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Shumen vs Beroe Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 122-74
31-18 25-25 28-20 38-11
Position#6
Record9-16
FormLLWLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game83.1
Shumen 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Beroe
Bulgaria
Position#12
Record8-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game88.5
BulgariaNBLRound 4· Arena Shumen
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shumen v Beroe
10 Apr 2027
SHUM v BERO
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
SHUM90
BERO83
20 Oct 2024
SHUM91
BERO93
21 Mar 2024
SHUM122
BERO74
14 Oct 2023
SHUM76
BERO92
27 Oct 2022
SHUM77
BERO74
30 Jan 2022
SHUM65
BERO81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shumen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Beroe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShumenBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShumen
Date
Competition
Minyor
#10
W
70-65
70
65
+5
48avg 70
H13/01
NBL
Levski
#7
W
76-61
76
61
+15
67avg 70
H17/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
90-97
90
97
-7
78avg 70
A20/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
86-89
86
89
-3
76avg 70
A27/01
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
86-82
86
82
+4
71avg 70
H03/02
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
83-85
83
85
-2
70avg 70
A10/02
NBL
Yambol
#9
L
79-80
79
80
-1
70avg 70
H16/02
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
67-61
67
61
+6
61avg 70
H02/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
85-89
85
89
-4
77avg 70
A06/03
NBL
Levski
#7
W
79-68
79
68
+11
77avg 70
A09/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
15-12
21-12
13-26
20-6
14-29
25-15
17-11
26-19
30-29
18-26
16-23
20-19
22-22
24-25
20-23
24-24
19-15
26-15
17-28
21-19
18-18
17-28
27-20
27-19
23-20
19-14
10-27
14-14
14-15
21-20
18-12
21-25
24-13
12-28
28-23
24-16
23-21
12-20
20-11
157.8Avg total
80.1Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.983.1165.0-1.236%
Season at home (12)80.383.0163.3-2.733%
Season away (13)83.483.2166.6+0.238%
Last 10 (10)80.177.7157.8+2.450%
Last 5 (5)78.676.6155.2+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)81.991.9173.8-10.018%
vs Similar (10)81.080.5161.5+0.540%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)80.381.8162.1-1.444%
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeroeBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeroe
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
70-82
70
82
-12
57avg 71
H13/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
80-86
80
86
-6
71avg 71
A17/01
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
94-79
94
79
+15
98avg 71
H20/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
80-100
80
100
-20
72avg 71
H29/01
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
60-97
60
97
-37
49avg 71
A03/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
80-112
80
112
-32
67avg 71
A10/02
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
92-98
92
98
-6
89avg 71
H16/02
NBL
Yambol
#9
L
84-101
84
101
-17
58avg 71
A02/03
NBL
Levski
#7
L
59-90
59
90
-31
46avg 71
A06/03
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
81-106
81
106
-25
65avg 71
A10/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
23-27
12-23
19-13
15-21
21-26
33-20
11-19
29-16
19-22
20-21
26-20
17-22
21-24
15-32
27-22
14-27
20-22
14-31
12-17
20-33
15-26
26-31
19-22
20-30
29-22
23-22
20-24
28-27
17-23
16-24
23-27
16-23
4-23
19-25
20-19
21-28
17-21
20-33
23-24
173.1Avg total
78.0Scored
95.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)80.888.5169.3-7.732%
Season at home (11)83.785.2168.9-1.545%
Season away (14)78.591.1169.6-12.621%
Last 10 (10)78.095.1173.1-17.110%
Last 5 (5)79.2101.4180.6-22.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)80.489.9170.3-9.429%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)102.081.0183.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Shumen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -6.4-6.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -6.4-6.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
ShumenBeroe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShumenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minyor
#10
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H13/01
NBL
Levski
#7
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H17/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A20/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A27/01
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H03/02
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A10/02
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H16/02
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H02/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A06/03
NBL
Levski
#7
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A09/03
NBL
79.0Avg total
42.0Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.640.782.3+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.940.580.4-0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)43.340.984.2+2.373%-
Last 10 (10)42.037.079.0+5.080%-
Last 5 (5)41.836.077.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)42.844.186.9-1.364%-
vs Similar (10)41.439.280.6+2.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.238.378.6+1.956%-
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H13/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A17/01
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H20/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H29/01
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A03/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A10/02
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H16/02
NBL
Yambol
#9
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A02/03
NBL
Levski
#7
L
20-46
20
46
-26
A06/03
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A10/03
NBL
86.4Avg total
38.2Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.845.585.3-5.730%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.242.184.4+0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)37.848.486.2-10.712%-
Last 10 (10)38.248.286.4-10.010%-
Last 5 (5)37.451.288.6-13.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)38.745.684.3-7.025%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)56.043.599.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Shumen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shumentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shumen: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.621.9
51.4%
54.3%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.17.2
26.6%
31.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.813.7
69.2%
71.1%13.7
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beroe: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.7
54.4%
54.3%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.78.9
28.1%
31.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws15.912.7
79.9%
71.1%12.7
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shumen
WLWLLWLLWW
Beroe
LLLLLLLWLL
#6
League position
#12
+2.8
Net rating
-22.6
100.9
Offensive rating
97.3
98.1
Defensive rating
119.8
46.9%
Effective FG%
48.5%
46.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
17.7%
Turnover %
20.4%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
26.6%
3-point %
28.1%
45.0%
Assist %
54.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 97.3Defence98.1 · 119.8Shooting46.9% · 48.5%3-point %26.6% · 28.1%Ball care17.7% · 20.4%Off. rebounds33.0% · 25.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Shumen   ■ Beroe
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Shumen wins
6
Beroe wins
DateGameScore
23/12/23Beroe v Shumen90-85
14/10/23Shumen v Beroe76-92
18/03/23Beroe v Shumen98-103
15/01/23Beroe v Shumen104-79
27/10/22Shumen v Beroe77-74
16/04/22Beroe v Shumen105-68
30/01/22Shumen v Beroe65-81
10/12/21Beroe v Shumen85-63
Shumenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24ALevski79-68
06/03/24AAcademic Plovdiv85-89
02/03/24HMinyor67-61
16/02/24HYambol79-80
10/02/24AChernomorets83-85
03/02/24HCSKA Sofia86-82
27/01/24ASpartak Pleven86-89
20/01/24ACherno More90-97
17/01/24HLevski76-61
13/01/24HMinyor70-65
Beroelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24AMinyor81-106
06/03/24ALevski59-90
02/03/24AYambol84-101
16/02/24HCSKA Sofia92-98
10/02/24ASpartak Pleven80-112
03/02/24ABalkan60-97
29/01/24HCherno More80-100
20/01/24HMinyor94-79
17/01/24AAcademic Plovdiv80-86
13/01/24HRilski Sportist70-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shumen
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW36%
HomeWWWLW33%
AwayLLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %36%33%38%
Points / game81.980.383.4
Allowed / game83.183.083.2
Point differential-1.2-2.7+0.2
Avg total165.0163.3166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%8%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)50% (4)0% (5)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Beroe
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL32%
HomeWLWLL45%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %32%45%21%
Points / game80.883.778.5
Allowed / game88.585.291.1
Point differential-7.7-1.5-12.6
Avg total169.3168.9169.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%18%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets2520580%84.575.2+9.3
2 Rilski Sportist2520580%83.875.3+8.4
3 Spartak Pleven2518772%88.079.2+8.8
4 Balkan2415962%82.478.4+4.0
5 CSKA Sofia24131154%84.880.0+4.9
6 Yambol25111444%79.483.9-4.5
7 Cherno More25111444%82.687.3-4.7
8 Shumen2591636%81.983.1-1.2
9 Levski2581732%74.077.5-3.5
10 Academic Plovdiv2581732%79.484.9-5.4
11 Beroe2581732%80.888.5-7.7
12 Minyor2581732%74.482.4-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shumen31252838122
Beroe1825201174
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