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Balkan vs Beroe Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 97-60
27-14 22-20 31-14 17-12
Position#4
Record11-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game78.4
Balkan 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Position#12
Record8-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game84.6
BulgariaNBLRound 20· Arena Botevgrad
Other2023-24
Meetings · Balkan v Beroe
27 Mar 2027
BAL v BERO
upcoming
13 Feb 2026
BAL94
BERO74
02 Mar 2025
BAL77
BERO74
06 Oct 2024
BAL91
BERO92
03 Feb 2024
BAL97
BERO60
02 May 2023
BAL89
BERO78
01 Apr 2023
BAL82
BERO83
18 Jan 2023
BAL105
BERO71
21 Mar 2022
BAL85
BERO76
10 Jan 2022
BAL106
BERO78
01 May 2021
BAL82
BERO67
21 Apr 2021
BAL94
BERO58
20 Mar 2021
BAL106
BERO84
14 Nov 2020
BAL72
BERO79
25 Mar 2020
BAL v BERO
upcoming
09 Nov 2019
BAL86
BERO94
13 May 2019
BAL110
BERO91
11 May 2019
BAL96
BERO101
08 Dec 2018
BAL82
BERO90
12 Nov 2017
BAL87
BERO80
10 Dec 2016
BAL84
BERO65
27 Feb 2016
BAL72
BERO80
12 Dec 2015
BAL93
BERO70
14 Mar 2015
BAL79
BERO65
29 Dec 2014
BAL134
BERO76
15 Feb 2014
BAL86
BERO70
06 Apr 2013
BAL96
BERO87
02 Feb 2013
BAL84
BERO68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Balkan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Beroe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Levski
#7
W
79-75
79
75
+4
73avg 69
H22/12
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
81-89
81
89
-8
66avg 69
A29/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
64-69
64
69
-5
55avg 69
A07/01
NBL
Bilbao
#3
L
62-94
62
94
-32
56avg 69
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
64avg 69
A13/01
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
85-67
85
67
+18
88avg 69
A17/01
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
85-77
85
77
+8
63avg 69
H20/01
NBL
FC Porto
#12
L
80-92
80
92
-12
76avg 69
A23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Yambol
#9
W
75-72
75
72
+3
63avg 69
A27/01
NBL
Gottingen
#8
L
75-101
75
101
-26
69avg 69
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
23-20
23-20
11-14
15-19
17-17
22-27
27-26
10-20
17-19
10-15
27-15
15-20
17-23
15-32
15-19
23-20
17-29
19-22
19-17
22-19
23-15
24-10
16-23
19-23
24-13
19-16
23-25
19-23
21-30
13-27
27-12
16-24
15-20
29-13
15-15
15-25
24-29
14-24
22-23
158.8Avg total
76.4Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.678.4159.0+2.258%
Season at home (9)84.478.4162.9+6.089%
Season away (10)77.178.4155.5-1.330%
Last 10 (10)76.482.4158.8-6.040%
Last 5 (5)80.081.8161.8-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)75.982.6158.5-6.738%
vs Similar (5)87.488.2175.6-0.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)78.774.4153.1+4.464%
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeroeBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeroe
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
79-81
79
81
-2
77avg 73
H02/12
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
86-99
86
99
-13
74avg 73
A09/12
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
74-86
74
86
-12
68avg 73
A16/12
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
90-85
90
85
+5
83avg 73
H23/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
68-67
68
67
+1
62avg 73
A28/12
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
104-80
104
80
+24
112avg 73
H10/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
70-82
70
82
-12
57avg 73
H13/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
80-86
80
86
-6
71avg 73
A17/01
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
94-79
94
79
+15
98avg 73
H20/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
80-100
80
100
-20
72avg 73
H29/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
19-19
22-23
21-18
20-27
25-29
23-16
18-27
18-23
17-23
17-17
22-23
23-22
20-19
19-23
28-21
17-17
14-17
19-11
18-22
27-30
24-17
30-12
23-21
16-19
23-27
12-23
19-13
15-21
21-26
33-20
11-19
29-16
19-22
20-21
26-20
17-22
21-24
15-32
27-22
167.0Avg total
82.5Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.384.6166.9-2.342%
Season at home (10)82.983.9166.8-1.050%
Season away (9)81.785.4167.1-3.833%
Last 10 (10)82.584.5167.0-2.040%
Last 5 (5)85.685.4171.0+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)81.788.4170.1-6.737%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (3)99.087.0186.0+12.067%
This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
BalkanBeroe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Levski
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H22/12
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A29/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A07/01
NBL
Bilbao
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A13/01
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A17/01
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H20/01
NBL
FC Porto
#12
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Yambol
#9
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A27/01
NBL
Gottingen
#8
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
80.3Avg total
37.4Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.541.080.5-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.539.781.2+1.760%-
Last 30 away (15)37.542.379.9-4.833%-
Last 10 (10)37.442.980.3-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.644.283.8-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.942.981.8-4.038%-
vs Similar (5)42.642.685.2+0.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.139.579.5+0.655%-
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H02/12
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A09/12
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A16/12
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H23/12
NBL
Levski
#7
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A28/12
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H10/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H13/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A17/01
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H20/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H29/01
NBL
84.3Avg total
40.2Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.144.885.9-3.838%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.442.985.3-0.650%-
Last 30 away (15)39.946.686.5-6.727%-
Last 10 (10)40.244.184.3-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)42.444.887.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)40.044.984.9-5.033%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)56.043.599.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.6
54.9%
54.3%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.08.3
28.6%
31.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws16.711.2
67.1%
71.1%11.2
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beroe: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.920.1
56.0%
54.3%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.9
32.5%
31.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.014.8
77.9%
71.1%14.8
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Balkan
LWLWWLLLLW
Beroe
LWLLWWWLLL
#4
League position
#12
-8.7
Net rating
-2.4
100.6
Offensive rating
107.4
109.3
Defensive rating
109.8
49.5%
Effective FG%
52.8%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
18.9%
Turnover %
20.2%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
28.6%
3-point %
32.5%
60.2%
Assist %
63.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.6 · 107.4Defence109.3 · 109.8Shooting49.5% · 52.8%3-point %28.6% · 32.5%Ball care18.9% · 20.2%Off. rebounds29.5% · 31.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Balkan   ■ Beroe
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Balkan wins
3
Beroe wins
DateGameScore
29/11/23Beroe v Balkan75-74
05/05/23Beroe v Balkan72-91
02/05/23Balkan v Beroe89-78
01/04/23Balkan v Beroe82-83
18/01/23Balkan v Beroe105-71
04/11/22Beroe v Balkan85-86
21/03/22Balkan v Beroe85-76
10/01/22Balkan v Beroe106-78
23/10/21Beroe v Balkan92-87
01/05/21Balkan v Beroe82-67
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24HGottingen75-101
27/01/24AYambol75-72
23/01/24AFC Porto80-92
20/01/24HChernomorets85-77
17/01/24AMinyor85-67
13/01/24ASpartak Pleven78-88
10/01/24HBilbao62-94
07/01/24ARilski Sportist64-69
29/12/23ACherno More81-89
22/12/23HLevski79-75
Beroelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/24HCherno More80-100
20/01/24HMinyor94-79
17/01/24AAcademic Plovdiv80-86
13/01/24HRilski Sportist70-82
10/01/24HYambol104-80
28/12/23ALevski68-67
23/12/23HShumen90-85
16/12/23AChernomorets74-86
09/12/23ACSKA Sofia86-99
02/12/23HSpartak Pleven79-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Balkan
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW58%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayLLLWW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %58%89%30%
Points / game80.684.477.1
Allowed / game78.478.478.4
Point differential+2.2+6.0-1.3
Avg total159.0162.9155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)100% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Beroe
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL42%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game82.382.981.7
Allowed / game84.683.985.4
Point differential-2.3-1.0-3.8
Avg total166.9166.8167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%20%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets1916384%84.673.5+11.1
2 Rilski Sportist1914574%82.273.9+8.3
3 Spartak Pleven1813572%85.879.2+6.6
4 CSKA Sofia1912763%85.978.4+7.5
5 Balkan1911858%80.678.4+2.2
6 Cherno More1991047%82.384.8-2.5
7 Beroe1981142%82.384.6-2.3
8 Yambol1971237%78.885.6-6.8
9 Shumen2071335%82.884.8-2.0
10 Academic Plovdiv1961332%76.883.4-6.6
11 Minyor1961332%74.785.2-10.5
12 Levski1951426%73.578.0-4.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Balkan2722311797
Beroe1420141260
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