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Siena vs Caserta Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Dec 2013
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 60-81
10-23 11-21 23-19 16-18
Position#2
Record9-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game70.1
vs
Caserta 🏆
Italy
Position#7
Record5-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game74.3
ItalyLega ARound 12
Domestic2013-14
Meetings · Siena v Caserta
26 Dec 2013
SIE60
KAS81
18 Nov 2012
SIE86
KAS66
23 Oct 2011
SIE65
KAS69
07 Nov 2010
SIE91
KAS87
10 Jan 2010
SIE100
KAS75
19 Apr 2009
SIE91
KAS75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siena winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caserta winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SienaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#13
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A21/11
Euroleague
Cantu
#3
L
88-90
88
90
-2
A24/11
Lega A
Bayern
#17
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H29/11
Euroleague
Pistoia
#9
W
89-66
89
66
+23
H02/12
Lega A
Zielona Gora
#26
W
60-59
60
59
+1
H05/12
Euroleague
Avellino
#12
W
85-75
85
75
+10
A08/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#5
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A12/12
Euroleague
Virtus Roma
#5
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H15/12
Lega A
Unicaja
#14
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H19/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#4
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A22/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-11
11-11
16-18
14-14
25-21
19-20
21-25
23-24
21-18
20-16
11-10
19-18
31-16
25-18
15-18
18-14
18-17
12-13
17-19
13-10
19-25
20-21
12-14
34-15
17-15
19-10
21-21
16-32
19-19
18-18
23-19
22-14
12-15
10-17
16-10
24-22
19-14
16-15
6-13
21-18
140.2Avg total
72.4Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.670.1151.7+11.582%
Season at home (6)85.068.3153.3+16.7100%
Season away (5)77.672.2149.8+5.460%
Last 10 (10)72.467.8140.2+4.660%
Last 5 (5)72.869.4142.2+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.574.0141.5-6.50%
vs Similar (17)73.471.9145.4+1.547%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)81.468.6150.0+12.890%
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
93-84 OT
93
84
+9
A20/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H27/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
59-76
59
76
-17
A02/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#5
L
63-68
63
68
-5
H10/11
Lega A
Avellino
#12
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A16/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#6
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H24/11
Lega A
Sutor Montegranaro
#16
W
94-77
94
77
+17
A01/12
Lega A
Cantu
#3
L
82-84
82
84
-2
A08/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H15/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H22/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
15-16
18-21
17-24
22-14
10-21
22-25
23-21
21-21
8-19
15-16
15-20
11-14
18-16
14-24
20-14
17-15
15-22
12-15
26-24
22-20
15-13
11-22
17-14
24-26
25-18
21-24
24-9
19-28
30-17
9-23
24-16
19-17
15-14
16-9
15-17
22-24
19-21
18-17
27-18
150.6Avg total
75.4Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.274.3150.5+1.945%
Season at home (6)73.370.0143.3+3.350%
Season away (5)79.679.4159.0+0.240%
Last 10 (10)75.475.2150.6+0.240%
Last 5 (5)78.473.4151.8+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)73.877.5151.4-3.738%
vs Similar (13)73.675.0148.6-1.446%
vs Weaker (4)84.279.5163.8+4.850%
This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +3.1+3.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +3.1+3.1
SienaCaserta
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SienaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#13
D
22-22
22
22
+0
A21/11
Euroleague
Cantu
#3
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A24/11
Lega A
Bayern
#17
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H29/11
Euroleague
Pistoia
#9
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H02/12
Lega A
Zielona Gora
#26
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H05/12
Euroleague
Avellino
#12
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A08/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#5
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A12/12
Euroleague
Virtus Roma
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H15/12
Lega A
Unicaja
#14
L
22-32
22
32
-10
H19/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#4
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A22/12
Lega A
69.2Avg total
36.2Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.035.472.4+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.136.175.3+3.047%-
Last 30 away (15)34.834.769.5+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)36.233.069.2+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)33.833.867.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.530.560.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (17)34.837.071.8-2.241%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.934.177.0+8.860%-
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A20/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H27/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A02/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#5
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H10/11
Lega A
Avellino
#12
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A16/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#6
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H24/11
Lega A
Sutor Montegranaro
#16
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A01/12
Lega A
Cantu
#3
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A08/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H15/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H22/12
Lega A
74.6Avg total
37.4Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.938.074.9-1.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.135.974.0+2.169%-
Last 30 away (14)35.640.375.9-4.736%-
Last 10 (10)37.437.274.6+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.681.6+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.738.174.8-1.454%-
vs Similar (13)35.938.073.9-2.146%-
vs Weaker (4)40.837.578.2+3.275%-
This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Siena wins
3
Caserta wins
DateGameScore
17/03/13Caserta v Siena72-64
18/11/12Siena v Caserta86-66
05/02/12Caserta v Siena78-80
23/10/11Siena v Caserta65-69
20/02/11Caserta v Siena89-84
07/11/10Siena v Caserta91-87
02/05/10Caserta v Siena57-98
10/01/10Siena v Caserta100-75
19/04/09Siena v Caserta91-75
28/12/08Caserta v Siena66-73
Sienalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/13ASassari62-60
19/12/13HUnicaja62-64
15/12/13HVirtus Roma82-70
12/12/13AOlympiacos73-78
08/12/13AAvellino85-75
05/12/13HZielona Gora60-59
02/12/13HPistoia89-66
29/11/13HBayern71-62
24/11/13ACantu88-90
21/11/13AGalatasaray52-54
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/13HVarese86-80
15/12/13HVirtus Bologna65-57
08/12/13ACantu82-84
01/12/13ASutor Montegranaro94-77
24/11/13HBrindisi65-69
16/11/13AAvellino70-76
10/11/13HVirtus Roma63-68
02/11/13AReggiana59-76
27/10/13HOlimpia Milano77-81
20/10/13APesaro93-84 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siena
Lega A 2013-14
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%100%60%
Points / game81.685.077.6
Allowed / game70.168.372.2
Point differential+11.5+16.7+5.4
Avg total151.7153.3149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%100%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Caserta
Lega A 2013-14
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW45%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game76.273.379.6
Allowed / game74.370.079.4
Point differential+1.9+3.3+0.2
Avg total150.5143.3159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena119282%81.670.1+11.5
2 Sassari118373%85.979.0+6.9
3 Cantu118373%83.079.7+3.3
4 Brindisi128467%78.174.4+3.7
5 Virtus Roma117464%74.572.8+1.6
6 Olimpia Milano116555%78.974.3+4.6
7 Virtus Bologna116555%80.579.9+0.5
8 Avellino126650%76.278.5-2.3
9 Caserta115645%76.274.3+1.9
10 Reggiana115645%72.672.4+0.3
11 Venezia115645%78.278.5-0.3
12 Varese114736%79.681.8-2.2
13 Pistoia114736%75.179.7-4.6
14 Sutor Montegranaro114736%78.487.5-9.2
15 Cremona112918%76.583.4-6.9
16 Pesaro112918%81.590.5-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Siena1011231660
Caserta2321191881
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