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Sichuan vs Liaoning Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 21 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#19
Record2-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game93.9
vs
Position#3
Record7-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game87.8
ChinaCBARound 40· Sichuan Provincial Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sichuan v Liaoning
21 Mar 2027
SICH v LIAO
upcoming
27 Jan 2026
SICH57
LIAO109
13 Dec 2024
SICH77
LIAO86
28 Mar 2024
SICH82
LIAO101
24 Dec 2023
SICH88
LIAO116
23 Dec 2022
SICH76
LIAO112
30 Oct 2022
SICH85
LIAO102
15 Mar 2022
SICH85
LIAO121
05 Feb 2021
SICH115
LIAO102
29 Nov 2019
SICH107
LIAO119
11 Nov 2018
SICH100
LIAO111
29 Oct 2017
SICH96
LIAO107
23 Nov 2016
SICH91
LIAO99
20 Mar 2016
SICH94
LIAO91
18 Mar 2016
SICH96
LIAO87
16 Mar 2016
SICH109
LIAO104
13 Jan 2016
SICH94
LIAO111
19 Dec 2014
SICH101
LIAO109
08 Jan 2014
SICH104
LIAO102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sichuan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Liaoning win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SichuanChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSichuan
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
85-101
85
101
-16
69avg 64
A20/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
81-104
81
104
-23
63avg 64
H24/04
CBA
Tianjin
#16
W
97-85
97
85
+12
no box
H17/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
W
91-88
91
88
+3
no box
A20/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
93-104
93
104
-11
no box
A23/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
49-91
49
91
-42
no box
H25/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
L
81-91
81
91
-10
no box
H27/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
64-115
64
115
-51
no box
A29/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
89-95
89
95
-6
no box
A01/11
CBA
Fujian
#7
L
74-82
74
82
-8
no box
H03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
28-30
17-17
20-24
9-30
23-31
25-28
24-15
28-22
25-26
25-15
19-22
24-22
24-20
22-26
21-20
23-30
29-29
22-25
19-20
14-28
10-21
14-19
11-23
15-19
21-34
18-19
27-19
14-33
12-26
18-29
20-27
19-29
25-25
23-23
22-18
19-14
23-20
23-32
9-16
176.0Avg total
80.4Scored
95.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.893.9173.6-14.125%
Season at home (4)75.287.2162.5-12.025%
Season away (4)84.2100.5184.8-16.225%
Last 10 (10)80.495.6176.0-15.220%
Last 5 (5)71.494.8166.2-23.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)75.699.9175.4-24.37%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Liaoning) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiaoningChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiaoning
Date
Competition
Shandong
#8
L
86-102
86
102
-16
73avg 83
H01/05
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
82-98
82
98
-16
72avg 83
A03/05
CBA
Shandong
#14
W
95-84
95
84
+11
no box
A18/10
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
97-93
97
93
+4
no box
A21/10
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
104-93
104
93
+11
no box
H23/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#15
W
98-87
98
87
+11
no box
H25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
L
84-90
84
90
-6
no box
A27/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
107-91
107
91
+16
no box
A30/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#10
W
91-71
91
71
+20
no box
H01/11
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
W
100-93
100
93
+7
no box
H03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
28-29
13-20
24-24
22-28
22-27
6-26
32-17
27-13
26-31
21-23
21-17
27-21
25-27
29-29
16-16
30-23
29-29
25-22
20-19
30-25
25-25
22-22
21-15
27-20
15-32
23-19
19-19
26-22
31-21
31-22
19-26
24-24
21-10
19-17
27-20
24-21
35-24
18-26
23-22
184.6Avg total
94.4Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)97.087.8184.8+9.288%
Season at home (4)98.286.0184.2+12.2100%
Season away (4)95.889.5185.2+6.275%
Last 10 (10)94.490.2184.6+4.270%
Last 5 (5)96.086.4182.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.591.0168.5-13.50%
vs Similar (13)90.287.4177.6+2.869%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)96.986.2183.2+10.785%
This opponent (Sichuan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.2-7.2Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +2.7+2.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.2-7.2Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +2.7+2.7
SichuanLiaoning
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SichuanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A20/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
32-61
32
61
-29
H24/04
CBA
Tianjin
#16
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H17/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A20/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A23/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
24-49
24
49
-25
H25/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H27/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
26-59
26
59
-33
A29/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A01/11
CBA
Fujian
#7
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H03/11
CBA
92.4Avg total
40.5Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.650.888.5-13.217%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.951.388.2-14.419%-
Last 30 away (14)38.550.388.8-11.814%-
Last 10 (10)40.551.992.4-11.430%-
Last 5 (5)34.449.884.2-15.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)37.650.888.5-13.217%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Liaoning) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiaoningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shandong
#8
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H01/05
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A03/05
CBA
Shandong
#14
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A18/10
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A21/10
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H23/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#15
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A27/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A30/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#10
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H01/11
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H03/11
CBA
99.6Avg total
51.5Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.345.393.6+2.967%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.944.093.9+5.979%-
Last 30 away (16)46.846.593.3+0.356%-
Last 10 (10)51.548.199.6+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)51.644.896.4+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.045.588.5-2.550%-
vs Similar (13)47.545.292.6+2.362%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)50.745.596.2+5.277%-
This opponent (Sichuan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sichuantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sichuan: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.4
51.5%
53.8%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.0
34.2%
35.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.914.0
70.4%
74.8%14.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liaoningtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liaoning: 92.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.624.7
55.4%
53.8%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.3
33.8%
35.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.515.0
76.9%
74.8%15.0
They take 72.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sichuan
LLLLLLWWLL
Liaoning
WWWLWWWWLL
#19
League position
#3
-18.7
Net rating
-0.1
90.8
Offensive rating
101.5
109.5
Defensive rating
101.6
51.4%
Effective FG%
53.6%
58.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
15.2%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.2%
3-point %
33.8%
53.2%
Assist %
62.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence90.8 · 101.5Defence109.5 · 101.6Shooting51.4% · 53.6%3-point %34.2% · 33.8%Ball care15.2% · 13.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Sichuan   ■ Liaoning
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sichuan wins
10
Liaoning wins
DateGameScore
23/10/26Liaoning v Sichuan104-93
05/04/26Liaoning v Sichuan106-64
27/01/26Sichuan v Liaoning57-109
08/01/25Liaoning v Sichuan115-99
13/12/24Sichuan v Liaoning77-86
28/03/24Sichuan v Liaoning82-101
21/03/24Liaoning v Sichuan113-66
24/12/23Sichuan v Liaoning88-116
24/10/23Liaoning v Sichuan108-94
14/01/23Liaoning v Sichuan105-87
Sichuanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HFujian74-82
01/11/26AShanxi Zhongyu89-95
29/10/26ABeijing Royal Fighters64-115
27/10/26HNanjing Tongxi81-91
25/10/26HZhejiang Chouzhou49-91
23/10/26ALiaoning93-104
20/10/26AJilin91-88
17/10/26HTianjin97-85
24/04/26HZhejiang Chouzhou81-104
20/04/26AJiangsu Dragons85-101
Liaoninglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HGuangzhou100-93
01/11/26HShenzhen91-71
30/10/26ANingbo Rockets107-91
27/10/26AZhejiang Guangsha84-90
25/10/26HXinjiang98-87
23/10/26HSichuan104-93
21/10/26AQingdao97-93
18/10/26AShandong95-84
03/05/26AShandong82-98
01/05/26HShandong86-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sichuan
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game79.875.284.2
Allowed / game93.987.2100.5
Point differential-14.1-12.0-16.2
Avg total173.6162.5184.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Liaoning
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game97.098.295.8
Allowed / game87.886.089.5
Point differential+9.2+12.2+6.2
Avg total184.8184.2185.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing880100%107.479.6+27.8
2 Shanghai87188%98.889.1+9.6
3 Liaoning87188%97.087.8+9.2
4 Beijing Royal Fighters86275%99.183.0+16.1
5 Shanxi Zhongyu86275%99.290.0+9.2
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou85362%83.676.5+7.1
7 Fujian85362%90.586.5+4.0
8 Zhejiang Guangsha85362%91.694.9-3.2
9 Guangzhou84450%91.295.1-3.9
10 Shenzhen84450%78.893.9-15.1
11 Jilin83538%86.987.1-0.2
12 Guangdong83538%88.690.4-1.8
13 Qingdao83538%91.593.2-1.8
14 Shandong83538%91.894.2-2.5
15 Xinjiang83538%85.889.5-3.8
16 Tianjin82625%92.195.5-3.4
17 Jiangsu Dragons82625%81.586.9-5.4
18 Nanjing Tongxi82625%88.197.0-8.9
19 Sichuan82625%79.893.9-14.1
20 Ningbo Rockets8080%79.198.2-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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