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Shumen vs Lok. Plovdiv Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 13 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game92.7
Allowed / game97.3
vs
Position#6
Record3-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game80.2
BulgariaNBLRound 20· Arena Shumen
Other2026-27
Meetings · Shumen v Lok. Plovdiv
13 Mar 2027
SHUM v LOK.
upcoming
19 Mar 2026
SHUM83
LOK.94
28 Dec 2025
SHUM89
LOK.107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shumen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lok. Plovdiv win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShumenBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShumen
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
63-95
63
95
-32
47avg 72
H25/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
L
100-105 OT
100
105
-5
91avg 72
A30/03
NBL
Levski
#10
L
74-81
74
81
-7
64avg 72
A04/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
55-102
55
102
-47
34avg 72
A09/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
65-84
65
84
-19
58avg 72
H16/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
96-113
96
113
-17
87avg 72
A20/04
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
87-104
87
104
-17
78avg 72
H25/04
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
101-123
101
123
-22
77avg 72
A10/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#11
W
87-84
87
84
+3
79avg 72
H16/10
NBL
Levski
#12
W
90-85
90
85
+5
87avg 72
A24/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-27
24-23
18-22
10-23
20-17
22-20
25-26
16-20
16-19
27-18
11-22
20-22
16-25
12-19
18-34
9-24
19-15
20-19
14-22
12-28
19-31
28-24
27-27
22-31
26-17
18-13
10-39
33-35
18-36
28-23
28-33
27-31
27-15
17-23
21-25
22-21
24-15
22-28
26-26
18-16
179.4Avg total
81.8Scored
97.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)92.797.3190.0-4.767%
Season at home (1)87.084.0171.0+3.0100%
Season away (2)95.5104.0199.5-8.550%
Last 10 (10)81.897.6179.4-15.820%
Last 5 (5)92.2101.8194.0-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)81.295.5176.8-14.38%
vs Similar (3)77.082.0159.0-5.033%
vs Weaker (2)88.584.5173.0+4.0100%
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lok. PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
W
84-78
84
78
+6
77avg 83
H01/06
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
80-81
80
81
-1
75avg 83
A05/06
NBL
VEF Riga
#19
L
83-106
83
106
-23
72avg 83
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Spartak Pleven
#7
W
92-73
92
73
+19
85avg 83
A11/10
NBL
CSM Oradea
#8
W
79-69
79
69
+10
73avg 83
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#9
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
85avg 83
A17/10
NBL
Mykonos
#3
L
84-86
84
86
-2
67avg 83
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Polytechnica
#14
W
87-65
87
65
+22
83avg 83
H24/10
NBL
Fribourg Olympic
#43
W
95-83
95
83
+12
92avg 83
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#4
L
79-88
79
88
-9
no box
A31/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
20-25
26-19
16-16
18-20
21-18
19-22
22-21
27-27
14-26
17-28
25-25
21-15
23-19
29-18
19-21
17-20
26-18
20-15
16-16
24-21
15-19
26-28
22-19
16-14
20-21
24-25
24-26
22-24
22-11
18-20
25-10
24-11
21-20
24-26
26-26
14-25
25-20
17-20
23-23
168.5Avg total
86.1Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.080.2169.2+8.875%
Season at home (1)87.065.0152.0+22.0100%
Season away (3)89.785.3175.0+4.367%
Last 10 (10)86.182.4168.5+3.760%
Last 5 (5)88.683.4172.0+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)84.987.3172.2-2.444%
vs Similar (3)88.782.3171.0+6.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)91.278.6169.8+12.591%
This opponent (Shumen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -7.8-7.8Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -6.2-6.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -7.8-7.8Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -6.2-6.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
ShumenLok. Plovdiv
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShumenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H25/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A30/03
NBL
Levski
#10
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A04/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A09/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H16/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A20/04
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H25/04
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A10/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#11
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H16/10
NBL
Levski
#12
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A24/10
NBL
84.1Avg total
41.4Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.945.685.6-5.730%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.644.285.9-2.638%-
Last 30 away (14)38.047.285.2-9.221%-
Last 10 (10)41.442.784.1-1.360%-
Last 5 (5)45.445.090.4+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)39.347.086.2-7.720%-
vs Similar (3)42.038.080.0+4.067%-
vs Weaker (2)45.040.585.5+4.5100%-
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lok. PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H01/06
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A05/06
NBL
VEF Riga
#19
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Spartak Pleven
#7
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A11/10
NBL
CSM Oradea
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#9
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A17/10
NBL
Mykonos
#3
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Polytechnica
#14
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H24/10
NBL
Fribourg Olympic
#43
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A31/10
NBL
80.4Avg total
41.2Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.641.085.6+3.670%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.039.485.4+6.685%-
Last 30 away (17)43.542.285.7+1.459%-
Last 10 (10)41.239.280.4+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.637.277.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)42.942.084.9+0.962%-
vs Similar (3)42.337.079.3+5.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)47.640.588.2+7.182%-
This opponent (Shumen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shumentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shumen: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
55%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.521.4
52.8%
55.7%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.86.6
27.7%
30.2%19.8
🏀 Free throws24.717.0
68.8%
70.7%17.0
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lok. Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lok. Plovdiv: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
55%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.6
54.4%
55.7%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.6
32.6%
30.2%25.8
🏀 Free throws22.517.5
77.8%
70.7%17.5
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shumen
WWLLLLLLLL
Lok. Plovdiv
LWWLWWWLLW
#8
League position
#6
-16.5
Net rating
+7.4
88.3
Offensive rating
97.5
104.8
Defensive rating
90.1
48.7%
Effective FG%
52.1%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
17.0%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.35
27.7%
3-point %
32.6%
54.6%
Assist %
59.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence88.3 · 97.5Defence104.8 · 90.1Shooting48.7% · 52.1%3-point %27.7% · 32.6%Ball care17.0% · 13.7%Free throws0.38 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Shumen   ■ Lok. Plovdiv
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Shumen wins
3
Lok. Plovdiv wins
DateGameScore
19/03/26Shumen v Lok. Plovdiv83-94
28/12/25Shumen v Lok. Plovdiv89-107
18/10/25Lok. Plovdiv v Shumen96-59
Shumenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ALevski90-85
16/10/26HBotev 201287-84
10/10/26AMinyor101-123
25/04/26HCherno More87-104
20/04/26AMinyor96-113
16/04/26HBalkan65-84
09/04/26ASpartak Pleven55-102
04/04/26ALevski74-81
30/03/26AAcademic Plovdiv100-105 OT
25/03/26HRilski Sportist63-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26ARilski Sportist79-88
28/10/26HFribourg Olympic95-83
24/10/26HPolytechnica87-65
20/10/26AMykonos84-86
17/10/26ABeroe98-95 OT
14/10/26HCSM Oradea79-69
11/10/26ASpartak Pleven92-73
07/10/26AVEF Riga83-106
05/06/26ABalkan80-81
01/06/26HBalkan84-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shumen
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game92.787.095.5
Allowed / game97.384.0104.0
Point differential-4.7+3.0-8.5
Avg total190.0171.0199.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lok. Plovdiv
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game89.087.089.7
Allowed / game80.265.085.3
Point differential+8.8+22.0+4.3
Avg total169.2152.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %25%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan440100%92.571.8+20.8
2 Minyor330100%109.799.3+10.3
3 Cherno More43175%87.269.8+17.5
4 Rilski Sportist43175%92.076.2+15.8
5 Botev Academic43175%89.880.0+9.8
6 Lok. Plovdiv43175%89.080.2+8.8
7 Spartak Pleven43175%85.276.8+8.5
8 Shumen32167%92.797.3-4.7
9 Beroe41325%96.089.0+7.0
10 CSKA Sofia41325%75.899.5-23.8
11 Botev 20123030%74.387.7-13.3
12 Levski4040%77.293.8-16.5
13 Yambol3030%66.089.0-23.0
14 Polytechnica4040%72.297.0-24.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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