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Skenderbeu vs Pogradeci Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 105-86
28-15 25-27 29-21 23-23
Position#7
Record8-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game80.2
Skenderbeu 🏆
Albania
vs
Pogradeci
Albania
Position#11
Record2-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game104.0
AlbaniaSuperliga· Tamara Nikolla Sports Palace
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Skenderbeu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pogradeci winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SkenderbeuAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSkenderbeu
Date
Competition
Fieri
#9
W
106-83
106
83
+23
97avg 82
H09/11
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
64-115
64
115
-51
46avg 82
A14/11
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
81-82
81
82
-1
71avg 82
A07/12
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
77-94
77
94
-17
61avg 82
H14/12
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
81-85
81
85
-4
71avg 82
A21/12
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
100-73
100
73
+27
100avg 82
H10/01
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
W
76-74 OT
76
74
+2
no box
A18/01
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
85-39
85
39
+46
84avg 82
H25/01
Superliga
Elbasani
#8
W
106-71
106
71
+35
94avg 82
A08/02
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
L
51-77
51
77
-26
no box
H11/02
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
35-13
22-24
22-25
19-32
13-32
17-23
15-28
34-20
11-29
18-16
18-17
17-27
24-21
23-21
13-25
24-25
23-25
24-21
10-14
29-9
20-27
30-18
21-19
20-19
11-14
16-21
17-10
30-6
22-10
12-9
21-14
28-19
26-16
21-26
31-10
9-22
17-27
11-12
14-16
162.0Avg total
82.7Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)85.580.2165.7+5.353%
Season at home (7)87.077.1164.1+9.957%
Season away (8)84.182.9167.0+1.250%
Last 10 (10)82.779.3162.0+3.450%
Last 5 (5)83.666.8150.4+16.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)67.2105.4172.6-38.15%
vs Similar (1)81.085.0166.0-4.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)96.072.2168.2+23.888%
This opponent (Pogradeci) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PogradeciAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPogradeci
Date
Competition
Vllaznia
#3
L
60-80
60
80
-20
50avg 64
A08/11
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
84-90
84
90
-6
82avg 64
H15/11
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
93-74
93
74
+19
92avg 64
A06/12
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
67-100
67
100
-33
48avg 64
A14/12
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
L
72-86
72
86
-14
66avg 64
A18/12
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
73-124
73
124
-51
57avg 64
A11/01
Superliga
Elbasani
#8
W
113-111 OT
113
111
+2
no box
H17/01
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
77-116
77
116
-39
62avg 64
A24/01
Superliga
Fieri
#9
L
92-102
92
102
-10
90avg 64
A31/01
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
79-145
79
145
-66
64avg 64
H06/02
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-20
18-22
15-19
16-19
19-20
17-28
24-22
24-20
24-7
25-23
20-17
24-27
18-18
21-22
10-27
18-33
15-16
21-20
18-29
18-21
18-40
21-22
13-27
21-35
28-18
17-22
36-33
24-32
22-27
21-26
19-32
15-31
20-24
13-20
25-33
34-25
13-43
21-37
20-37
25-28
183.8Avg total
81.0Scored
102.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.5104.0181.5-26.513%
Season at home (6)81.5109.3190.8-27.817%
Season away (9)74.9100.4175.3-25.611%
Last 10 (10)81.0102.8183.8-21.820%
Last 5 (5)86.8119.6206.4-32.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.6108.3182.9-33.60%
vs Similar (2)88.5104.5193.0-16.050%
vs Weaker (2)82.580.0162.5+2.550%
This opponent (Skenderbeu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -7.6-7.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -5.2-5.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -7.6-7.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -5.2-5.2
SkenderbeuPogradeci
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SkenderbeuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fieri
#9
W
62-34
62
34
+28
H09/11
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
32-64
32
64
-32
A14/11
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A07/12
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H14/12
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A21/12
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H10/01
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A18/01
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
52-16
52
16
+36
H25/01
Superliga
Elbasani
#8
W
54-35
54
35
+19
A08/02
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H11/02
Superliga
85.3Avg total
43.9Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)37.648.486.0-10.827%-
Last 30 at home (10)42.443.185.5-0.740%-
Last 30 away (16)34.651.886.3-17.219%-
Last 10 (10)43.941.485.3+2.540%-
Last 5 (5)42.433.876.2+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)31.555.887.2-24.30%-
vs Similar (1)47.050.097.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)49.432.682.0+16.888%-
This opponent (Pogradeci) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PogradeciLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vllaznia
#3
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A08/11
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H15/11
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A06/12
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/12
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A18/12
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
39-62
39
62
-23
A11/01
Superliga
Elbasani
#8
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H17/01
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A24/01
Superliga
Fieri
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A31/01
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
34-80
34
80
-46
H06/02
Superliga
85.8Avg total
38.3Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)36.149.585.7-13.413%-
Last 30 at home (6)34.554.889.3-20.317%-
Last 30 away (9)37.246.083.2-8.811%-
Last 10 (10)38.347.585.8-9.220%-
Last 5 (5)38.855.894.6-17.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.253.889.0-18.60%-
vs Similar (2)35.042.577.5-7.550%-
vs Weaker (2)42.533.075.5+9.550%-
This opponent (Skenderbeu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Skenderbeutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Skenderbeu: 91.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.322.1
56.2%
56.4%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.810.9
44.0%
34.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws18.514.5
78.4%
67.8%14.5
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pogradecitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pogradeci: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.3 pts a game · 8% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.9
56.9%
56.4%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.0
30.4%
34.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws10.26.3
61.8%
67.8%6.3
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Skenderbeu
LWWWWLLLLW
Pogradeci
LLLWLLLWLL
#7
League position
#11
+19.6
Net rating
-35.7
124.3
Offensive rating
91.8
104.8
Defensive rating
127.6
60.0%
Effective FG%
52.0%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
62.9%
12.8%
Turnover %
18.1%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.15
44.0%
3-point %
30.4%
36.4%
Assist %
53.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence124.3 · 91.8Defence104.8 · 127.6Shooting60.0% · 52.0%3-point %44.0% · 30.4%Ball care12.8% · 18.1%Off. rebounds25.4% · 24.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.15Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Skenderbeu   ■ Pogradeci
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Skenderbeu wins
0
Pogradeci wins
DateGameScore
01/11/25Pogradeci v Skenderbeu66-111
Skenderbeulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26HPartizani Tirana51-77
08/02/26AElbasani106-71
25/01/26HPartizani Tirana85-39
18/01/26AApolonia Fier76-74 OT
10/01/26HPBC Flamurtari100-73
21/12/25ATeuta Durres81-85
14/12/25HVllaznia77-94
07/12/25AKamza Basket81-82
14/11/25ABeselidhja64-115
09/11/25HFieri106-83
Pogradecilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/26HBeselidhja79-145
31/01/26AFieri92-102
24/01/26AKamza Basket77-116
17/01/26HElbasani113-111 OT
11/01/26ATirana73-124
18/12/25APartizani Tirana72-86
14/12/25AApolonia Fier67-100
06/12/25APBC Flamurtari93-74
15/11/25HTeuta Durres84-90
08/11/25AVllaznia60-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Skenderbeu
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL53%
HomeWLWWL57%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %53%57%50%
Points / game85.587.084.1
Allowed / game80.277.182.9
Point differential+5.3+9.9+1.2
Avg total165.7164.1167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%57%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Pogradeci
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL13%
HomeLLLWL17%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %13%17%11%
Points / game77.581.574.9
Allowed / game104.0109.3100.4
Point differential-26.5-27.8-25.6
Avg total181.5190.8175.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %7%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beselidhja16160100%116.467.2+49.2
2 Vllaznia1613381%86.972.3+14.6
3 Tirana1411379%97.479.3+18.1
4 Apolonia Fier1611569%90.473.5+16.9
5 Teuta Durres1510567%84.379.5+4.9
6 Kamza Basket1610662%91.779.3+12.4
7 Skenderbeu158753%85.580.2+5.3
8 Elbasani1751229%84.8103.2-18.4
9 Fieri1741324%75.993.2-17.3
10 Partizani Tirana1731418%66.490.1-23.7
11 Pogradeci1521313%77.5104.0-26.5
12 PBC Flamurtari1621412%65.195.7-30.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Skenderbeu28252923105
Pogradeci1527212386
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