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Shandong vs Shenzhen Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 24 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 121-118 (OT)
34-30 33-27 11-25 26-22 17-14
Position#6
Record3-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game105.8
Allowed / game101.2
vs
Position#13
Record2-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game108.6
Allowed / game111.4
ChinaCBARound 6· Shandong Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Shandong v Shenzhen
20 Dec 2026
SHAN v SHEN
upcoming
22 Dec 2025
SHAN92
SHEN95
13 Dec 2024
SHAN107
SHEN98
24 Oct 2024
SHAN121
SHEN118
19 Jan 2024
SHAN106
SHEN118
12 Nov 2023
SHAN102
SHEN103
30 Dec 2022
SHAN87
SHEN97
04 Apr 2022
SHAN108
SHEN120
12 Mar 2022
SHAN106
SHEN111
17 Jan 2021
SHAN107
SHEN113
04 Jul 2020
SHAN111
SHEN107
01 Feb 2019
SHAN121
SHEN99
15 Nov 2017
SHAN106
SHEN99
24 Jan 2017
SHAN117
SHEN106
02 Dec 2015
SHAN102
SHEN95
19 Dec 2014
SHAN78
SHEN89
08 Jan 2014
SHAN112
SHEN98
03 Mar 2013
SHAN110
SHEN95
01 Mar 2013
SHAN92
SHEN86
28 Dec 2012
SHAN73
SHEN79
04 Dec 2011
SHAN94
SHEN100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shandong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shenzhen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShandongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShandong
Date
Competition
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
111-85
111
85
+26
110avg 96
H26/03
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
115-98
115
98
+17
115avg 96
A28/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
L
95-106
95
106
-11
85avg 96
A30/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
102-119
102
119
-17
95avg 96
A02/04
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
128-104
128
104
+24
133avg 96
H06/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
102-113
102
113
-11
91avg 96
H13/10
CBA
Guangdong
#8
W
115-105
115
105
+10
106avg 96
H15/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
96-103
96
103
-7
87avg 96
A17/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
108-83
108
83
+25
104avg 96
A19/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
W
108-102
108
102
+6
99avg 96
A22/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
25-24
33-18
24-21
36-25
35-22
22-25
22-26
24-28
29-24
23-31
19-23
23-26
26-33
30-40
23-20
41-30
24-26
35-28
28-20
22-27
23-35
24-29
33-22
29-22
28-27
29-24
29-32
28-25
22-33
28-25
18-20
30-31
20-12
35-19
23-21
28-30
28-25
27-20
25-27
209.8Avg total
108.0Scored
101.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)105.8101.2207.0+4.660%
Season at home (2)108.5109.0217.5-0.550%
Season away (3)104.096.0200.0+8.067%
Last 10 (10)108.0101.8209.8+6.260%
Last 5 (5)105.8101.2207.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)103.9112.2216.1-8.311%
vs Similar (16)108.2107.8216.0+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)106.696.8203.4+9.880%
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShenzhen
Date
Competition
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
94-99
94
99
-5
82avg 98
A13/04
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
117-97
117
97
+20
119avg 98
H15/04
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
87-124
87
124
-37
77avg 98
A18/04
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
93-132
93
132
-39
84avg 98
A20/04
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
80-102
80
102
-22
71avg 98
H23/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
91-104
91
104
-13
86avg 98
A13/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
117-130
117
130
-13
116avg 98
A15/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
121-100
121
100
+21
123avg 98
H18/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
100-120
100
120
-20
97avg 98
A20/10
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
114-103
114
103
+11
87avg 98
A22/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-32
31-25
25-20
16-22
29-33
27-26
29-17
32-21
30-25
22-28
13-38
22-33
20-29
28-24
19-40
26-39
19-26
21-25
19-28
21-23
21-31
26-20
22-27
22-26
19-42
32-39
34-26
32-23
33-32
35-34
27-20
26-14
30-26
30-41
21-19
19-34
27-31
37-20
30-24
20-28
212.5Avg total
101.4Scored
111.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)108.6111.4220.0-2.840%
Season at home (1)121.0100.0221.0+21.0100%
Season away (4)105.5114.2219.8-8.825%
Last 10 (10)101.4111.1212.5-9.730%
Last 5 (5)108.6111.4220.0-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)97.4114.4211.8-17.010%
vs Similar (13)104.6104.4209.0+0.246%
vs Weaker (7)110.999.9210.7+11.0100%
This opponent (Shandong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.7-2.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.7-2.7
ShandongShenzhen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShandongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H26/03
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
71-47
71
47
+24
A28/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A30/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
49-59
49
59
-10
A02/04
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H06/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
45-62
45
62
-17
H13/10
CBA
Guangdong
#8
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H15/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A17/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A19/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A22/10
CBA
107.7Avg total
55.0Scored
52.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.755.6110.3-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.254.9110.1+0.357%-
Last 30 away (16)54.356.1110.4-1.838%-
Last 10 (10)55.052.7107.7+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)51.653.4105.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)55.459.0114.4-3.644%-
vs Similar (16)55.055.6110.6-0.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)52.649.2101.8+3.460%-
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
53-57
53
57
-4
A13/04
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H15/04
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A18/04
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A20/04
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H23/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A13/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
51-81
51
81
-30
A15/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H18/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A20/10
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
64-51
64
51
+13
A22/10
CBA
112.8Avg total
53.9Scored
58.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.555.2108.7-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.653.1106.6+0.543%-
Last 30 away (16)53.457.0110.4-3.638%-
Last 10 (10)53.958.9112.8-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)58.063.2121.2-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)50.757.2107.9-6.510%-
vs Similar (13)53.455.1108.5-1.731%-
vs Weaker (7)57.752.4110.1+5.3100%-
This opponent (Shandong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shandongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shandong: 106.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.627.8
54.9%
52.6%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.6
36.3%
35.1%31.8
🏀 Free throws25.019.2
76.8%
76.3%19.2
They take 79.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shenzhentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shenzhen: 103.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.130.0
54.4%
52.6%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.6
31.9%
35.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws28.320.5
72.4%
76.3%20.5
They take 78.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shandong
WWLWLWLLWW
Shenzhen
WLWLLLLLWL
#6
League position
#13
+6.2
Net rating
-8.2
113.2
Offensive rating
103.1
107.0
Defensive rating
111.3
54.8%
Effective FG%
52.5%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
16.2%
Turnover %
15.7%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
21.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.3%
3-point %
31.9%
63.3%
Assist %
64.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 103.1Defence107.0 · 111.3Shooting54.8% · 52.5%3-point %36.3% · 31.9%Ball care16.2% · 15.7%Off. rebounds29.9% · 21.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Shandong   ■ Shenzhen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Shandong wins
10
Shenzhen wins
DateGameScore
30/03/24Shenzhen v Shandong106-95
19/01/24Shandong v Shenzhen106-118
16/12/23Shenzhen v Shandong110-96
12/11/23Shandong v Shenzhen102-103
30/12/22Shandong v Shenzhen87-97
19/12/22Shenzhen v Shandong110-105
10/10/22Shenzhen v Shandong102-90
04/04/22Shandong v Shenzhen108-120
02/04/22Shenzhen v Shandong115-101
12/03/22Shandong v Shenzhen106-111
Shandonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/24AZhejiang Chouzhou108-102
19/10/24ANingbo Rockets108-83
17/10/24AZhejiang Guangsha96-103
15/10/24HGuangdong115-105
13/10/24HZhejiang Guangsha102-113
06/04/24HNingbo Rockets128-104
02/04/24AQingdao102-119
30/03/24AShenzhen95-106
28/03/24AFujian115-98
26/03/24HBeijing Royal Fighters111-85
Shenzhenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/24ATianjin114-103
20/10/24AShanxi Zhongyu100-120
18/10/24HJiangsu Dragons121-100
15/10/24AXinjiang117-130
13/10/24ANanjing Tongxi91-104
23/04/24HLiaoning80-102
20/04/24ALiaoning93-132
18/04/24ALiaoning87-124
15/04/24HBeijing Royal Fighters117-97
13/04/24ABeijing Royal Fighters94-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shandong
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game105.8108.5104.0
Allowed / game101.2109.096.0
Point differential+4.6-0.5+8.0
Avg total207.0217.5200.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shenzhen
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%100%25%
Points / game108.6121.0105.5
Allowed / game111.4100.0114.2
Point differential-2.8+21.0-8.8
Avg total220.0221.0219.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning550100%113.491.6+21.8
2 Beijing550100%102.290.4+11.8
3 Zhejiang Guangsha550100%111.499.6+11.8
4 Shanxi Zhongyu54180%113.8104.4+9.4
5 Beijing Royal Fighters54180%107.6100.2+7.4
6 Jilin53260%114.6110.0+4.6
7 Shandong53260%105.8101.2+4.6
8 Xinjiang53260%108.0105.2+2.8
9 Qingdao53260%104.2101.8+2.4
10 Nanjing Tongxi53260%109.8109.6+0.2
11 Guangdong53260%108.0108.2-0.2
12 Tianjin42250%107.2107.5-0.2
13 Zhejiang Chouzhou52340%112.8109.2+3.6
14 Shenzhen52340%108.6111.4-2.8
15 Shanghai51420%100.8108.4-7.6
16 Ningbo Rockets51420%103.6114.0-10.4
17 Sichuan5050%100.4113.0-12.6
18 Jiangsu Dragons5050%95.0109.8-14.8
19 Fujian5050%101.0117.2-16.2
20 Guangzhou4040%90.8110.2-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Shandong3433112617121
Shenzhen3027252214118
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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