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SMU Mustangs vs Mississippi St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 79-84
38-33 41-51
Position#58
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game70.6
SMU Mustangs
USA
vs
Mississippi St. 🏆
USA
Position#116
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game64.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SMU Mustangs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H02/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#250
W
80-77 OT
80
77
+3
H07/03
NCAA
UAB
#77
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A10/03
NCAA
Temple
#254
L
60-75
60
75
-15
H15/03
NCAA
Indiana State
#2
L
92-101
92
101
-9
A20/03
NIT
Tarleton
#308
W
96-62
96
62
+34
H05/11
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
102-73
102
73
+29
H08/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H12/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A16/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
110-69
110
69
+41
H19/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
36-34
0-0
37-43
0-0
22-30
0-0
43-35
0-0
29-33
0-0
41-41
0-0
33-32
0-0
27-43
0-0
49-40
0-0
43-61
0-0
51-28
0-0
45-34
0-0
51-29
0-0
51-44
0-0
41-35
0-0
40-33
0-0
33-36
0-0
37-45
0-0
51-46
0-0
59-23
159.1Avg total
83.4Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)91.870.6162.4+21.280%
Season at home (4)97.268.0165.2+29.2100%
Season away (1)70.081.0151.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)83.475.7159.1+7.750%
Last 5 (5)91.870.6162.4+21.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)74.472.0146.4+2.443%
vs Weaker (22)81.968.5150.4+13.373%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#139
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A07/03
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
H09/03
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A14/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
W
73-56
73
56
+17
A15/03
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A16/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
51-69
51
69
-18
H21/03
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
95-60
95
60
+35
H05/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
101-66
101
66
+35
H09/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
80-59
80
59
+21
H13/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H17/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-45
37-30
37-38
40-39
22-29
48-31
38-19
35-37
31-31
35-42
24-31
27-38
40-29
55-31
47-25
54-41
40-37
40-22
28-39
50-34
145.6Avg total
77.2Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.564.5153.0+24.0100%
Season at home (4)88.564.5153.0+24.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.268.4145.6+8.860%
Last 5 (5)81.065.4146.4+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.774.0146.7-1.343%
vs Similar ◀ (14)73.973.9147.8-0.143%
vs Weaker (9)80.662.7143.2+17.9100%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.3+5.31st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +7.6+7.6
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.3+5.31st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +7.6+7.6
SMU MustangsMississippi St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H02/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#250
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H07/03
NCAA
UAB
#77
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A10/03
NCAA
Temple
#254
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H15/03
NCAA
Indiana State
#2
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A20/03
NIT
Tarleton
#308
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H05/11
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H08/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H12/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A16/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H19/11
NCAA
73.9Avg total
39.6Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.832.271.0+6.573%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.830.571.2+10.288%-
Last 30 away (14)36.534.270.7+2.357%-
Last 10 (10)39.634.373.9+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)45.434.880.2+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.133.971.0+3.343%-
vs Weaker (22)38.831.470.2+7.582%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#139
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A07/03
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H09/03
NCAA
LSU
#182
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A14/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
W
38-19
38
19
+19
A15/03
NCAA
Auburn
#22
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A16/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H21/03
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H05/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H09/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H13/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H17/11
NCAA
66.2Avg total
33.9Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.233.067.3+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.031.468.4+5.665%-
Last 30 away (13)30.635.265.8-4.523%-
Last 10 (10)33.932.366.2+1.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.832.268.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.330.661.9+0.743%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)33.037.670.6-4.621%-
vs Weaker (9)38.427.866.2+10.789%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
SMU Mustangs wins
0
Mississippi St. wins
No previous meetings.
SMU Mustangslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/24HPrairie View A&M110-69
16/11/24AButler70-81
12/11/24HNC Greensboro81-68
08/11/24HFlorida A&M102-73
05/11/24HTarleton96-62
20/03/24AIndiana State92-101
15/03/24HTemple60-75
10/03/24AUAB70-74
07/03/24HEast Carolina80-77 OT
02/03/24HUTSA Roadrunners73-77
Mississippi St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24HUtah Utes78-73
13/11/24HSE Louisiana80-59
09/11/24HGeorgia State101-66
05/11/24HWest Georgia95-60
21/03/24HMichigan State51-69
16/03/24AAuburn66-73
15/03/24ATennessee73-56
14/03/24ALSU70-60
09/03/24HSouth Carolina89-93 OT
07/03/24ATexas A&M69-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %80%100%0%
Points / game91.897.270.0
Allowed / game70.668.081.0
Point differential+21.2+29.2-11.0
Avg total162.4165.2151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mississippi St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game88.588.5-
Allowed / game64.564.5-
Point differential+24.0+24.0-
Avg total153.0153.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pittsburgh660100%85.860.2+25.7
2 NC State550100%82.663.0+19.6
3 Stanford550100%80.861.4+19.4
4 Florida State65183%75.066.0+9.0
5 Wake Forest65183%73.867.8+6.0
6 SMU Mustangs54180%91.870.6+21.2
7 Clemson54180%80.864.6+16.2
8 Notre Dame54180%82.268.4+13.8
9 California54180%79.073.2+5.8
10 Duke43175%88.558.0+30.5
11 Louisville43175%81.062.8+18.2
12 Boston College43175%69.567.5+2.0
13 North Carolina32167%95.374.3+21.0
14 Miami (FL)53260%87.471.8+15.6
15 Virginia Tech53260%72.469.2+3.2
16 Syracuse53260%80.879.6+1.2
17 Virginia53260%58.861.0-2.2
18 Georgia Tech42250%82.076.5+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kentucky550100%97.066.6+30.4
2 Auburn440100%87.259.2+28.0
3 Tennessee550100%83.257.2+26.0
4 Oklahoma440100%83.859.2+24.5
5 Mississippi St.440100%88.564.5+24.0
6 Georgia550100%87.066.6+20.4
7 Florida660100%88.267.8+20.3
8 Ole Miss550100%80.863.0+17.8
9 Vanderbilt660100%85.870.0+15.8
10 Missouri54180%87.663.4+24.2
11 Texas54180%85.261.2+24.0
12 Texas A&M54180%78.861.6+17.2
13 Alabama54180%89.674.2+15.4
14 LSU54180%77.065.6+11.4
15 Arkansas43175%74.863.2+11.5
16 South Carolina53260%78.470.2+8.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
SMU Mustangs384179
Mississippi St.335184
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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