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Shenzhen vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 106-115
26-32 23-17 29-38 28-28
Position#8
Record28-18
FormLLWWL
Points / game105.4
Allowed / game102.6
vs
Position#9
Record24-22
FormLWWWW
Points / game102.0
Allowed / game98.9
ChinaCBARound 47· Shenzhen Dayun Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shenzhen v Guangzhou
13 Jan 2027
SHEN v GUAN
upcoming
16 Mar 2026
SHEN97
GUAN96
29 Oct 2024
SHEN101
GUAN108
24 Mar 2024
SHEN106
GUAN115
04 Nov 2023
SHEN105
GUAN108
17 Jan 2023
SHEN89
GUAN114
17 Mar 2022
SHEN114
GUAN120
07 Jan 2021
SHEN112
GUAN103
05 Jan 2020
SHEN96
GUAN90
06 Nov 2019
SHEN103
GUAN119
03 Mar 2019
SHEN97
GUAN117
21 Oct 2018
SHEN123
GUAN107
03 Mar 2018
SHEN121
GUAN113
11 Feb 2018
SHEN138
GUAN121
30 Oct 2016
SHEN110
GUAN106
01 Nov 2015
SHEN116
GUAN111
26 Dec 2014
SHEN122
GUAN110
10 Nov 2013
SHEN97
GUAN107
20 Jan 2013
SHEN141
GUAN133
07 Dec 2011
SHEN117
GUAN104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shenzhen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShenzhenChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShenzhen
Date
Competition
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
109-97
109
97
+12
no box
H31/01
CBA
Guangdong
#4
W
97-90
97
90
+7
84avg 98
H03/02
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
L
96-109
96
109
-13
79avg 98
A05/02
CBA
Tianjin
#14
W
109-99
109
99
+10
109avg 98
A08/03
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
L
106-111
106
111
-5
95avg 98
H10/03
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
98-109
98
109
-11
89avg 98
A12/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
97-102
97
102
-5
83avg 98
H14/03
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
103-94
103
94
+9
101avg 98
A17/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
109-91
109
91
+18
95avg 98
A19/03
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
86-112
86
112
-26
80avg 98
A21/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-16
24-27
30-24
25-30
23-25
24-22
26-18
24-25
28-33
17-34
28-16
23-26
33-30
28-29
24-19
24-21
25-27
27-23
19-25
35-36
23-26
31-32
23-25
21-26
28-25
24-22
26-22
19-33
22-24
33-30
20-26
28-14
27-27
27-25
25-21
30-18
20-31
25-24
20-28
21-29
202.4Avg total
101.0Scored
101.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)105.4102.6207.9+2.861%
Season at home (22)108.7102.5211.3+6.268%
Season away (24)102.3102.6204.9-0.354%
Last 10 (10)101.0101.4202.4-0.450%
Last 5 (5)98.6101.6200.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)101.2106.8208.0-5.644%
vs Similar ◀ (12)105.4102.8208.2+2.750%
vs Weaker (9)112.4102.7215.1+9.8100%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Shanghai
#6
L
92-100
92
100
-8
62avg 96
A01/02
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
125-98
125
98
+27
126avg 96
H03/02
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
109-96
109
96
+13
95avg 96
H05/02
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
L
100-102
100
102
-2
85avg 96
A06/03
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
103-109
103
109
-6
97avg 96
A09/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
97-104
97
104
-7
78avg 96
H11/03
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
115-100
115
100
+15
114avg 96
A14/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
108-96
108
96
+12
103avg 96
H16/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
101-79
101
79
+22
94avg 96
H19/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
102-99
102
99
+3
100avg 96
A21/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-33
21-26
18-24
24-17
24-31
35-21
29-21
37-25
33-28
34-17
16-28
26-23
20-26
27-20
19-38
34-18
34-29
29-27
23-32
17-21
22-25
26-30
16-19
33-30
34-35
29-22
26-21
26-22
27-21
29-28
23-19
29-28
27-24
27-19
23-15
24-21
25-27
20-22
27-24
30-26
203.5Avg total
105.2Scored
98.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)102.098.9200.9+3.152%
Season at home (23)104.397.8202.1+6.561%
Season away (23)99.7100.0199.7-0.343%
Last 10 (10)105.298.3203.5+6.960%
Last 5 (5)104.695.6200.2+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)100.7103.3204.0-2.733%
vs Similar ◀ (11)98.9100.5199.5-1.636%
vs Weaker (13)106.098.3204.3+7.769%
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +4.9+4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +4.9+4.9
ShenzhenGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShenzhenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H31/01
CBA
Guangdong
#4
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H03/02
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
L
45-67
45
67
-22
A05/02
CBA
Tianjin
#14
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A08/03
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H10/03
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A12/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H14/03
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A17/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A19/03
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A21/03
CBA
105.1Avg total
51.9Scored
53.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.552.2105.7+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.350.5105.7+4.873%-
Last 30 away (15)51.853.9105.7-2.147%-
Last 10 (10)51.953.2105.1-1.360%-
Last 5 (5)52.053.2105.2-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)50.153.9104.0-3.822%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)54.250.3104.5+3.858%-
vs Weaker (9)56.152.9109.0+3.2100%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanghai
#6
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A01/02
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H03/02
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
67-45
67
45
+22
H05/02
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A06/03
CBA
Liaoning
#1
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A09/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H11/03
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A14/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H16/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H19/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A21/03
CBA
106.3Avg total
55.2Scored
51.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.351.9104.1+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.152.1106.2+1.964%-
Last 30 away (16)50.751.6102.3-0.944%-
Last 10 (10)55.251.1106.3+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)53.250.6103.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)53.355.7109.0-2.350%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)50.252.3102.5-2.136%-
vs Weaker (13)53.549.8103.3+3.869%-
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shenzhentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shenzhen: 92.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.725.1
52.6%
52.7%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.8
30.1%
34.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws25.118.7
74.5%
76.0%18.7
They take 73.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 93.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.726.2
50.7%
52.7%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.4
37.0%
34.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.316.0
78.8%
76.0%16.0
They take 74.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shenzhen
LWWLLLWLWW
Guangzhou
WWWWLLLWWL
#8
League position
#9
-2.4
Net rating
+4.4
107.0
Offensive rating
112.4
109.4
Defensive rating
108.0
50.0%
Effective FG%
52.2%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
15.1%
Turnover %
13.5%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.1%
3-point %
37.0%
61.7%
Assist %
52.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 112.4Defence109.4 · 108.0Shooting50.0% · 52.2%3-point %30.1% · 37.0%Ball care15.1% · 13.5%Off. rebounds29.1% · 29.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Shenzhen   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Shenzhen wins
5
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
05/02/24Guangzhou v Shenzhen109-96
03/12/23Guangzhou v Shenzhen108-115
04/11/23Shenzhen v Guangzhou105-108
17/01/23Shenzhen v Guangzhou89-114
01/01/23Guangzhou v Shenzhen109-105
21/03/22Guangzhou v Shenzhen104-119
17/03/22Shenzhen v Guangzhou114-120
07/01/21Shenzhen v Guangzhou112-103
20/12/20Guangzhou v Shenzhen96-98
21/01/20Guangzhou v Shenzhen97-120
Shenzhenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/24AZhejiang Chouzhou86-112
19/03/24ANingbo Rockets109-91
17/03/24AFujian103-94
14/03/24HXinjiang97-102
12/03/24ALiaoning98-109
10/03/24HNanjing Tongxi106-111
08/03/24ATianjin109-99
05/02/24AGuangzhou96-109
03/02/24HGuangdong97-90
31/01/24HShanxi Zhongyu109-97
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/24AQingdao102-99
19/03/24HJiangsu Dragons101-79
16/03/24HXinjiang108-96
14/03/24AJilin115-100
11/03/24HShanghai97-104
09/03/24ALiaoning103-109
06/03/24AJiangsu Dragons100-102
05/02/24HShenzhen109-96
03/02/24HSichuan125-98
01/02/24AShanghai92-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shenzhen
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL61%
HomeWWWLL68%
AwayWLWWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462224
Win %61%68%54%
Points / game105.4108.7102.3
Allowed / game102.6102.5102.6
Point differential+2.8+6.2-0.3
Avg total207.9211.3204.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%45%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)29% (7)57% (7)
Overtime %7%5%8%
Guangzhou
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW52%
HomeWWLWW61%
AwayLLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462323
Win %52%61%43%
Points / game102.0104.399.7
Allowed / game98.997.8100.0
Point differential+3.1+6.5-0.3
Avg total200.9202.1199.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%52%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)0% (3)50% (8)
Overtime %2%4%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning4638883%104.494.0+10.3
2 Xinjiang4637980%106.396.5+9.8
3 Zhejiang Chouzhou46351176%108.999.8+9.1
4 Guangdong46321470%109.7104.5+5.2
5 Zhejiang Guangsha47321568%104.496.6+7.8
6 Shenzhen46281861%105.4102.6+2.8
7 Shanghai46281861%105.9103.2+2.6
8 Beijing Royal Fighters46271959%106.4103.4+3.0
9 Qingdao47272057%102.6100.1+2.5
10 Guangzhou46242252%102.098.9+3.1
11 Beijing46242252%100.899.8+1.0
12 Shanxi Zhongyu47232449%110.4112.0-1.6
13 Nanjing Tongxi46212546%103.4106.2-2.8
14 Tianjin46202643%106.3108.8-2.5
15 Shandong46172937%102.7105.3-2.6
16 Fujian46172937%103.7106.7-3.0
17 Jilin47173036%103.1106.6-3.5
18 Jiangsu Dragons4664013%92.4103.4-10.9
19 Ningbo Rockets4764113%92.8106.9-14.1
20 Sichuan474439%95.7111.3-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shenzhen26232928106
Guangzhou32173828115
← all games of the day
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