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Shumen vs Lok. Plovdiv Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 83-94
11-33 28-18 25-26 19-17
Position#11
Record3-18
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game91.3
Shumen
Bulgaria
vs
Lok. Plovdiv 🏆
Bulgaria
Position#4
Record13-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game83.9
BulgariaNBLRound 25· Arena Shumen
Other2025-26
Meetings · Shumen v Lok. Plovdiv
13 Mar 2027
SHUM v LOK.
upcoming
19 Mar 2026
SHUM83
LOK.94
28 Dec 2025
SHUM89
LOK.107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shumen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lok. Plovdiv winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShumenBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShumen
Date
Competition
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
89-107
89
107
-18
74avg 68
H28/12
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
L
64-72
64
72
-8
52avg 68
A03/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
97-105
97
105
-8
87avg 68
H10/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
L
78-90
78
90
-12
no box
H17/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
84-64
84
64
+20
88avg 68
H30/01
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
83-101
83
101
-18
71avg 68
H07/02
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
86-91
86
91
-5
81avg 68
H14/02
NBL
Levski
#10
W
77-72
77
72
+5
69avg 68
H20/02
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
86-92
86
92
-6
no box
H04/03
NBL
Beroe
#8
L
89-95
89
95
-6
82avg 68
A13/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-33
24-18
23-35
24-21
20-28
17-12
16-15
11-17
28-27
24-26
29-25
16-27
25-27
21-17
5-22
27-24
25-16
12-13
19-17
28-18
17-28
28-31
19-20
19-22
22-22
18-26
22-18
24-25
23-20
21-13
15-20
18-19
13-25
26-22
27-22
20-23
19-23
21-24
22-29
27-19
172.2Avg total
83.3Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.691.3171.0-11.714%
Season at home (11)84.789.5174.2-4.727%
Season away (10)74.093.4167.4-19.40%
Last 10 (10)83.388.9172.2-5.620%
Last 5 (5)84.290.2174.4-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)81.193.4174.6-12.311%
vs Similar (3)76.087.7163.7-11.733%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lok. PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Shumen
#11
W
107-89
107
89
+18
110avg 83
A28/12
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
117-88
117
88
+29
124avg 83
H04/01
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
W
105-87
105
87
+18
no box
H17/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
60avg 83
H25/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
L
86-90
86
90
-4
no box
A02/02
NBL
Levski
#10
W
115-80
115
80
+35
114avg 83
H07/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 83
A15/02
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
103-109
103
109
-6
98avg 83
A04/03
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
76-79
76
79
-3
62avg 83
A08/03
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
90-82
90
82
+8
85avg 83
A14/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-18
18-24
35-23
21-24
34-21
29-26
38-21
16-20
19-27
31-18
23-21
32-21
14-19
20-24
19-26
19-15
24-14
27-25
17-30
18-21
33-21
25-18
33-26
24-15
15-19
30-18
23-15
16-27
23-27
28-39
21-21
31-22
17-19
27-18
13-22
19-20
17-16
25-20
19-27
29-19
182.2Avg total
95.5Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)90.383.9174.2+6.559%
Season at home (10)94.881.8176.6+13.070%
Season away (12)86.685.6172.2+1.050%
Last 10 (10)95.586.7182.2+8.860%
Last 5 (5)93.685.8179.4+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.883.4165.2-1.640%
vs Similar (3)81.390.7172.0-9.30%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)95.382.6177.9+12.779%
This opponent (Shumen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
ShumenLok. Plovdiv
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShumenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H28/12
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A03/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H10/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H17/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H30/01
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
45-59
45
59
-14
H07/02
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H14/02
NBL
Levski
#10
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H20/02
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H04/03
NBL
Beroe
#8
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A13/03
NBL
87.3Avg total
42.2Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.947.587.5-7.620%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.647.690.2-5.125%-
Last 30 away (14)36.947.484.4-10.514%-
Last 10 (10)42.245.187.3-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)41.646.888.4-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)39.748.388.0-8.619%-
vs Similar (3)42.041.083.0+1.033%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lok. PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shumen
#11
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A28/12
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
63-47
63
47
+16
H04/01
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H17/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H25/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A02/02
NBL
Levski
#10
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H07/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A15/02
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
51-66
51
66
-15
A04/03
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A08/03
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A14/03
NBL
92.0Avg total
48.9Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)45.042.787.7+2.364%-
Last 30 at home (10)47.141.788.8+5.470%-
Last 30 away (12)43.243.586.8-0.258%-
Last 10 (10)48.943.192.0+5.880%-
Last 5 (5)48.043.091.0+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.642.682.2-3.060%-
vs Similar (3)43.344.087.3-0.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)47.342.489.7+4.964%-
This opponent (Shumen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shumentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shumen: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.325.8
55.7%
54.5%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.65.3
25.7%
32.5%15.9
🏀 Free throws23.916.0
66.9%
71.3%16.0
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lok. Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lok. Plovdiv: 94.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.720.6
53.2%
54.5%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.211.1
38.0%
32.5%33.3
🏀 Free throws26.219.5
74.4%
71.3%19.5
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shumen
LLWLLWLLLL
Lok. Plovdiv
WLLWWLLWWW
#11
League position
#4
-6.5
Net rating
+7.5
93.7
Offensive rating
112.0
100.2
Defensive rating
104.5
50.4%
Effective FG%
54.9%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
19.8%
Turnover %
10.7%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.39
25.7%
3-point %
38.0%
50.5%
Assist %
64.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence93.7 · 112.0Defence100.2 · 104.5Shooting50.4% · 54.9%3-point %25.7% · 38.0%Ball care19.8% · 10.7%Off. rebounds31.9% · 28.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Shumen   ■ Lok. Plovdiv
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Shumen wins
2
Lok. Plovdiv wins
DateGameScore
28/12/25Shumen v Lok. Plovdiv89-107
18/10/25Lok. Plovdiv v Shumen96-59
Shumenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26ABeroe89-95
04/03/26HCherno More86-92
20/02/26HLevski77-72
14/02/26HMinyor86-91
07/02/26HBalkan83-101
30/01/26HSpartak Pleven84-64
17/01/26HAcademic Plovdiv78-90
10/01/26HRilski Sportist97-105
03/01/26ABotev 201264-72
28/12/25HLok. Plovdiv89-107
Lok. Plovdivlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26ABalkan90-82
08/03/26ACherno More76-79
04/03/26AMinyor103-109
15/02/26ASpartak Pleven84-79
07/02/26HLevski115-80
02/02/26AAcademic Plovdiv86-90
25/01/26HRilski Sportist72-84
17/01/26HBotev 2012105-87
04/01/26HBeroe117-88
28/12/25AShumen107-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shumen
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL14%
HomeWLLWL27%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %14%27%0%
Points / game79.684.774.0
Allowed / game91.389.593.4
Point differential-11.7-4.7-19.4
Avg total171.0174.2167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lok. Plovdiv
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW59%
HomeLWWLW70%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %59%70%50%
Points / game90.394.886.6
Allowed / game83.981.885.6
Point differential+6.5+13.0+1.0
Avg total174.2176.6172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%60%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rilski Sportist2319483%90.877.6+13.2
2 Balkan2318578%91.776.7+15.0
3 Cherno More2317674%89.580.3+9.2
4 Lok. Plovdiv2213959%90.383.9+6.5
5 Spartak Pleven22111150%80.482.5-2.1
6 Botev 201222111150%79.182.5-3.3
7 Minyor23111248%85.189.6-4.5
8 Beroe23101343%83.687.5-4.0
9 Academic Plovdiv2381535%81.786.0-4.4
10 Shumen2131814%79.691.3-11.7
11 Levski2332013%75.990.7-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shumen1128251983
Lok. Plovdiv3318261794
← all games of the day
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