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Shumen vs Cherno More Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 17 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Scheduled
Position#6
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game90.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
5.3/10
Around normal
Position#7
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game71.7
BulgariaNBLRound 10· Arena Shumen
Other2026-27
Meetings · Shumen v Cherno More
17 Dec 2026
SHUM v CHER
upcoming
25 Apr 2026
SHUM87
CHER104
04 Mar 2026
SHUM86
CHER92
25 Mar 2025
SHUM69
CHER83
04 Jan 2025
SHUM108
CHER118
17 Nov 2023
SHUM82
CHER91
07 Jan 2023
SHUM82
CHER78
26 Apr 2022
SHUM66
CHER58
12 Feb 2022
SHUM91
CHER71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shumen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cherno More win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShumenBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShumen
Date
Competition
Levski
#10
L
74-81
74
81
-7
64avg 73
A04/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
55-102
55
102
-47
34avg 73
A09/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
65-84
65
84
-19
58avg 73
H16/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
96-113
96
113
-17
87avg 73
A20/04
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
87-104
87
104
-17
78avg 73
H25/04
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
101-123
101
123
-22
77avg 73
A10/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#9
W
87-84
87
84
+3
79avg 73
H16/10
NBL
Levski
#12
W
90-85
90
85
+5
87avg 73
A24/10
NBL
Yambol
#13
W
97-70
97
70
+27
no box
H04/11
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#10
W
95-89
95
89
+6
no box
A07/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
27-18
11-22
20-22
16-25
12-19
18-34
9-24
19-15
20-19
14-22
12-28
19-31
28-24
27-27
22-31
26-17
18-13
10-39
33-35
18-36
28-23
28-33
27-31
27-15
17-23
21-25
22-21
24-15
22-28
26-26
18-16
25-12
26-20
28-19
18-19
23-21
26-25
26-20
20-23
178.2Avg total
84.7Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)94.090.2184.2+3.880%
Season at home (2)92.077.0169.0+15.0100%
Season away (3)95.399.0194.3-3.767%
Last 10 (10)84.793.5178.2-8.840%
Last 5 (5)94.090.2184.2+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)82.395.4177.7-13.29%
vs Similar (3)77.082.0159.0-5.033%
vs Weaker (4)92.282.0174.2+10.2100%
This opponent (Cherno More) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cherno MoreBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMore
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
L
78-80
78
80
-2
62avg 84
A11/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
59-77
59
77
-18
48avg 84
H14/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
99-108
99
108
-9
93avg 84
A23/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
94-100
94
100
-6
84avg 84
H25/05
NBL
Levski
#12
W
93-76
93
76
+17
85avg 84
A12/10
NBL
Yambol
#13
W
87-61
87
61
+26
87avg 84
H18/10
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#10
W
95-62
95
62
+33
90avg 84
A24/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#8
L
74-80
74
80
-6
70avg 84
H31/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
69-85
69
85
-16
no box
A07/11
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
85-66
85
66
+19
no box
H14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
27-19
19-14
18-20
14-19
14-16
20-13
11-29
22-33
28-25
29-28
20-22
22-25
17-26
23-26
32-23
25-18
18-19
24-22
26-17
19-12
28-19
20-19
20-11
18-20
23-13
25-13
29-16
20-16
20-24
17-16
17-24
18-24
14-22
15-19
22-20
20-10
21-28
25-15
19-13
162.8Avg total
83.3Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.871.7155.5+12.267%
Season at home (3)82.069.0151.0+13.067%
Season away (3)85.774.3160.0+11.367%
Last 10 (10)83.379.5162.8+3.840%
Last 5 (5)82.070.8152.8+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.678.8158.4+0.820%
vs Similar (5)82.890.0172.8-7.220%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)92.478.1170.5+14.380%
This opponent (Shumen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +1.9+1.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +1.9+1.9
ShumenCherno More
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShumenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Levski
#10
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A04/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A09/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H16/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A20/04
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H25/04
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A10/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H16/10
NBL
Levski
#12
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A24/10
NBL
Yambol
#13
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H04/11
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#10
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A07/11
NBL
85.5Avg total
43.7Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.344.886.1-3.637%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.243.585.7-1.441%-
Last 30 away (13)40.146.586.6-6.531%-
Last 10 (10)43.741.885.5+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)47.243.690.8+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)40.146.686.7-6.522%-
vs Similar (3)42.038.080.0+4.067%-
vs Weaker (4)47.539.887.2+7.8100%-
This opponent (Cherno More) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cherno MoreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A11/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H14/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A23/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H25/05
NBL
Levski
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A12/10
NBL
Yambol
#13
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H18/10
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A24/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H31/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A07/11
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H14/11
NBL
81.7Avg total
40.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.983.9+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.939.784.6+5.264%-
Last 30 away (16)41.242.083.2-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.581.7-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.677.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.241.279.4-3.020%-
vs Similar (5)38.847.085.8-8.20%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.139.484.5+5.875%-
This opponent (Shumen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shumentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shumen: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.521.4
52.8%
55.5%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.86.6
27.7%
29.8%19.8
🏀 Free throws24.717.0
68.8%
71.2%17.0
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cherno Moretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cherno More: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.621.9
56.7%
55.5%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.0
31.2%
29.8%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.215.4
66.4%
71.2%15.4
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shumen
WWWWLLLLLL
Cherno More
WLLWWWLLLL
#6
League position
#7
-16.5
Net rating
+6.3
88.3
Offensive rating
100.0
104.8
Defensive rating
93.8
48.7%
Effective FG%
52.5%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
17.0%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.34
27.7%
3-point %
31.2%
54.6%
Assist %
56.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence88.3 · 100.0Defence104.8 · 93.8Shooting48.7% · 52.5%3-point %27.7% · 31.2%Ball care17.0% · 13.4%Free throws0.38 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Shumen   ■ Cherno More
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Shumen wins
8
Cherno More wins
DateGameScore
25/04/26Shumen v Cherno More87-104
04/03/26Shumen v Cherno More86-92
12/12/25Cherno More v Shumen107-74
25/03/25Shumen v Cherno More69-83
04/01/25Shumen v Cherno More108-118 OT
25/10/24Cherno More v Shumen89-81
20/01/24Cherno More v Shumen97-90
17/11/23Shumen v Cherno More82-91
15/03/23Cherno More v Shumen101-105 OT
07/01/23Shumen v Cherno More82-78
Shumenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ACSKA Sofia95-89
04/11/26HYambol97-70
24/10/26ALevski90-85
16/10/26HBotev 201287-84
10/10/26AMinyor101-123
25/04/26HCherno More87-104
20/04/26AMinyor96-113
16/04/26HBalkan65-84
09/04/26ASpartak Pleven55-102
04/04/26ALevski74-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPolytechnica85-66
07/11/26ALok. Plovdiv69-85
31/10/26HSpartak Pleven74-80
24/10/26ACSKA Sofia95-62
18/10/26HYambol87-61
12/10/26ALevski93-76
25/05/26HRilski Sportist94-100
23/05/26ARilski Sportist99-108
14/05/26HBalkan59-77
11/05/26ABalkan78-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shumen
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game94.092.095.3
Allowed / game90.277.099.0
Point differential+3.8+15.0-3.7
Avg total184.2169.0194.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cherno More
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game83.882.085.7
Allowed / game71.769.074.3
Point differential+12.2+13.0+11.3
Avg total155.5151.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan550100%89.471.6+17.8
2 Minyor660100%106.790.8+15.8
3 Rilski Sportist65183%90.874.3+16.5
4 Lok. Plovdiv54180%88.278.0+10.2
5 Botev Academic54180%91.082.6+8.4
6 Shumen54180%94.090.2+3.8
7 Cherno More64267%83.871.7+12.2
8 Spartak Pleven53260%82.476.8+5.6
9 Botev 201262433%79.890.2-10.3
10 CSKA Sofia51420%78.498.6-20.2
11 Beroe61517%90.787.8+2.8
12 Levski6060%79.292.7-13.5
13 Yambol6060%74.094.2-20.2
14 Polytechnica6060%70.094.7-24.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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