Siena vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 May 2011

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 85-81

19-22 22-14 21-17 23-28

Position#2

Record27-4

FormLWLWW

Points / game84.1

Allowed / game71.4

Siena 🏆

Virtus Bologna

Position#7

Record15-16

FormLWLWL

Points / game77.4

Allowed / game79.1

Lega ALega A - Quarter-finals

Domestic2010-11

Meetings · Siena v Virtus Bologna

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siena winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Virtus Bologna winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Siena

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

78-70

A14/04

Lega A

Brindisi

#17

100-73

100

+27

H20/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

81-72

A23/04

Lega A

Treviso

81-64

+17

H27/04

Lega A

Avellino

77-82

-5

H30/04

Lega A

Panathinaikos

69-77

-8

A06/05

Euroleague

Real Madrid

80-62

+18

A08/05

Euroleague

Sassari

81-83

-2

A12/05

Lega A

Virtus Roma

83-73

+10

H15/05

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

94-55

+39

H19/05

Lega A

17-15

16-25

24-12

21-18

17-18

29-15

27-20

24-17

15-29

24-7

18-19

20-6

19-20

15-19

27-19

16-28

17-15

18-14

26-25

21-17

15-23

11-16

22-21

19-11

17-21

21-13

23-17

21-25

19-28

26-16

15-14

24-18

18-24

22-18

19-13

29-13

29-17

20-15

16-10

153.5Avg total

82.4Scored

71.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	84.1	71.4	155.5	+12.7	87%
Season at home (16)	89.9	71.4	161.4	+18.5	94%
Season away (15)	77.9	71.4	149.3	+6.5	80%
Last 10 (10)	82.4	71.1	153.5	+11.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	70.0	151.4	+11.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	75.9	74.2	150.1	+1.7	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	81.2	69.7	150.9	+11.5	85%

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus Bologna Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Varese

#11

69-71

-2

H20/03

Lega A

Treviso

71-79

-8

A26/03

Lega A

Sassari

81-87

-6

H03/04

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

64-71

-7

A10/04

Lega A

Cremona

#12

95-88

A17/04

Lega A

Siena

72-81

-9

H23/04

Lega A

Biella

#15

83-81

H01/05

Lega A

Virtus Roma

69-80

-11

A12/05

Lega A

Teramo

#16

96-94

H15/05

Lega A

Siena

55-94

-39

A19/05

Lega A

14-14

17-14

15-20

23-23

19-24

18-14

14-17

20-24

21-19

18-14

19-20

23-34

18-21

16-15

15-20

15-15

20-19

24-26

29-15

22-28

17-24

29-15

7-24

19-18

22-21

18-21

27-18

16-21

18-12

18-18

13-26

20-24

22-17

30-33

15-21

29-23

13-29

17-29

15-20

10-16

158.1Avg total

75.5Scored

82.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	77.4	79.1	156.5	-1.7	48%
Season at home (15)	80.3	78.7	159.0	+1.7	60%
Season away (16)	74.7	79.5	154.2	-4.8	38%
Last 10 (10)	75.5	82.6	158.1	-7.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	75.0	86.0	161.0	-11.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	74.9	84.5	159.4	-9.6	20%
vs Similar (16)	78.0	77.1	155.1	+0.9	56%
vs Weaker (3)	83.7	73.7	157.3	+10.0	100%

This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SienaVirtus Bologna

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	17.2	37.8	+3.3	77%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.7	17.3	38.0	+3.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.3	17.2	37.5	+3.2	85%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	16.8	37.6	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	16.8	39.6	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	20.0	15.6	35.6	+4.4	89%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.6	17.9	38.5	+2.8	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.0	38.7	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.0	19.1	38.1	-0.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.5	20.8	39.3	-2.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	20.0	38.4	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.6	39.0	-2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	17.5	20.6	38.1	-3.1	40%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.2	19.3	38.5	-0.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.7	38.6	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.5	17.6	39.1	+3.9	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.8	20.2	38.0	-2.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	21.7	41.1	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	22.6	42.2	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	17.6	19.9	37.4	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.2	18.4	39.6	+2.8	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.4	38.5	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	18.6	38.8	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	20.1	38.3	-1.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.9	40.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	23.2	45.6	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.6	19.3	38.9	+0.3	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	17.8	18.7	36.4	-0.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (3)	25.0	22.3	47.3	+2.7	67%	-

SienaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

33-40

-7

A14/04

Lega A

Brindisi

#17

46-33

+13

H20/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

39-46

-7

A23/04

Lega A

Treviso

39-26

+13

H27/04

Lega A

Avellino

33-43

-10

H30/04

Lega A

Panathinaikos

36-40

-4

A06/05

Euroleague

Real Madrid

36-32

A08/05

Euroleague

Sassari

40-53

-13

A12/05

Lega A

Virtus Roma

42-42

H15/05

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

58-30

+28

H19/05

Lega A

78.7Avg total

40.2Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	36.0	76.4	+4.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.2	34.9	77.1	+7.4	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.1	37.4	75.5	+0.7	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	38.5	78.7	+1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	39.4	81.8	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	37.6	35.4	73.0	+2.1	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	41.9	36.3	78.2	+5.6	70%	-

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Varese

#11

31-28

H20/03

Lega A

Treviso

37-38

-1

A26/03

Lega A

Sassari

39-33

H03/04

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

34-36

-2

A10/04

Lega A

Cremona

#12

44-45

-1

A17/04

Lega A

Siena

46-39

H23/04

Lega A

Biella

#15

40-42

-2

H01/05

Lega A

Virtus Roma

36-30

A12/05

Lega A

Teramo

#16

52-50

H15/05

Lega A

Siena

30-58

-28

A19/05

Lega A

78.8Avg total

38.9Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	39.4	77.3	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.2	37.6	76.9	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.8	40.9	77.6	-4.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	39.9	78.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	43.8	84.6	-3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	37.1	39.9	77.0	-2.8	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	36.9	38.0	74.9	-1.1	31%	-
vs Weaker (3)	47.0	42.3	89.3	+4.7	100%	-

This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	17.0	36.4	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.9	17.2	37.1	+2.7	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.8	16.8	35.6	+2.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	15.0	35.8	+5.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	15.6	35.6	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	19.4	18.1	37.6	+1.3	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.6	16.4	36.0	+3.2	70%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	18.0	35.6	-0.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.9	17.9	34.7	-1.0	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	18.2	36.4	+0.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	20.1	37.0	-3.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	21.8	37.2	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	16.2	22.3	38.5	-6.1	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.4	16.2	34.7	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.7	13.3	31.0	+4.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.0	37.7	+1.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.8	17.6	38.4	+3.1	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.3	18.5	36.8	-0.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	17.6	39.0	+3.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	15.0	34.0	+4.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	18.9	20.7	39.6	-1.8	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.6	17.0	36.6	+2.6	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.3	40.2	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	21.7	43.4	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	19.1	37.4	-0.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	22.6	42.3	-2.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.3	40%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.6	20.8	40.3	-1.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	35.0	74.2	+4.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.6	34.8	75.5	+5.8	88%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.2	35.3	72.5	+1.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	32.6	74.8	+9.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	30.6	69.6	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	38.3	38.8	77.1	-0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	39.3	33.4	72.7	+5.9	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	38.4	75.8	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.5	39.6	78.1	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.5	37.3	73.8	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	42.7	79.3	-6.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	42.2	76.4	-8.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	36.6	43.0	79.6	-6.4	10%	-
vs Similar (16)	38.0	37.0	75.0	+1.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	36.7	31.3	68.0	+5.3	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Siena wins

Virtus Bologna wins

Date	Game	Score
19/05/11	Siena v Virtus Bologna	94-55
23/04/11	Virtus Bologna v Siena	72-81
02/01/11	Siena v Virtus Bologna	92-80
16/05/10	Virtus Bologna v Siena	66-87
21/02/10	Virtus Bologna v Siena	75-83
24/01/10	Siena v Virtus Bologna	100-70
04/10/09	Siena v Virtus Bologna	87-65
16/04/09	Virtus Bologna v Siena	86-89 OT
04/01/09	Siena v Virtus Bologna	107-81

Sienalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/05/11	H	Virtus Bologna	94-55
15/05/11	H	Virtus Roma	83-73
12/05/11	A	Sassari	81-83
08/05/11	A	Real Madrid	80-62
06/05/11	A	Panathinaikos	69-77
30/04/11	H	Avellino	77-82
27/04/11	H	Treviso	81-64
23/04/11	A	Virtus Bologna	81-72
20/04/11	H	Brindisi	100-73
14/04/11	A	Olimpia Milano	78-70

Virtus Bolognalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/05/11	A	Siena	55-94
15/05/11	H	Teramo	96-94
12/05/11	A	Virtus Roma	69-80
01/05/11	H	Biella	83-81
23/04/11	H	Siena	72-81
17/04/11	A	Cremona	95-88
10/04/11	A	Olimpia Milano	64-71
03/04/11	H	Sassari	81-87
26/03/11	A	Treviso	71-79
20/03/11	H	Varese	69-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siena

Lega A 2010-11

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	87%
Home	WWLWW	94%
Away	WWWWL	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	16	15
Win %	87%	94%	80%
Points / game	84.1	89.9	77.9
Allowed / game	71.4	71.4	71.4
Point differential	+12.7	+18.5	+6.5
Avg total	155.5	161.4	149.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	75%	13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (10)	50% (2)	62% (8)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Virtus Bologna

Lega A 2010-11

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	48%
Home	LLLWW	60%
Away	LLWLL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	15	16
Win %	48%	60%	38%
Points / game	77.4	80.3	74.7
Allowed / game	79.1	78.7	79.5
Point differential	-1.7	+1.7	-4.8
Avg total	156.5	159.0	154.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	13%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	55% (11)	67% (6)	40% (5)
Overtime %	6%	7%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nazionale Italiana	1	1	0	100%	90.0	88.0	+2.0
2	Siena	31	27	4	87%	84.1	71.4	+12.7
3	Cantu	32	24	8	75%	76.8	70.3	+6.5
4	Olimpia Milano	32	22	10	69%	79.8	75.9	+3.8
5	Treviso	31	18	13	58%	77.2	75.2	+2.0
6	Avellino	31	17	14	55%	82.1	79.4	+2.8
7	Sassari	32	16	16	50%	81.2	83.0	-1.8
8	Virtus Bologna	31	15	16	48%	77.4	79.1	-1.7
9	Varese	32	15	17	47%	78.2	80.5	-2.3
10	Virtus Roma	30	14	16	47%	77.4	75.4	+2.0
11	Pesaro	30	14	16	47%	72.9	75.3	-2.5
12	Cremona	30	12	18	40%	79.5	79.8	-0.4
13	Caserta	30	12	18	40%	79.8	80.7	-0.9
14	Sutor Montegranaro	30	11	19	37%	77.1	79.4	-2.3
15	Biella	30	11	19	37%	79.8	82.9	-3.1
16	Teramo	30	10	20	33%	75.1	81.9	-6.8
17	Brindisi	30	8	22	27%	73.1	82.2	-9.1
18	Champion All Stars	1	0	1	0%	88.0	90.0	-2.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Siena	19	22	21	23	85
Virtus Bologna	22	14	17	28	81

← all games of the day

Siena vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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