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Aomori vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 59-89
17-16 13-25 16-27 13-21
Position#12
Record18-26
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game85.4
vs
Position#8
Record18-26
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game81.0
JapanB2.League· Tsugaru City General Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Aomori v Kumamoto
02 Mar 2025
AOMO59
KUMA89
01 Mar 2025
AOMO95
KUMA99
31 Mar 2024
AOMO98
KUMA89
30 Mar 2024
AOMO90
KUMA73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aomori winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kumamoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Toyama
#3
W
89-83
89
83
+6
89avg 72
A29/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
62-77
62
77
-15
51avg 72
A01/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
78-82
78
82
-4
69avg 72
A02/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
67-76
67
76
-9
56avg 72
H08/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
79-66
79
66
+13
70avg 72
H09/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
68-64
68
64
+4
63avg 72
H15/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
74-84
74
84
-10
62avg 72
H16/02
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
83-93
83
93
-10
76avg 72
A22/02
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
78-70
78
70
+8
65avg 72
A23/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
95-99 OT
95
99
-4
82avg 72
H01/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-28
16-15
23-20
23-20
12-19
23-20
10-22
17-16
17-16
21-15
17-17
23-34
19-13
20-11
12-31
16-21
21-20
13-15
25-8
20-23
13-15
16-16
18-20
21-13
24-15
13-16
14-18
23-35
22-23
25-21
15-26
21-23
14-14
25-23
27-18
12-15
20-20
15-22
19-21
30-21
156.7Avg total
77.3Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)78.885.4164.2-6.641%
Season at home (22)79.583.9163.4-4.450%
Season away (22)78.186.9165.0-8.832%
Last 10 (10)77.379.4156.7-2.140%
Last 5 (5)79.682.0161.6-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)77.987.8165.7-9.931%
vs Similar (2)71.074.0145.0-3.050%
vs Weaker (2)93.579.0172.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
W
76-63
76
63
+13
73avg 73
H29/01
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
70-78
70
78
-8
63avg 73
A01/02
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
69-94
69
94
-25
61avg 73
A02/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
84-71
84
71
+13
80avg 73
A08/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
79-63
79
63
+16
76avg 73
A09/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
84-80
84
80
+4
85avg 73
H15/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
57-55
57
55
+2
52avg 73
H16/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
63-67
63
67
-4
51avg 73
H22/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
92-60
92
60
+32
91avg 73
H23/02
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
99-95 OT
99
95
+4
97avg 73
A01/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
15-16
21-12
20-19
23-20
9-16
21-17
17-25
20-22
12-26
13-21
24-25
22-15
17-22
19-13
26-21
23-19
12-20
29-11
15-13
18-28
24-19
22-18
20-15
19-11
6-15
11-14
21-15
17-20
22-11
8-19
16-17
23-12
32-11
22-18
15-19
20-20
22-15
21-19
21-30
149.9Avg total
77.3Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)77.581.0158.5-3.541%
Season at home (22)76.378.9155.2-2.541%
Season away (22)78.683.2161.8-4.541%
Last 10 (10)77.372.6149.9+4.770%
Last 5 (5)79.071.4150.4+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.980.6152.5-8.838%
vs Similar (12)76.677.2153.8-0.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)84.974.3159.2+10.680%
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
AomoriKumamoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A29/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A01/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A02/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H08/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H09/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H15/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H16/02
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A22/02
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A23/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H01/03
B2.League
73.3Avg total
37.6Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.879.7-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.638.276.9+0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)39.243.182.2-3.931%-
Last 10 (10)37.635.773.3+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)37.437.074.4+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)39.441.781.1-2.335%-
vs Similar (2)33.031.064.0+2.050%-
vs Weaker (2)39.038.577.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H29/01
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A01/02
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A02/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A08/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A09/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H15/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H16/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H22/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
55-23
55
23
+32
H23/02
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A01/03
B2.League
73.0Avg total
37.6Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.039.379.3+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.936.875.7+2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)41.141.882.9-0.747%-
Last 10 (10)37.635.473.0+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.632.473.0+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.240.577.8-3.225%-
vs Similar (12)39.640.580.1-0.942%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.736.979.6+5.870%-
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.322.5
48.6%
51.0%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.46.3
32.5%
32.9%18.9
🏀 Free throws20.012.4
62.0%
70.7%12.4
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.821.9
51.2%
51.0%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.56.2
31.8%
32.9%18.6
🏀 Free throws20.414.3
70.1%
70.7%14.3
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aomori
LWLLWWLLLW
Kumamoto
WWLWWWWLLW
#12
League position
#8
-2.7
Net rating
+6.8
98.2
Offensive rating
104.6
100.9
Defensive rating
97.8
48.6%
Effective FG%
50.1%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
45.3%
18.1%
Turnover %
20.3%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
35.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.5%
3-point %
31.8%
67.0%
Assist %
63.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.2 · 104.6Defence100.9 · 97.8Shooting48.6% · 50.1%3-point %32.5% · 31.8%Ball care18.1% · 20.3%Off. rebounds28.1% · 35.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Aomori   ■ Kumamoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Aomori wins
3
Kumamoto wins
DateGameScore
01/03/25Aomori v Kumamoto95-99 OT
15/12/24Kumamoto v Aomori88-87
14/12/24Kumamoto v Aomori73-77
31/03/24Aomori v Kumamoto98-89
30/03/24Aomori v Kumamoto90-73
26/11/23Kumamoto v Aomori95-88
25/11/23Kumamoto v Aomori89-100
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HKumamoto95-99 OT
23/02/25AFukui78-70
22/02/25AFukui83-93
16/02/25HFukushima74-84
15/02/25HFukushima68-64
09/02/25HYamagata Wyverns79-66
08/02/25HYamagata Wyverns67-76
02/02/25AShizuoka78-82
01/02/25AShizuoka62-77
29/01/25AToyama89-83
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25AAomori99-95 OT
23/02/25HFukushima92-60
22/02/25HFukushima63-67
16/02/25HFukuoka57-55
15/02/25HFukuoka84-80
09/02/25AEhime Orange Vikings79-63
08/02/25AEhime Orange Vikings84-71
02/02/25AFukui69-94
01/02/25AFukui70-78
29/01/25HShizuoka76-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aomori
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL41%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayWLLLW32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442222
Win %41%50%32%
Points / game78.879.578.1
Allowed / game85.483.986.9
Point differential-6.6-4.4-8.8
Avg total164.2163.4165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Kumamoto
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW41%
HomeWWWLW41%
AwayLLWWW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442222
Win %41%41%41%
Points / game77.576.378.6
Allowed / game81.078.983.2
Point differential-3.5-2.5-4.5
Avg total158.5155.2161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%18%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)56% (9)75% (4)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba4542393%91.875.3+16.5
2 Fukuoka45321371%83.774.5+9.1
3 Shinshu45301567%85.877.6+8.2
4 Toyama45281762%88.481.8+6.6
5 Kagoshima Rebnise45281762%82.378.9+3.4
6 Shizuoka45281762%78.274.8+3.3
7 Fukui45261958%82.880.0+2.8
8 Kumamoto44182641%77.581.0-3.5
9 Aomori44182641%78.885.4-6.6
10 Nara45182740%76.880.2-3.4
11 Yamagata Wyverns45172838%79.883.2-3.4
12 Kobe45153033%78.383.6-5.3
13 Fukushima45113424%72.782.7-10.0
14 Ehime Orange Vikings453427%72.890.8-17.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aomori1713161359
Kumamoto1625272189
← all games of the day
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