PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

SMU Mustangs vs Evansville Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 22 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Postponed
Position#44
Record9-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game68.6
vs
Position#349
Record4-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game61.8
Allowed / game65.8
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · SMU Mustangs v Evansville
19 Nov 2022
SMU 55
EVAN47
21 Dec 2021
SMU v EVAN
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SMU Mustangs win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Evansville win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#334
W
95-48
95
48
+47
H16/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#149
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H19/11
NCAA
Missouri
#288
L
75-80 OT
75
80
-5
A22/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#275
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H22/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#146
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H25/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H28/11
NCAA
UNLV
#154
W
83-64
83
64
+19
H02/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H04/12
NCAA
Dayton
#63
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H09/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#264
W
90-72
90
72
+18
A19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
50-20
45-28
50-27
28-34
29-18
33-44
45-38
25-38
46-27
29-39
34-36
40-31
44-21
39-43
28-40
56-32
36-28
41-41
46-30
44-42
147.6Avg total
80.1Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.268.6147.8+10.675%
Season at home (9)80.265.0145.2+15.289%
Season away (3)76.079.3155.3-3.333%
Last 10 (10)80.167.5147.6+12.680%
Last 5 (5)81.668.8150.4+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)54.072.0126.0-18.00%
vs Similar (7)75.966.9142.7+9.071%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)77.867.2145.1+10.575%
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#24
L
43-81
43
81
-38
A13/11
NCAA
DePauw
#384
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H17/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#127
L
59-75
59
75
-16
H20/11
NCAA
Rice
#197
L
104-109 OT
104
109
-5
A22/11
NCAA
Vermont
#10
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H23/11
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
60-69
60
69
-9
H24/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
70-54
70
54
+16
A28/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H02/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H04/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A09/12
NCAA
1H
2H
14-34
29-47
36-35
33-23
30-39
29-36
39-29
36-46
23-24
26-34
20-33
40-36
38-24
32-30
17-32
35-22
28-23
31-28
38-40
35-35
132.2Avg total
63.8Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)61.865.8127.5-4.033%
Season at home (7)58.357.9116.1+0.443%
Season away (5)66.676.8143.4-10.220%
Last 10 (10)63.868.4132.2-4.630%
Last 5 (5)62.860.6123.4+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)62.172.8135.0-10.710%
vs Similar (8)67.859.4127.1+8.488%
vs Weaker (1)60.040.0100.0+20.0100%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +12.3+12.31st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -1.1-1.1
-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +12.3+12.31st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -1.1-1.1
SMU MustangsEvansville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#334
W
50-20
50
20
+30
H16/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#149
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H19/11
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
29-18
29
18
+11
A22/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#275
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H22/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#146
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H25/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H28/11
NCAA
UNLV
#154
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H02/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H04/12
NCAA
Dayton
#63
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H09/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#264
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A19/12
NCAA
69.3Avg total
40.8Scored
28.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.430.566.9+5.970%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.130.069.1+9.183%-
Last 30 away (12)32.431.363.8+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)40.828.569.3+12.380%-
Last 5 (5)37.631.068.6+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)28.530.058.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (7)37.026.363.3+10.786%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)36.731.267.9+5.570%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#24
L
14-34
14
34
-20
A13/11
NCAA
DePauw
#384
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H17/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#127
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H20/11
NCAA
Rice
#197
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A22/11
NCAA
Vermont
#10
L
23-24
23
24
-1
H23/11
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
20-33
20
33
-13
H24/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A28/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
L
17-32
17
32
-15
H02/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H04/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A09/12
NCAA
59.6Avg total
28.3Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.232.761.8-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (16)29.430.459.8-0.944%-
Last 30 away (14)28.935.364.1-6.421%-
Last 10 (10)28.331.359.6-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)28.230.458.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)27.934.562.5-6.620%-
vs Similar (8)32.129.461.5+2.850%-
vs Weaker (1)23.019.042.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
SMU Mustangs wins
0
Evansville wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/21ANew Mexico90-72
09/12/21HDayton77-69
04/12/21HVanderbilt84-72
02/12/21HUNLV83-64
28/11/21HLouisiana Monroe74-67
25/11/21HSam Houston St.75-66
22/11/21HLoyola Marymount70-76
22/11/21AMissouri75-80 OT
19/11/21HSE Louisiana78-61
16/11/21HNorthwestern St.95-48
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/21ASoutheast Missouri State73-75
04/12/21HTennessee Tech59-51
02/12/21HSouthern Illinois52-54
28/11/21AEastern Illinois70-54
24/11/21HAkron60-69
23/11/21HVermont49-58
22/11/21ARice104-109 OT
20/11/21HUCF Knights59-75
17/11/21HDePauw69-58
13/11/21ABelmont43-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1293
Win %75%89%33%
Points / game79.280.276.0
Allowed / game68.665.079.3
Point differential+10.6+15.2-3.3
Avg total147.8145.2155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%56%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%33%
Evansville
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeLLLLW43%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %33%43%20%
Points / game61.858.366.6
Allowed / game65.857.976.8
Point differential-4.0+0.4-10.2
Avg total127.5116.1143.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%29%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %8%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wake Forest1211192%81.267.1+14.1
2 Duke1110191%86.164.4+21.7
3 SMU Mustangs129375%79.268.6+10.6
4 Miami (FL)129375%73.871.0+2.8
5 North Carolina118373%79.473.4+6.0
6 Virginia Tech128467%71.656.5+15.1
7 Clemson128467%75.966.5+9.4
8 Virginia117464%62.955.2+7.7
9 Louisville117464%70.865.9+4.9
10 NC State117464%77.373.4+3.9
11 Florida State106460%74.166.0+8.1
12 Stanford106460%70.169.8+0.3
13 California127558%65.863.3+2.4
14 Boston College116555%67.361.6+5.6
15 Notre Dame105550%69.064.5+4.5
16 Georgia Tech105550%68.968.2+0.7
17 Syracuse105550%77.577.9-0.4
18 Pittsburgh125742%60.763.7-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State1110191%86.065.1+20.9
2 Belmont1310377%80.571.8+8.8
3 Drake128467%75.766.8+8.9
4 Southern Illinois117464%65.458.5+6.9
5 Illinois State138562%80.476.8+3.5
6 Valparaiso126650%73.066.5+6.5
7 Indiana State126650%73.271.9+1.3
8 Bradley115645%70.566.8+3.7
9 Northern Iowa94544%71.367.9+3.4
10 Illinois (Chi.)114736%67.769.1-1.4
11 Evansville124833%61.865.8-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.