu Dragons89-77
26/03/24AShanghai97-111
24/03/24HGuangzhou106-115
21/03/24AZhejiang Chouzhou86-112
19/03/24ANingbo Rockets109-91
17/03/24AFujian103-94
14/03/24HXinjiang97-102
12/03/24ALiaoning98-109
10/03/24HNanjing Tongxi106-111
08/03/24ATianjin109-99
Shandonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/24AFujian115-98
26/03/24HBeijing Royal Fighters111-85
24/03/24HFujian120-109
22/03/24ANanjing Tongxi110-116
20/03/24AGuangdong101-127
17/03/24HZhejiang Guangsha104-107
15/03/24ANingbo Rockets98-92
11/03/24AZhejiang Chouzhou115-120 OT
09/03/24HShanghai116-123
07/03/24AXinjiang121-130

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shenzhen
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW59%
HomeWWLLL65%
AwayWWLLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492326
Win %59%65%54%
Points / game104.9108.6101.6
Allowed / game102.5103.1101.9
Point differential+2.4+5.5-0.3
Avg total207.3211.7203.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)29% (7)57% (7)
Overtime %6%4%8%
Shandong
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW41%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLWLLW21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492524
Win %41%60%21%
Points / game103.5107.998.9
Allowed / game104.9103.2106.6
Point differential-1.4+4.7-7.7
Avg total208.3211.1205.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%28%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won41% (17)45% (11)33% (6)
Overtime %8%4%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning4940982%103.493.6+9.8
2 Zhejiang Chouzhou49381178%108.798.8+9.9
3 Xinjiang49381178%105.496.8+8.6
4 Guangdong49351471%110.3103.8+6.6
5 Zhejiang Guangsha49321765%103.997.8+6.1
6 Shanghai49311863%106.5102.9+3.6
7 Qingdao49292059%103.1100.3+2.9
8 Shenzhen49292059%104.9102.5+2.4
9 Guangzhou49272255%102.799.1+3.5
10 Beijing Royal Fighters49272255%106.1104.3+1.9
11 Beijing49252451%100.7100.0+0.7
12 Shanxi Zhongyu49242549%110.8111.6-0.8
13 Nanjing Tongxi49232647%103.8106.1-2.4
14 Tianjin49212843%106.5109.0-2.4
15 Shandong49202941%103.5104.9-1.4
16 Jilin49183137%103.4106.8-3.4
17 Fujian49173235%103.2107.1-3.9
18 Jiangsu Dragons4964312%92.2103.4-11.2
19 Ningbo Rockets4964312%93.0107.2-14.2
20 Sichuan494458%95.0111.2-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shenzhen28243123106
Shandong2429231995
← all games of the day
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