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Aomori vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 95-99 (OT)
20-20 15-22 19-21 30-21 11-15
Position#12
Record18-25
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game85.1
vs
Position#8
Record17-26
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game80.7
JapanB2.League· Tsugaru City General Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Aomori v Kumamoto
02 Mar 2025
AOMO59
KUMA89
01 Mar 2025
AOMO95
KUMA99
31 Mar 2024
AOMO98
KUMA89
30 Mar 2024
AOMO90
KUMA73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aomori winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kumamoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Fukui
#7
L
73-112
73
112
-39
70avg 72
H26/01
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
89-83
89
83
+6
89avg 72
A29/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
62-77
62
77
-15
51avg 72
A01/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
78-82
78
82
-4
69avg 72
A02/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
67-76
67
76
-9
56avg 72
H08/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
79-66
79
66
+13
70avg 72
H09/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
68-64
68
64
+4
63avg 72
H15/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
74-84
74
84
-10
62avg 72
H16/02
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
83-93
83
93
-10
76avg 72
A22/02
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
78-70
78
70
+8
65avg 72
A23/02
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
18-30
12-34
16-30
27-28
16-15
23-20
23-20
12-19
23-20
10-22
17-16
17-16
21-15
17-17
23-34
19-13
20-11
12-31
16-21
21-20
13-15
25-8
20-23
13-15
16-16
18-20
21-13
24-15
13-16
14-18
23-35
22-23
25-21
15-26
21-23
14-14
25-23
27-18
12-15
155.8Avg total
75.1Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)78.485.1163.5-6.742%
Season at home (21)78.883.2162.0-4.452%
Season away (22)78.186.9165.0-8.832%
Last 10 (10)75.180.7155.8-5.640%
Last 5 (5)76.475.4151.8+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)77.386.9164.2-9.535%
vs Similar (2)71.074.0145.0-3.050%
vs Weaker (2)93.579.0172.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#5
L
59-72
59
72
-13
44avg 72
H26/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
76-63
76
63
+13
73avg 72
H29/01
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
70-78
70
78
-8
63avg 72
A01/02
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
69-94
69
94
-25
61avg 72
A02/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
84-71
84
71
+13
80avg 72
A08/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
79-63
79
63
+16
76avg 72
A09/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
84-80
84
80
+4
85avg 72
H15/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
57-55
57
55
+2
52avg 72
H16/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
63-67
63
67
-4
51avg 72
H22/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
92-60
92
60
+32
91avg 72
H23/02
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-13
21-19
12-19
12-21
20-16
15-16
21-12
20-19
23-20
9-16
21-17
17-25
20-22
12-26
13-21
24-25
22-15
17-22
19-13
26-21
23-19
12-20
29-11
15-13
18-28
24-19
22-18
20-15
19-11
6-15
11-14
21-15
17-20
22-11
8-19
16-17
23-12
32-11
22-18
15-19
143.6Avg total
73.3Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)77.080.7157.7-3.740%
Season at home (22)76.378.9155.2-2.541%
Season away (21)77.782.6160.3-5.038%
Last 10 (10)73.370.3143.6+3.060%
Last 5 (5)75.065.0140.0+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.980.6152.5-8.838%
vs Similar (13)76.877.8154.6-0.946%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)83.372.0155.3+11.378%
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
AomoriKumamoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukui
#7
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H26/01
B2.League
Toyama
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A29/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A01/02
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A02/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H08/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H09/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H15/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H16/02
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A22/02
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A23/02
B2.League
74.9Avg total
38.6Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.840.479.2-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.437.375.7+1.150%-
Last 30 away (16)39.243.182.2-3.931%-
Last 10 (10)38.636.374.9+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.235.672.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)39.341.280.5-2.038%-
vs Similar (2)33.031.064.0+2.050%-
vs Weaker (2)39.038.577.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#5
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H26/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H29/01
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A01/02
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A02/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A08/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A09/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H15/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H16/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H22/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
55-23
55
23
+32
H23/02
B2.League
72.0Avg total
36.9Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.839.178.9+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.936.875.7+2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)40.741.582.1-0.847%-
Last 10 (10)36.935.172.0+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.233.272.4+6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.240.577.8-3.225%-
vs Similar (13)39.239.778.9-0.546%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.837.179.9+5.767%-
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.721.5
48.1%
51.0%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.96.5
34.4%
32.9%19.5
🏀 Free throws18.411.6
63.0%
70.7%11.6
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.820.8
48.6%
51.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.46.0
30.9%
32.9%18.0
🏀 Free throws19.313.3
68.9%
70.7%13.3
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aomori
WLLWWLLLWL
Kumamoto
WLWWWWLLWL
#12
League position
#8
-7.3
Net rating
+5.1
96.8
Offensive rating
101.4
104.1
Defensive rating
96.2
49.1%
Effective FG%
47.9%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
19.7%
Turnover %
20.4%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
35.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.4%
3-point %
30.9%
67.1%
Assist %
63.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 101.4Defence104.1 · 96.2Shooting49.1% · 47.9%3-point %34.4% · 30.9%Ball care19.7% · 20.4%Off. rebounds27.6% · 35.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Aomori   ■ Kumamoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Aomori wins
2
Kumamoto wins
DateGameScore
15/12/24Kumamoto v Aomori88-87
14/12/24Kumamoto v Aomori73-77
31/03/24Aomori v Kumamoto98-89
30/03/24Aomori v Kumamoto90-73
26/11/23Kumamoto v Aomori95-88
25/11/23Kumamoto v Aomori89-100
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25AFukui78-70
22/02/25AFukui83-93
16/02/25HFukushima74-84
15/02/25HFukushima68-64
09/02/25HYamagata Wyverns79-66
08/02/25HYamagata Wyverns67-76
02/02/25AShizuoka78-82
01/02/25AShizuoka62-77
29/01/25AToyama89-83
26/01/25HFukui73-112
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25HFukushima92-60
22/02/25HFukushima63-67
16/02/25HFukuoka57-55
15/02/25HFukuoka84-80
09/02/25AEhime Orange Vikings79-63
08/02/25AEhime Orange Vikings84-71
02/02/25AFukui69-94
01/02/25AFukui70-78
29/01/25HShizuoka76-63
26/01/25HShinshu59-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aomori
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW42%
HomeLLWWL52%
AwayWLLLW32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432122
Win %42%52%32%
Points / game78.478.878.1
Allowed / game85.183.286.9
Point differential-6.7-4.4-8.8
Avg total163.5162.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%19%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Kumamoto
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW40%
HomeWWWLW41%
AwayWLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432221
Win %40%41%38%
Points / game77.076.377.7
Allowed / game80.778.982.6
Point differential-3.7-2.5-5.0
Avg total157.7155.2160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%18%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)56% (9)67% (3)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba4340393%91.875.4+16.4
2 Fukuoka43311272%84.074.6+9.5
3 Shinshu44301468%86.077.3+8.6
4 Kagoshima Rebnise43281565%82.578.7+3.8
5 Toyama43271663%89.282.2+7.0
6 Shizuoka43261760%77.974.7+3.2
7 Fukui44251957%82.780.0+2.7
8 Aomori43182542%78.485.1-6.7
9 Yamagata Wyverns43172640%80.182.8-2.7
10 Kumamoto43172640%77.080.7-3.7
11 Nara43162737%76.180.8-4.7
12 Kobe43142933%78.584.1-5.6
13 Fukushima43103323%72.683.0-10.4
14 Ehime Orange Vikings433407%73.190.7-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Aomori201519301195
Kumamoto202221211599
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