Sisu vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Dec 2014

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 79-82

14-15 22-27 27-20 16-20

Position#7

Record6-5

FormWWLWL

Points / game88.5

Allowed / game85.9

Sisu

Vaerlose 🏆

Position#8

Record2-9

FormLLWLL

Points / game71.1

Allowed / game77.1

BasketligaenRound 12

Other2014-15

Meetings · Sisu v Vaerlose

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sisu winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Vaerlose winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sisu

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

EBAA Aarhus

#12

103-90

103

+13

A23/10

Denmark Cup

Herlev Wolfpack

95-88

H30/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

86-78

H03/11

Basketligaen

Randers

85-104

104

-19

A10/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

93-84

H12/11

Denmark Cup

Aalborg

#10

114-87

114

+27

H16/11

Basketligaen

Horsholm

97-77

+20

H20/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

88-98

-10

H27/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

86-75

+11

A04/12

Basketligaen

Horsens

58-84

-26

A08/12

Denmark Cup

–

19-23

21-23

30-21

25-21

20-26

31-15

14-16

21-21

21-25

27-30

12-24

25-25

–

24-22

35-16

30-29

25-20

18-13

27-22

21-18

31-24

19-26

24-26

20-30

25-16

29-24

21-14

15-19

21-18

–

177.0Avg total

90.5Scored

86.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	88.5	85.9	174.4	+2.5	55%
Season at home (7)	90.7	83.1	173.9	+7.6	71%
Season away (4)	84.5	90.8	175.2	-6.2	25%
Last 10 (10)	90.5	86.5	177.0	+4.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	88.6	84.2	172.8	+4.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	82.2	90.1	172.3	-7.9	27%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	85.1	81.8	166.9	+3.2	58%
vs Weaker (2)	102.5	87.5	190.0	+15.0	100%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vaerlose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsholm

76-69

H20/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

#11

82-72

+10

A24/10

Denmark Cup

Svendborg

73-78

-5

A29/10

Basketligaen

Randers

66-74

-8

H03/11

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

70-100

100

-30

A07/11

Basketligaen

Sisu

84-93

-9

A12/11

Denmark Cup

Herlev Wolfpack

73-84

-11

H16/11

Basketligaen

Aalborg

#10

93-62

+31

A19/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

69-73

-4

H27/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

68-76

-8

H04/12

Basketligaen

23-25

13-14

16-19

24-11

–

17-23

20-14

17-24

19-17

16-19

13-22

18-17

19-16

16-22

16-24

18-33

20-21

–

22-24

18-21

15-23

18-16

28-17

26-12

25-16

14-17

18-15

20-23

14-17

17-18

24-15

22-17

11-21

11-23

153.5Avg total

75.4Scored

78.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	71.1	77.1	148.2	-6.0	18%
Season at home (6)	69.2	77.8	147.0	-8.7	17%
Season away (5)	73.4	76.2	149.6	-2.8	20%
Last 10 (10)	75.4	78.1	153.5	-2.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	77.6	155.0	-0.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)	76.1	87.3	163.4	-11.2	12%
vs Similar ◀ (4)	73.0	77.2	150.2	-4.2	25%
vs Weaker (1)	93.0	62.0	155.0	+31.0	100%

This opponent (Sisu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SisuVaerlose

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.9	22.5	43.4	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.5	21.9	43.5	-0.4	46%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	23.0	43.3	-2.7	21%	-
Last 10 (7)	21.4	22.7	44.1	-1.3	43%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	22.0	44.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.9	24.0	43.9	-4.1	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.4	20.2	41.5	+1.2	45%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.0	24.5	49.5	+0.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.7	21.6	43.3	+0.1	46%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	21.4	41.4	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.4	21.7	45.1	+1.7	50%	-
Last 10 (8)	20.5	20.0	40.5	+0.5	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.6	40.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)	21.8	21.8	43.6	-0.1	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	19.3	21.0	40.3	-1.7	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	28.0	17.0	45.0	+11.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	22.3	20.9	43.1	+1.4	52%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.5	19.8	43.2	+3.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	21.9	43.0	-0.7	43%	-
Last 10 (7)	26.6	20.9	47.4	+5.7	57%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	21.6	48.4	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	22.2	21.6	43.8	+0.6	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.2	20.3	41.5	+0.9	55%	-
vs Weaker (2)	28.5	19.0	47.5	+9.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.6	20.9	39.4	-2.3	36%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	20.9	39.6	-2.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	20.9	39.3	-2.4	36%	-
Last 10 (8)	18.5	18.4	36.9	+0.1	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)	18.9	21.5	40.4	-2.7	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	13.7	18.3	32.0	-4.7	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	26.0	12.0	38.0	+14.0	100%	-

SisuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Herlev Wolfpack

40-46

-6

H30/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

51-41

+10

H03/11

Basketligaen

Randers

48-55

-7

A10/11

Basketligaen

Aalborg

#10

59-38

+21

H16/11

Basketligaen

Horsholm

45-35

+10

H20/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

43-52

-9

H27/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

50-38

+12

A04/12

Basketligaen

91.6Avg total

48.0Scored

43.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	43.1	43.3	86.5	-0.2	44%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	45.0	41.7	86.7	+3.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.4	44.9	86.3	-3.4	29%	-
Last 10 (7)	48.0	43.6	91.6	+4.4	57%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.0	43.6	92.6	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	42.1	45.6	87.7	-3.4	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	42.5	40.5	83.0	+2.1	64%	-
vs Weaker (2)	53.5	43.5	97.0	+10.0	50%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsholm

36-39

-3

H20/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

37-37

A29/10

Basketligaen

Randers

29-41

-12

H03/11

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

32-46

-14

A07/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

40-45

-5

H16/11

Basketligaen

Aalborg

#10

54-29

+25

A19/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

38-38

H27/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

46-32

+14

H04/12

Basketligaen

77.4Avg total

39.0Scored

38.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	40.3	42.4	82.7	-2.1	36%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.7	42.3	81.0	-3.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.9	42.6	84.4	-0.7	36%	-
Last 10 (8)	39.0	38.4	77.4	+0.6	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	38.0	80.0	+4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)	40.6	43.4	84.0	-2.8	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	33.0	39.3	72.3	-6.3	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	54.0	29.0	83.0	+25.0	100%	-

This opponent (Sisu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.2	21.4	41.6	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.6	21.4	42.0	-0.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	21.4	41.2	-1.5	29%	-
Last 10 (7)	20.3	22.4	42.7	-2.1	43%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	24.0	43.6	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	20.4	22.8	43.2	-2.4	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.5	36%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	23.5	45.5	-1.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	17.7	21.2	38.9	-3.5	36%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	15.8	21.6	37.4	-5.9	21%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	20.7	40.4	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (8)	16.8	21.2	38.0	-4.5	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	22.0	38.6	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)	17.5	22.0	39.4	-4.5	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	17.3	16.7	34.0	+0.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (1)	25.0	16.0	41.0	+9.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.8	20.6	41.3	+0.2	56%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.5	20.3	42.8	+2.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	20.8	40.0	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (7)	24.7	20.7	45.4	+4.0	71%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	20.6	46.0	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	20.3	21.4	41.6	-1.1	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.1	20.1	41.2	+1.0	64%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	17.5	40.0	+5.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	17.8	20.8	38.6	-3.0	29%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.8	21.2	38.0	-4.4	21%	-
Last 10 (8)	17.8	17.4	35.1	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	19.0	35.0	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)	17.8	21.6	39.4	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	19.0	16.0	35.0	+3.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (1)	14.0	17.0	31.0	-3.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	41.0	41.9	82.9	-0.9	44%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	43.1	41.7	84.8	+1.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.1	42.1	81.2	-3.1	29%	-
Last 10 (7)	45.0	43.1	88.1	+1.9	43%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	44.6	89.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	40.7	44.1	84.9	-3.4	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	40.7	39.3	80.0	+1.5	64%	-
vs Weaker (2)	44.5	41.0	85.5	+3.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	35.5	42.0	77.5	-6.5	18%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	34.6	42.1	76.6	-7.5	21%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.4	41.9	78.4	-5.5	14%	-
Last 10 (8)	34.5	38.6	73.1	-4.1	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.6	41.0	73.6	-8.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)	35.2	43.5	78.8	-8.3	8%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	36.3	32.7	69.0	+3.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (1)	39.0	33.0	72.0	+6.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sisu wins

Vaerlose wins

Date	Game	Score
12/11/14	Sisu v Vaerlose	93-84
16/10/14	Sisu v Vaerlose	73-66
12/02/14	Vaerlose v Sisu	88-91 OT
07/01/14	Sisu v Vaerlose	100-67
15/10/13	Sisu v Vaerlose	85-70
09/10/13	Vaerlose v Sisu	81-80
13/02/13	Vaerlose v Sisu	59-70
10/01/13	Sisu v Vaerlose	78-79
26/09/12	Vaerlose v Sisu	54-76
22/01/12	Sisu v Vaerlose	81-68

Sisulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/12/14	A	Horsens	58-84
04/12/14	A	Team FOG Naestved	86-75
27/11/14	H	Svendborg	88-98
20/11/14	H	Horsholm	97-77
16/11/14	H	Aalborg	114-87
12/11/14	H	Vaerlose	93-84
10/11/14	A	Randers	85-104
03/11/14	H	Horsens	86-78
30/10/14	H	Herlev Wolfpack	95-88
23/10/14	A	EBAA Aarhus	103-90

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/12/14	H	Horsens	68-76
27/11/14	H	Team FOG Naestved	69-73
19/11/14	A	Aalborg	93-62
16/11/14	H	Herlev Wolfpack	73-84
12/11/14	A	Sisu	84-93
07/11/14	A	Bakken Bears	70-100
03/11/14	H	Randers	66-74
29/10/14	A	Svendborg	73-78
24/10/14	A	Horsholm	82-72
20/10/14	H	Horsholm	76-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sisu

Basketligaen 2014-15

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	55%
Home	WWWWL	71%
Away	LLLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	7	4
Win %	55%	71%	25%
Points / game	88.5	90.7	84.5
Allowed / game	85.9	83.1	90.8
Point differential	+2.5	+7.6	-6.2
Avg total	174.4	173.9	175.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	29%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2014-15

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	18%
Home	WLLLL	17%
Away	LLLLW	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	18%	17%	20%
Points / game	71.1	69.2	73.4
Allowed / game	77.1	77.8	76.2
Point differential	-6.0	-8.7	-2.8
Avg total	148.2	147.0	149.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	0%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	10	9	1	90%	99.0	84.5	+14.5
2	Horsens	11	9	2	82%	84.5	75.0	+9.5
3	Herlev Wolfpack	11	8	3	73%	90.8	81.6	+9.2
4	Svendborg	11	8	3	73%	84.8	84.3	+0.5
5	Randers	11	7	4	64%	93.8	86.4	+7.5
6	Sisu	11	6	5	55%	88.5	85.9	+2.5
7	Team FOG Naestved	11	5	6	45%	80.9	83.1	-2.2
8	Vaerlose	11	2	9	18%	71.1	77.1	-6.0
9	Horsholm	12	1	11	8%	80.4	91.3	-10.9
10	Aalborg	11	0	11	0%	75.6	98.0	-22.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sisu	14	22	27	16	79
Vaerlose	15	27	20	20	82

← all games of the day

Sisu vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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