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Shumen vs Lok. Plovdiv Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 89-107
18-33 24-18 23-35 24-21
Position#11
Record1-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game93.5
vs
Position#4
Record7-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game81.5
BulgariaNBLRound 14· Arena Shumen
Other2025-26
Meetings · Shumen v Lok. Plovdiv
13 Mar 2027
SHUM v LOK.
upcoming
19 Mar 2026
SHUM83
LOK.94
28 Dec 2025
SHUM89
LOK.107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shumen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lok. Plovdiv winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShumenBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShumen
Date
Competition
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
59-96
59
96
-37
41avg 68
A18/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
L
74-89
74
89
-15
66avg 68
H26/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
71-98
71
98
-27
61avg 68
A01/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
L
68-95
68
95
-27
48avg 68
A10/11
NBL
Levski
#10
L
80-93
80
93
-13
72avg 68
A17/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
88-90
88
90
-2
76avg 68
H19/11
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
67-102
67
102
-35
50avg 68
A22/11
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
90-93
90
93
-3
83avg 68
A07/12
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
74-107
74
107
-33
59avg 68
A12/12
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
90-83
90
83
+7
80avg 68
H23/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-31
23-20
8-22
18-23
17-29
20-24
18-17
19-19
18-25
13-26
23-21
17-26
17-25
12-26
19-25
20-19
20-26
19-18
20-28
21-21
21-22
21-24
19-20
27-24
18-22
8-24
15-24
26-32
21-30
20-24
23-20
26-19
23-26
14-27
15-28
22-26
19-31
23-22
21-12
27-18
170.7Avg total
76.1Scored
94.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.393.5169.8-17.39%
Season at home (3)84.087.3171.3-3.333%
Season away (8)73.495.9169.2-22.50%
Last 10 (10)76.194.6170.7-18.510%
Last 5 (5)81.895.0176.8-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)81.096.4177.4-15.57%
vs Similar (3)76.789.7166.3-13.033%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lok. PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Shumen
#11
W
96-59
96
59
+37
97avg 77
H18/10
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
89-86
89
86
+3
68avg 77
A27/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
L
73-79
73
79
-6
61avg 77
A09/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
78-74
78
74
+4
72avg 77
A15/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
88avg 77
H19/11
NBL
Levski
#10
W
82-70
82
70
+12
82avg 77
A24/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
91-75
91
75
+16
no box
H03/12
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
88-72
88
72
+16
81avg 77
H15/12
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
91-107
91
107
-16
79avg 77
A20/12
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
89-94
89
94
-5
79avg 77
H23/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-10
20-23
22-8
23-18
14-21
24-26
29-18
22-21
20-14
15-24
19-24
19-17
15-15
30-28
15-11
18-20
26-28
12-12
30-32
19-15
21-16
18-18
25-22
18-14
18-26
23-18
25-16
25-15
31-18
20-25
20-16
17-13
25-32
22-25
23-17
21-33
24-18
22-27
19-26
24-23
168.4Avg total
87.5Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.081.5167.5+4.558%
Season at home (6)89.879.8169.7+10.067%
Season away (6)82.283.2165.3-1.050%
Last 10 (10)87.580.9168.4+6.670%
Last 5 (5)88.283.6171.8+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.383.7166.0-1.333%
vs Similar (2)84.096.5180.5-12.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)88.176.3164.4+11.986%
This opponent (Shumen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.3-8.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.3-8.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
ShumenLok. Plovdiv
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShumenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A18/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H26/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A01/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
L
29-51
29
51
-22
A10/11
NBL
Levski
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A17/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H19/11
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A22/11
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A07/12
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A12/12
NBL
Beroe
#8
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H23/12
NBL
85.9Avg total
35.7Scored
50.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.948.788.6-8.817%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.848.890.7-7.017%-
Last 30 away (18)38.648.687.2-10.117%-
Last 10 (10)35.750.285.9-14.50%-
Last 5 (5)37.650.488.0-12.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)39.649.388.9-9.715%-
vs Similar (3)42.043.385.3-1.333%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lok. PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shumen
#11
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H18/10
NBL
Beroe
#8
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A27/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A09/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A15/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H19/11
NBL
Levski
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A24/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H03/12
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H15/12
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A20/12
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H23/12
NBL
85.5Avg total
43.1Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)41.842.384.1-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (6)44.340.584.8+3.867%-
Last 30 away (6)39.244.283.3-5.033%-
Last 10 (10)43.142.485.5+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)44.844.689.4+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.744.785.3-4.067%-
vs Similar (2)43.047.590.5-4.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.939.981.7+2.043%-
This opponent (Shumen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shumentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shumen: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.2
50.2%
54.5%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.46.3
26.9%
32.5%18.9
🏀 Free throws24.115.4
63.9%
71.3%15.4
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lok. Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lok. Plovdiv: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.721.1
51.8%
54.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.3
31.6%
32.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws23.418.1
77.4%
71.3%18.1
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shumen
WLLLLLLLLL
Lok. Plovdiv
LLWWWWWLWW
#11
League position
#4
-24.5
Net rating
+5.5
91.8
Offensive rating
109.2
116.3
Defensive rating
103.7
46.6%
Effective FG%
50.1%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
20.2%
Turnover %
13.5%
23.1%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.35
26.9%
3-point %
31.6%
55.5%
Assist %
60.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence91.8 · 109.2Defence116.3 · 103.7Shooting46.6% · 50.1%3-point %26.9% · 31.6%Ball care20.2% · 13.5%Off. rebounds23.1% · 26.3%Free throws0.38 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Shumen   ■ Lok. Plovdiv
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Shumen wins
1
Lok. Plovdiv wins
DateGameScore
18/10/25Lok. Plovdiv v Shumen96-59
Shumenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25HBeroe90-83
12/12/25ACherno More74-107
07/12/25AMinyor90-93
22/11/25ABalkan67-102
19/11/25HSpartak Pleven88-90
17/11/25ALevski80-93
10/11/25AAcademic Plovdiv68-95
01/11/25ARilski Sportist71-98
26/10/25HBotev 201274-89
18/10/25ALok. Plovdiv59-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25HBalkan89-94
20/12/25ACherno More91-107
15/12/25HMinyor88-72
03/12/25HSpartak Pleven91-75
24/11/25ALevski82-70
19/11/25HAcademic Plovdiv98-93 OT
15/11/25ARilski Sportist78-74
09/11/25ABotev 201273-79
27/10/25ABeroe89-86
18/10/25HShumen96-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shumen
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW9%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1138
Win %9%33%0%
Points / game76.384.073.4
Allowed / game93.587.395.9
Point differential-17.3-3.3-22.5
Avg total169.8171.3169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lok. Plovdiv
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL58%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game86.089.882.2
Allowed / game81.579.883.2
Point differential+4.5+10.0-1.0
Avg total167.5169.7165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan1312192%91.874.2+17.6
2 Rilski Sportist1210283%91.676.8+14.8
3 Cherno More129375%91.282.4+8.8
4 Lok. Plovdiv127558%86.081.5+4.5
5 Spartak Pleven126650%80.981.7-0.8
6 Minyor126650%83.686.9-3.3
7 Beroe125742%82.186.1-4.0
8 Botev 2012125742%76.481.5-5.1
9 Academic Plovdiv123925%80.185.5-5.4
10 Levski1221017%73.886.5-12.8
11 Shumen111109%76.393.5-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shumen1824232489
Lok. Plovdiv33183521107
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