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Vaerlose vs Horsens Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Dec 2014
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 68-76
24-15 22-17 11-21 11-23
Position#8
Record2-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Horsens 🏆
Denmark
Position#1
Record8-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game75.7
DenmarkBasketligaenRound 11
Other2014-15
Meetings · Vaerlose v Horsens
31 Jan 2027
VAER v HORS
upcoming
26 Oct 2025
VAER60
HORS74
08 Feb 2025
VAER69
HORS89
18 Mar 2024
VAER64
HORS86
25 Jan 2024
VAER78
HORS99
12 Nov 2023
VAER71
HORS90
04 Nov 2022
VAER82
HORS87
22 Oct 2021
VAER84
HORS89
03 Jan 2021
VAER84
HORS100
27 Sep 2019
VAER73
HORS93
16 Jan 2019
VAER94
HORS101
04 Dec 2014
VAER68
HORS76
13 Oct 2014
VAER63
HORS91
31 Oct 2013
VAER78
HORS70
16 Jan 2013
VAER75
HORS95
04 Oct 2012
VAER65
HORS79
02 Nov 2011
VAER92
HORS88
17 Feb 2011
VAER69
HORS80
21 Nov 2010
VAER92
HORS56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Horsens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sisu
#7
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A16/10
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#9
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H20/10
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#11
W
82-72
82
72
+10
A24/10
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#3
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A29/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H03/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
70-100
70
100
-30
A07/11
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A12/11
Denmark Cup
Herlev Wolfpack
#4
L
73-84
73
84
-11
H16/11
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
93-62
93
62
+31
A19/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H27/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
15-19
18-14
14-21
23-25
13-14
16-19
24-11
–
–
–
–
17-23
20-14
17-24
19-17
16-19
13-22
18-17
19-16
16-22
16-24
18-33
20-21
–
–
–
–
22-24
18-21
15-23
18-16
28-17
26-12
25-16
14-17
18-15
20-23
14-17
17-18
153.0Avg total
75.2Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)71.477.2148.6-5.820%
Season at home (5)69.478.2147.6-8.820%
Season away (5)73.476.2149.6-2.820%
Last 10 (10)75.277.8153.0-2.630%
Last 5 (5)77.882.4160.2-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)76.187.9164.0-11.812%
vs Similar (4)73.077.2150.2-4.225%
vs Weaker (1)93.062.0155.0+31.0100%
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#2
L
77-93
77
93
-16
H16/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A20/10
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#15
W
111-79
111
79
+32
H23/10
Denmark Cup
Randers
#6
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H30/10
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A03/11
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#9
W
76-63
76
63
+13
A08/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
W
97-65
97
65
+32
H10/11
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#3
W
91-69
91
69
+22
A17/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#4
W
82-70
82
70
+12
A20/11
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
105-82
105
82
+23
H27/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
22-17
23-29
16-28
23-27
21-21
21-12
23-19
–
–
–
–
22-13
19-23
23-21
18-20
26-20
15-31
16-14
21-21
25-12
15-17
23-13
13-21
–
–
–
–
22-20
24-9
23-21
22-19
28-14
21-15
23-19
10-22
33-24
22-17
24-11
26-30
165.0Avg total
88.7Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.475.7161.1+9.780%
Season at home (4)87.081.8168.8+5.275%
Season away (6)84.371.7156.0+12.783%
Last 10 (10)88.776.3165.0+12.480%
Last 5 (5)90.269.8160.0+20.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.185.2164.4-6.138%
vs Similar (9)72.773.0145.7-0.344%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)87.776.2163.8+11.583%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -3.9-3.9
VaerloseHorsens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sisu
#7
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A16/10
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H20/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A29/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H03/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A07/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H16/11
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
54-29
54
29
+25
A19/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H27/11
Basketligaen
76.6Avg total
37.5Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)39.943.082.9-3.132%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.943.481.3-5.429%-
Last 30 away (14)41.942.684.4-0.736%-
Last 10 (8)37.539.176.6-1.612%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.878.4-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)40.244.084.2-3.833%-
vs Similar (3)33.039.372.3-6.30%-
vs Weaker (1)54.029.083.0+25.0100%-
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H16/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A20/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H30/10
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A03/11
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#9
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A08/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A17/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#4
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A20/11
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#10
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H27/11
Basketligaen
81.6Avg total
44.2Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)38.838.877.5+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.839.778.4-0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)38.838.176.9+0.850%-
Last 10 (8)44.237.481.6+6.975%-
Last 5 (5)46.235.882.0+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.448.484.8-12.00%-
vs Similar (9)33.333.767.0-0.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.035.980.9+9.173%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Vaerlose wins
7
Horsens wins
DateGameScore
13/10/14Vaerlose v Horsens63-91
06/02/14Horsens v Vaerlose92-83
26/01/14Horsens v Vaerlose103-89
31/10/13Vaerlose v Horsens78-70
16/01/13Vaerlose v Horsens75-95
13/12/12Horsens v Vaerlose89-77
04/10/12Vaerlose v Horsens65-79
15/01/12Horsens v Vaerlose78-79
27/11/11Horsens v Vaerlose80-73
02/11/11Vaerlose v Horsens92-88
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/14HTeam FOG Naestved69-73
19/11/14AAalborg93-62
16/11/14HHerlev Wolfpack73-84
12/11/14ASisu84-93
07/11/14ABakken Bears70-100
03/11/14HRanders66-74
29/10/14ASvendborg73-78
24/10/14AHorsholm82-72
20/10/14HHorsholm76-69
16/10/14ASisu66-73
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/14HAalborg105-82
20/11/14AHerlev Wolfpack82-70
17/11/14ASvendborg91-69
10/11/14HTeam FOG Naestved97-65
08/11/14AHorsholm76-63
03/11/14ASisu78-86
30/10/14HRanders82-77
23/10/14HAalborg111-79
20/10/14ATeam FOG Naestved88-79
16/10/14HBakken Bears77-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2014-15
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%20%20%
Points / game71.469.473.4
Allowed / game77.278.276.2
Point differential-5.8-8.8-2.8
Avg total148.6147.6149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Horsens
Basketligaen 2014-15
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %80%75%83%
Points / game85.487.084.3
Allowed / game75.781.871.7
Point differential+9.7+5.2+12.7
Avg total161.1168.8156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%25%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears109190%99.084.5+14.5
2 Horsens108280%85.475.7+9.7
3 Herlev Wolfpack118373%90.881.6+9.2
4 Svendborg107370%84.384.7-0.4
5 Randers106460%92.985.4+7.5
6 Sisu105550%88.787.0+1.7
7 Team FOG Naestved105550%81.582.8-1.3
8 Vaerlose102820%71.477.2-5.8
9 Horsholm101910%78.990.3-11.4
10 Aalborg110110%75.698.0-22.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose2422111168
Horsens1517212376
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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