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Shenzhen vs Sichuan Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 18 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#10
Record4-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game93.9
vs
Position#19
Record2-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game93.9
ChinaCBARound 28· Shenzhen Dayun Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Shenzhen v Sichuan
18 Jan 2027
SHEN v SICH
upcoming
24 Dec 2025
SHEN96
SICH87
26 Oct 2024
SHEN93
SICH111
29 Dec 2023
SHEN120
SICH108
12 Mar 2023
SHEN117
SICH98
31 Oct 2021
SHEN126
SICH107
31 Mar 2021
SHEN114
SICH106
18 Oct 2020
SHEN93
SICH83
05 Dec 2019
SHEN98
SICH95
30 Oct 2018
SHEN115
SICH121
31 Oct 2017
SHEN117
SICH105
18 Nov 2016
SHEN109
SICH100
25 Dec 2015
SHEN100
SICH109
14 Nov 2014
SHEN131
SICH113
22 Dec 2013
SHEN106
SICH92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shenzhen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sichuan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShenzhenChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShenzhen
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
91-80
91
80
+11
73avg 95
H21/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
88-97
88
97
-9
74avg 95
H23/05
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
68-102
68
102
-34
no box
A16/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#17
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
A19/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
62-120
62
120
-58
no box
A22/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
70-103
70
103
-33
no box
H25/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
W
95-83
95
83
+12
no box
H28/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
A30/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
71-91
71
91
-20
no box
A01/11
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
no box
H03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-18
15-28
26-19
20-15
21-14
29-31
22-36
16-16
19-16
13-29
21-30
15-27
25-31
14-19
29-14
21-17
18-32
11-30
12-29
21-29
19-29
14-31
19-24
18-19
32-27
17-27
24-19
22-10
19-22
26-22
18-16
19-21
24-24
10-21
17-19
20-27
14-25
22-3
15-19
17-21
173.7Avg total
80.9Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.893.9172.6-15.150%
Season at home (3)86.092.0178.0-6.067%
Season away (5)74.495.0169.4-20.640%
Last 10 (10)80.992.8173.7-11.950%
Last 5 (5)82.289.6171.8-7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.893.9172.6-15.150%
vs Similar ◀ (10)98.295.7193.9+2.560%
vs Weaker (12)105.892.0197.8+13.8100%
This opponent (Sichuan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SichuanChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSichuan
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
85-101
85
101
-16
69avg 59
A20/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
81-104
81
104
-23
63avg 59
H24/04
CBA
Tianjin
#16
W
97-85
97
85
+12
no box
H17/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
W
91-88
91
88
+3
no box
A20/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
93-104
93
104
-11
no box
A23/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
49-91
49
91
-42
no box
H25/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
L
81-91
81
91
-10
no box
H27/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
64-115
64
115
-51
no box
A29/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
89-95
89
95
-6
no box
A01/11
CBA
Fujian
#7
L
74-82
74
82
-8
no box
H03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
28-30
17-17
20-24
9-30
23-31
25-28
24-15
28-22
25-26
25-15
19-22
24-22
24-20
22-26
21-20
23-30
29-29
22-25
19-20
14-28
10-21
14-19
11-23
15-19
21-34
18-19
27-19
14-33
12-26
18-29
20-27
19-29
25-25
23-23
22-18
19-14
23-20
23-32
9-16
176.0Avg total
80.4Scored
95.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.893.9173.6-14.125%
Season at home (4)75.287.2162.5-12.025%
Season away (4)84.2100.5184.8-16.225%
Last 10 (10)80.495.6176.0-15.220%
Last 5 (5)71.494.8166.2-23.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (30)75.699.9175.4-24.37%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -7.2-7.2Q2Q2: -7.0-7.0Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -7.2-7.2Q2Q2: -7.0-7.0Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
ShenzhenSichuan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShenzhenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H21/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H23/05
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A16/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#17
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A19/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
29-62
29
62
-33
A22/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
33-60
33
60
-27
H25/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H28/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A30/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A01/11
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H03/11
CBA
87.1Avg total
39.2Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.048.298.2+1.867%-
Last 30 at home (13)52.546.398.8+6.277%-
Last 30 away (17)48.149.697.8-1.559%-
Last 10 (10)39.247.987.1-8.730%-
Last 5 (5)39.446.285.6-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.148.585.6-11.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)52.850.4103.2+2.470%-
vs Weaker (12)56.346.2102.5+10.292%-
This opponent (Sichuan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SichuanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A20/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
32-61
32
61
-29
H24/04
CBA
Tianjin
#16
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H17/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A20/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A23/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
24-49
24
49
-25
H25/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H27/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
26-59
26
59
-33
A29/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A01/11
CBA
Fujian
#7
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H03/11
CBA
92.4Avg total
40.5Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.650.888.5-13.217%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.951.388.2-14.419%-
Last 30 away (14)38.550.388.8-11.814%-
Last 10 (10)40.551.992.4-11.430%-
Last 5 (5)34.449.884.2-15.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (30)37.650.888.5-13.217%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shenzhentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shenzhen: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.7
52.1%
53.8%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.5
33.5%
35.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.914.1
74.6%
74.8%14.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sichuantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sichuan: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.4
51.5%
53.8%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.0
34.2%
35.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.914.0
70.4%
74.8%14.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shenzhen
WLWWLLWLLW
Sichuan
LLLLLLWWLL
#10
League position
#19
-14.8
Net rating
-18.7
88.7
Offensive rating
90.8
103.5
Defensive rating
109.5
51.4%
Effective FG%
51.4%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
58.8%
15.4%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.5%
3-point %
34.2%
65.1%
Assist %
53.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence88.7 · 90.8Defence103.5 · 109.5Shooting51.4% · 51.4%3-point %33.5% · 34.2%Ball care15.4% · 15.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Shenzhen   ■ Sichuan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Shenzhen wins
1
Sichuan wins
DateGameScore
13/04/26Sichuan v Shenzhen113-126
24/12/25Shenzhen v Sichuan96-87
10/03/25Sichuan v Shenzhen97-105
26/10/24Shenzhen v Sichuan93-111
29/12/23Shenzhen v Sichuan120-108
22/10/23Sichuan v Shenzhen69-88
12/03/23Shenzhen v Sichuan117-98
01/03/23Sichuan v Shenzhen85-94
07/11/21Sichuan v Shenzhen96-125
31/10/21Shenzhen v Sichuan126-107
Shenzhenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HZhejiang Chouzhou93-90 OT
01/11/26ALiaoning71-91
30/10/26AJilin82-81
28/10/26HShanxi Zhongyu95-83
25/10/26HBeijing Royal Fighters70-103
22/10/26ABeijing62-120
19/10/26AJiangsu Dragons89-81
16/10/26AShanghai68-102
23/05/26HZhejiang Guangsha88-97
21/05/26HZhejiang Guangsha91-80
Sichuanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HFujian74-82
01/11/26AShanxi Zhongyu89-95
29/10/26ABeijing Royal Fighters64-115
27/10/26HNanjing Tongxi81-91
25/10/26HZhejiang Chouzhou49-91
23/10/26ALiaoning93-104
20/10/26AJilin91-88
17/10/26HTianjin97-85
24/04/26HZhejiang Chouzhou81-104
20/04/26AJiangsu Dragons85-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shenzhen
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game78.886.074.4
Allowed / game93.992.095.0
Point differential-15.1-6.0-20.6
Avg total172.6178.0169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %12%33%0%
Sichuan
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game79.875.284.2
Allowed / game93.987.2100.5
Point differential-14.1-12.0-16.2
Avg total173.6162.5184.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing880100%107.479.6+27.8
2 Shanghai87188%98.889.1+9.6
3 Liaoning87188%97.087.8+9.2
4 Beijing Royal Fighters86275%99.183.0+16.1
5 Shanxi Zhongyu86275%99.290.0+9.2
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou85362%83.676.5+7.1
7 Fujian85362%90.586.5+4.0
8 Zhejiang Guangsha85362%91.694.9-3.2
9 Guangzhou84450%91.295.1-3.9
10 Shenzhen84450%78.893.9-15.1
11 Jilin83538%86.987.1-0.2
12 Guangdong83538%88.690.4-1.8
13 Qingdao83538%91.593.2-1.8
14 Shandong83538%91.894.2-2.5
15 Xinjiang83538%85.889.5-3.8
16 Tianjin82625%92.195.5-3.4
17 Jiangsu Dragons82625%81.586.9-5.4
18 Nanjing Tongxi82625%88.197.0-8.9
19 Sichuan82625%79.893.9-14.1
20 Ningbo Rockets8080%79.198.2-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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