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Guangdong vs Shandong Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 127-101
39-23 32-32 24-24 32-22
Position#4
Record30-14
FormWWWWW
Points / game109.6
Allowed / game105.0
Guangdong 🏆
China
vs
Shandong
China
Position#15
Record17-27
FormLLLWL
Points / game102.6
Allowed / game104.6
ChinaCBARound 45· Dongguan Basketball Center
Other2023-24
Meetings · Guangdong v Shandong
01 Apr 2027
GUAN v SHAN
upcoming
26 Dec 2025
GUAN94
SHAN88
04 Jan 2025
GUAN98
SHAN93
20 Mar 2024
GUAN127
SHAN101
02 Apr 2023
GUAN102
SHAN93
01 Mar 2022
GUAN127
SHAN101
20 Apr 2021
GUAN117
SHAN99
05 Feb 2021
GUAN131
SHAN112
18 Jan 2020
GUAN132
SHAN103
08 Nov 2019
GUAN126
SHAN110
04 Jan 2019
GUAN132
SHAN97
21 Jan 2018
GUAN110
SHAN113
27 Nov 2016
GUAN104
SHAN94
19 Feb 2016
GUAN125
SHAN105
17 Feb 2016
GUAN130
SHAN111
01 Nov 2015
GUAN95
SHAN98
07 Nov 2014
GUAN96
SHAN85
22 Nov 2013
GUAN86
SHAN64
27 Mar 2013
GUAN97
SHAN83
24 Mar 2013
GUAN93
SHAN82
15 Feb 2013
GUAN105
SHAN103
11 Jan 2012
GUAN102
SHAN92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangdong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shandong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
91-105
91
105
-14
82avg 102
A26/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
138-112
138
112
+26
134avg 102
H28/01
CBA
Tianjin
#14
L
117-133
117
133
-16
110avg 102
H30/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
L
90-97
90
97
-7
77avg 102
A03/02
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
122-126
122
126
-4
118avg 102
H05/02
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
134-131 OT
134
131
+3
no box
H07/03
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
121-113
121
113
+8
112avg 102
H09/03
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
120-116
120
116
+4
119avg 102
A13/03
CBA
Liaoning
#1
W
119-94
119
94
+25
115avg 102
H15/03
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
104-92
104
92
+12
104avg 102
A17/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-33
20-24
24-28
18-20
32-28
34-34
34-22
38-28
28-28
34-31
22-34
33-40
25-23
22-24
18-26
25-24
33-37
36-21
25-34
28-34
31-38
37-27
24-26
28-29
32-30
38-32
28-18
23-33
36-42
28-32
28-23
28-19
33-29
32-22
29-27
25-16
35-32
29-12
17-17
23-31
227.5Avg total
115.6Scored
111.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)109.6105.0214.6+4.668%
Season at home (22)114.4105.0219.4+9.473%
Season away (22)104.9105.0209.9-0.164%
Last 10 (10)115.6111.9227.5+3.760%
Last 5 (5)119.6109.2228.8+10.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)103.0105.4208.4-2.430%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)113.9105.8219.7+8.280%
This opponent (Shandong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShandongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShandong
Date
Competition
Xinjiang
#3
L
98-102
98
102
-4
93avg 93
H27/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
104-100
104
100
+4
101avg 93
H29/01
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
86-103
86
103
-17
74avg 93
A31/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
115-111
115
111
+4
110avg 93
H03/02
CBA
Jilin
#16
L
104-112
104
112
-8
113avg 93
A05/02
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
121-130
121
130
-9
110avg 93
A07/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
116-123
116
123
-7
99avg 93
H09/03
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
115-120 OT
115
120
-5
no box
A11/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
98-92
98
92
+6
90avg 93
A15/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
104-107
104
107
-3
103avg 93
H17/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-31
23-20
18-28
20-23
28-24
23-19
24-22
29-35
27-25
18-32
24-22
17-24
27-23
27-37
32-25
29-26
34-36
24-27
23-33
23-16
35-38
33-28
28-29
25-35
22-32
31-34
31-25
32-32
29-27
28-33
18-24
33-24
24-24
27-28
27-18
20-22
28-20
26-29
22-34
28-24
216.1Avg total
106.1Scored
110.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)102.6104.6207.2-2.039%
Season at home (23)107.2103.7211.0+3.557%
Season away (21)97.5105.6203.1-8.019%
Last 10 (10)106.1110.0216.1-3.930%
Last 5 (5)110.8114.4225.2-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)103.1105.6208.7-2.422%
vs Similar (15)103.7109.3213.1-5.627%
vs Weaker (6)101.396.8198.2+4.583%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.5-0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.5-0.5
GuangdongShandong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A26/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H28/01
CBA
Tianjin
#14
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H30/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A03/02
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H05/02
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H07/03
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H09/03
CBA
Fujian
#17
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A13/03
CBA
Liaoning
#1
W
65-51
65
51
+14
H15/03
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
64-44
64
44
+20
A17/03
CBA
120.3Avg total
62.4Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.653.5110.1+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.254.3113.5+4.976%-
Last 30 away (13)53.252.5105.6+0.738%-
Last 10 (10)62.457.9120.3+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)66.259.2125.4+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)51.556.2107.7-4.730%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)59.152.1111.3+7.075%-
This opponent (Shandong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShandongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xinjiang
#3
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H27/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H29/01
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A31/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H03/02
CBA
Jilin
#16
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A05/02
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A07/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
53-66
53
66
-13
H09/03
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A11/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A15/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H17/03
CBA
111.8Avg total
55.1Scored
56.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.854.4107.2-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.954.7109.6+0.257%-
Last 30 away (16)50.954.2105.1-3.325%-
Last 10 (10)55.156.7111.8-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)56.658.6115.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)54.953.9108.8+1.067%-
vs Similar (15)51.057.6108.6-6.613%-
vs Weaker (6)54.047.3101.3+6.767%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 107.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.330.0
60.9%
52.7%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.2
37.9%
34.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws22.016.7
75.9%
76.0%16.7
They take 76.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shandongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shandong: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.021.8
50.7%
52.7%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.2
36.4%
34.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws23.818.7
78.6%
76.0%18.7
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangdong
WWWWWLLLWL
Shandong
LWLLLLWLWL
#4
League position
#15
+6.7
Net rating
-4.0
121.3
Offensive rating
111.6
114.6
Defensive rating
115.6
59.4%
Effective FG%
52.3%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
14.6%
Turnover %
15.5%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.9%
3-point %
36.4%
59.5%
Assist %
60.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence121.3 · 111.6Defence114.6 · 115.6Shooting59.4% · 52.3%3-point %37.9% · 36.4%Ball care14.6% · 15.5%Off. rebounds32.2% · 30.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Guangdong   ■ Shandong
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Guangdong wins
3
Shandong wins
DateGameScore
08/11/23Shandong v Guangdong112-88
02/04/23Guangdong v Shandong102-93
19/10/22Shandong v Guangdong96-95 OT
22/03/22Shandong v Guangdong111-110 OT
01/03/22Guangdong v Shandong127-101
22/04/21Shandong v Guangdong112-118
20/04/21Guangdong v Shandong117-99
10/03/21Shandong v Guangdong90-104
05/02/21Guangdong v Shandong131-112
18/01/20Guangdong v Shandong132-103
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24ASichuan104-92
15/03/24HLiaoning119-94
13/03/24AFujian120-116
09/03/24HJilin121-113
07/03/24HBeijing Royal Fighters134-131 OT
05/02/24HZhejiang Chouzhou122-126
03/02/24AShenzhen90-97
30/01/24HTianjin117-133
28/01/24HNanjing Tongxi138-112
26/01/24AZhejiang Guangsha91-105
Shandonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24HZhejiang Guangsha104-107
15/03/24ANingbo Rockets98-92
11/03/24AZhejiang Chouzhou115-120 OT
09/03/24HShanghai116-123
07/03/24AXinjiang121-130
05/02/24AJilin104-112
03/02/24HQingdao115-111
31/01/24ALiaoning86-103
29/01/24HJiangsu Dragons104-100
27/01/24HXinjiang98-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangdong
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW68%
HomeLLWWW73%
AwayWLLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442222
Win %68%73%64%
Points / game109.6114.4104.9
Allowed / game105.0105.0105.0
Point differential+4.6+9.4-0.1
Avg total214.6219.4209.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won82% (11)50% (4)100% (7)
Overtime %2%5%0%
Shandong
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL39%
HomeLWWLL57%
AwayLLLLW19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442321
Win %39%57%19%
Points / game102.6107.297.5
Allowed / game104.6103.7105.6
Point differential-2.0+3.5-8.0
Avg total207.2211.0203.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%22%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won41% (17)45% (11)33% (6)
Overtime %9%4%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning4537882%104.294.6+9.5
2 Xinjiang4536980%106.096.3+9.7
3 Zhejiang Chouzhou45341176%108.8100.1+8.8
4 Guangdong44301468%109.6105.0+4.6
5 Zhejiang Guangsha45301567%104.597.1+7.4
6 Shanghai44281664%106.0102.5+3.4
7 Shenzhen45281762%105.8102.4+3.4
8 Beijing Royal Fighters45271860%106.7103.4+3.4
9 Qingdao45261958%102.399.8+2.6
10 Guangzhou45232251%102.098.9+3.1
11 Beijing44222250%100.3100.0+0.4
12 Shanxi Zhongyu45222349%110.4112.2-1.7
13 Tianjin45202544%106.4108.7-2.4
14 Nanjing Tongxi45202544%103.1106.2-3.0
15 Shandong44172739%102.6104.6-2.0
16 Fujian45162936%103.7107.1-3.4
17 Jilin45162936%103.2107.0-3.9
18 Jiangsu Dragons4563913%92.6103.6-11.0
19 Ningbo Rockets4563913%93.4107.3-13.9
20 Sichuan454419%96.6111.4-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangdong39322432127
Shandong23322422101
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