Siena vs Caserta Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Apr 2009

Tip-off: 17:30

Final 91-75

17-14 23-24 23-22 28-15

Position#1

Record25-1

FormLLWWW

Points / game88.4

Allowed / game71.9

Siena 🏆

Caserta

Position#14

Record10-16

FormWLLLW

Points / game75.2

Allowed / game80.3

Lega ARound 22

Domestic2008-09

Meetings · Siena v Caserta

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siena winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Caserta winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Siena

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fenerbahce

#11

73-68

A11/03

Euroleague

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

81-70

+11

A15/03

Lega A

Biella

76-62

+14

H21/03

Lega A

Panathinaikos

85-90

-5

A24/03

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

84-79

A26/03

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

53-72

-19

H31/03

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

84-91

-7

H02/04

Euroleague

NSB Napoli

#13

69-54

+15

A05/04

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

100-90

100

+10

A11/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

89-86 OT

A16/04

Lega A

23-14

17-25

17-24

16-5

26-22

18-23

22-15

15-10

19-11

13-17

23-12

21-22

18-23

20-21

15-18

32-28

24-21

14-22

17-18

29-18

16-15

10-24

11-21

16-12

18-28

26-19

16-18

24-26

20-18

8-10

21-13

20-13

22-27

33-18

18-16

27-29

16-19

18-25

23-21

21-13

155.6Avg total

79.4Scored

76.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	88.4	71.9	160.3	+16.5	96%
Season at home (12)	91.0	71.8	162.8	+19.2	100%
Season away (14)	86.2	72.0	158.2	+14.2	93%
Last 10 (10)	79.4	76.2	155.6	+3.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	78.6	157.6	+0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	68.7	79.3	148.0	-10.7	33%
vs Similar (5)	77.6	81.8	159.4	-4.2	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	86.8	72.8	159.6	+14.0	91%

This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cantu

71-99

-28

A01/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

51-81

-30

A08/02

Lega A

Treviso

77-73

H15/02

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

84-91

-7

A01/03

Lega A

Teramo

79-74

H08/03

Lega A

Ferrara

84-66

+18

H15/03

Lega A

Udine

#16

74-89

-15

A22/03

Lega A

Biella

81-85

-4

H29/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

81-86

-5

A04/04

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

88-81

H11/04

Lega A

24-21

10-25

22-25

15-28

13-20

16-19

6-19

16-23

15-11

23-17

19-17

20-28

22-24

17-18

23-22

22-27

24-16

23-19

20-16

12-23

23-15

17-16

32-20

12-15

18-29

15-20

19-15

22-25

22-19

18-16

19-27

22-23

20-20

27-26

21-19

13-21

30-12

19-18

12-23

27-28

159.5Avg total

77.0Scored

82.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	75.2	80.3	155.4	-5.1	38%
Season at home (13)	76.4	76.0	152.4	+0.4	62%
Season away (13)	73.9	84.5	158.5	-10.6	15%
Last 10 (10)	77.0	82.5	159.5	-5.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	81.4	163.0	+0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	74.6	79.2	153.8	-4.6	38%
vs Similar (10)	76.0	82.0	158.0	-6.0	40%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SienaCaserta

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	18.2	39.1	+2.7	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	16.3	37.5	+4.9	93%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	19.8	40.4	+0.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	21.4	39.8	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	11.0	18.0	29.0	-7.0	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.6	17.5	40.2	+5.1	82%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	18.9	18.8	37.7	+0.2	42%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	17.8	37.6	+2.1	54%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	18.7	39.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.0	41.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.4	18.3	35.8	-0.9	38%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.3	19.5	40.8	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	18.3	38.7	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	18.1	39.0	+2.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	18.4	38.4	+1.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	20.4	38.1	-2.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	19.0	39.7	+1.7	67%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.6	21.0	39.6	-2.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.8	17.5	38.3	+3.2	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	18.5	18.5	37.0	+0.1	62%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.1	16.8	35.9	+2.2	85%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.0	20.1	38.1	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.4	37.9	-0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.2	38.4	+0.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	19.7	18.3	38.0	+1.4	75%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.7	18.7	35.4	-2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

SienaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fenerbahce

#11

40-39

A11/03

Euroleague

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

44-45

-1

A15/03

Lega A

Biella

32-28

H21/03

Lega A

Panathinaikos

38-44

-6

A24/03

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

38-43

-5

A26/03

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

26-39

-13

H31/03

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

44-47

-3

H02/04

Euroleague

NSB Napoli

#13

28-28

A05/04

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

55-45

+10

A11/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

34-44

-10

A16/04

Lega A

78.1Avg total

37.9Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	36.4	77.7	+4.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.1	34.4	76.5	+7.8	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.6	38.2	78.8	+2.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	40.2	78.1	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	40.6	78.0	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	31.7	37.0	68.7	-5.3	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	37.8	42.0	79.8	-4.2	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	43.4	35.1	78.5	+8.3	82%	-

This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cantu

34-46

-12

A01/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

29-39

-10

A08/02

Lega A

Treviso

38-28

+10

H15/02

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

39-42

-3

A01/03

Lega A

Teramo

47-35

+12

H08/03

Lega A

Ferrara

40-31

H15/03

Lega A

Udine

#16

33-49

-16

A22/03

Lega A

Biella

40-35

H29/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

47-46

A04/04

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

49-30

+19

H11/04

Lega A

77.7Avg total

39.6Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	37.5	37.2	74.7	+0.2	54%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.9	34.6	73.5	+4.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.0	39.8	75.8	-3.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	38.1	77.7	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	38.2	80.0	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	37.1	36.6	73.8	+0.5	56%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.0	38.2	76.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.1	38.3	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	17.0	37.6	+3.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	19.0	38.9	+0.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	17.6	35.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.8	35.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.0	24.7	42.7	-6.7	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	15.4	19.8	35.2	-4.4	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.6	16.8	38.4	+4.8	82%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	18.8	19.2	38.1	-0.4	46%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.2	18.6	35.8	-1.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	19.8	40.3	+0.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.3	39.6	-1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	19.6	18.9	38.4	+0.7	56%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.7	19.8	37.5	-2.1	30%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.2	41.8	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	22.0	44.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	18.6	39.5	+2.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	17.6	39.7	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.6	40.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	17.7	36.7	+1.3	67%	-
vs Similar (5)	24.4	20.0	44.4	+4.4	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.3	20.6	41.9	+0.7	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	18.2	23.2	41.3	-5.0	19%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.6	22.3	41.9	-2.7	31%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.8	24.0	40.8	-7.2	8%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	24.1	42.2	-6.0	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.4	41.6	-3.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.4	23.0	40.4	-5.6	19%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.5	23.4	42.9	-3.9	20%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	38.3	80.0	+3.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.9	39.0	81.9	+3.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.8	37.6	78.4	+3.1	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	35.2	75.6	+5.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	36.4	75.8	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	37.0	42.3	79.3	-5.3	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	39.8	39.8	79.6	+0.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	42.9	37.4	80.2	+5.5	82%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	37.0	42.4	79.4	-5.3	23%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	36.8	40.9	77.8	-4.1	23%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.2	43.8	81.1	-6.6	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	44.4	81.8	-7.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	43.2	83.0	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	36.9	41.9	78.8	-4.9	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.2	43.2	80.4	-6.0	20%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Siena wins

Caserta wins

Date	Game	Score
28/12/08	Caserta v Siena	66-73

Sienalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/04/09	A	Virtus Bologna	89-86 OT
11/04/09	A	Pesaro	100-90
05/04/09	A	NSB Napoli	69-54
02/04/09	H	Panathinaikos	84-91
31/03/09	H	Panathinaikos	53-72
26/03/09	A	Panathinaikos	84-79
24/03/09	A	Panathinaikos	85-90
21/03/09	H	Biella	76-62
15/03/09	A	Sutor Montegranaro	81-70
11/03/09	A	Fenerbahce	73-68

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/04/09	H	Sutor Montegranaro	88-81
04/04/09	A	Virtus Bologna	81-86
29/03/09	H	Biella	81-85
22/03/09	A	Udine	74-89
15/03/09	H	Ferrara	84-66
08/03/09	H	Teramo	79-74
01/03/09	A	Pesaro	84-91
15/02/09	H	Treviso	77-73
08/02/09	A	Olimpia Milano	51-81
01/02/09	A	Cantu	71-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siena

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	96%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LWWWW	93%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	12	14
Win %	96%	100%	93%
Points / game	88.4	91.0	86.2
Allowed / game	71.9	71.8	72.0
Point differential	+16.5	+19.2	+14.2
Avg total	160.3	162.8	158.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	73%	83%	64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	8%	0%	14%

Caserta

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	38%
Home	WWWLW	62%
Away	LLLLL	15%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	38%	62%	15%
Points / game	75.2	76.4	73.9
Allowed / game	80.3	76.0	84.5
Point differential	-5.1	+0.4	-10.6
Avg total	155.4	152.4	158.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	23%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	67% (6)	0% (3)
Overtime %	8%	8%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	26	25	1	96%	88.4	71.9	+16.5
2	Virtus Roma	27	17	10	63%	85.2	80.7	+4.5
3	Olimpia Milano	27	17	10	63%	77.7	73.6	+4.1
4	Virtus Bologna	27	17	10	63%	78.6	77.4	+1.2
5	Teramo	26	16	10	62%	83.5	81.7	+1.7
6	Treviso	27	15	12	56%	76.3	75.0	+1.4
7	Biella	27	13	14	48%	83.2	82.2	+1.0
8	Cantu	27	13	14	48%	79.6	82.6	-3.0
9	Avellino	26	12	14	46%	77.5	75.4	+2.1
10	Ferrara	27	12	15	44%	77.8	79.0	-1.3
11	Pesaro	27	11	16	41%	81.9	82.5	-0.6
12	Sutor Montegranaro	27	11	16	41%	76.4	81.3	-4.9
13	Caserta	26	10	16	38%	75.2	80.3	-5.1
14	NSB Napoli	27	10	17	37%	72.9	77.8	-4.9
15	Fortitudo Bologna	27	9	18	33%	75.6	80.5	-4.9
16	Udine	27	6	21	22%	78.6	85.9	-7.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Siena	17	23	23	28	91
Caserta	14	24	22	15	75

← all games of the day

Siena vs Caserta Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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