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Auburn vs Mississippi St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 73-66
31-31 42-35
Position#22
Record25-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game68.1
Auburn 🏆
USA
vs
Mississippi St.
USA
Position#130
Record21-12
FormLLLWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game68.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Auburn v Mississippi St.
26 Jan 2027
AUBU v MISS
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
AUBU79
MISS61
14 Jan 2025
AUBU88
MISS66
16 Mar 2024
AUBU73
MISS66
02 Mar 2024
AUBU78
MISS63
14 Jan 2023
AUBU69
MISS63
06 Mar 2021
AUBU78
MISS71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Auburn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AuburnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#67
W
99-81
99
81
+18
H08/02
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A10/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
W
101-61
101
61
+40
H15/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
59-70
59
70
-11
H17/02
NCAA
Georgia
#197
W
97-76
97
76
+21
A24/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
84-92
84
92
-8
A29/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
W
78-63
78
63
+15
H02/03
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
101-74
101
74
+27
A06/03
NCAA
Georgia
#197
W
92-78
92
78
+14
H09/03
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
W
86-55
86
55
+31
H15/03
NCAA
1H
2H
55-41
44-40
26-42
39-39
50-28
51-33
29-39
30-31
45-34
52-42
40-44
44-48
39-22
39-41
44-39
57-35
45-31
47-47
46-26
40-29
159.3Avg total
86.2Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)83.668.1151.7+15.478%
Season at home (18)85.064.9149.9+20.194%
Season away (14)81.772.2153.9+9.557%
Last 10 (10)86.273.1159.3+13.170%
Last 5 (5)88.272.4160.6+15.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)74.080.5154.5-6.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)84.266.4150.6+17.886%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri
#345
W
75-51
75
51
+24
A11/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H17/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H22/02
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
87-67
87
67
+20
A25/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
89-91
89
91
-2
H28/02
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
63-78
63
78
-15
A02/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A07/03
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
H09/03
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A14/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
W
73-56
73
56
+17
A15/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-26
45-25
34-29
37-38
40-44
43-27
40-33
47-34
43-35
46-56
22-39
41-39
32-45
37-30
37-38
40-39
22-29
48-31
38-19
35-37
147.8Avg total
76.9Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)75.068.9144.0+6.164%
Season at home (19)77.767.1144.8+10.679%
Season away (14)71.471.4142.9+0.043%
Last 10 (10)76.970.9147.8+6.060%
Last 5 (5)72.872.4145.2+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)73.874.2148.0-0.350%
vs Similar (15)75.572.7148.2+2.747%
vs Weaker (9)73.662.9136.4+10.789%
This opponent (Auburn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.3+7.31st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: +5.8+5.82nd half: +6.3+6.3
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.3+7.31st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: +5.8+5.82nd half: +6.3+6.3
AuburnMississippi St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AuburnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#67
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H08/02
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A10/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H15/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H17/02
NCAA
Georgia
#197
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A24/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A29/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H02/03
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A06/03
NCAA
Georgia
#197
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H09/03
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H15/03
NCAA
76.5Avg total
41.9Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.131.172.2+10.077%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.828.472.1+15.494%-
Last 30 away (13)37.634.672.2+3.054%-
Last 10 (10)41.934.676.5+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)42.832.475.2+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)35.538.574.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)41.530.572.0+11.082%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri
#345
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A11/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H17/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H22/02
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A25/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H28/02
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A02/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A07/03
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H09/03
NCAA
LSU
#182
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A14/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
W
38-19
38
19
+19
A15/03
NCAA
67.5Avg total
33.8Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.632.766.3+0.848%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.330.366.5+6.067%-
Last 30 away (14)30.635.466.0-4.729%-
Last 10 (10)33.833.767.5+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)30.234.064.2-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)31.330.561.8+0.850%-
vs Similar (14)33.136.269.4-3.129%-
vs Weaker (9)35.728.864.4+6.978%-
This opponent (Auburn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Auburn wins
1
Mississippi St. wins
DateGameScore
02/03/24Auburn v Mississippi St.78-63
27/01/24Mississippi St. v Auburn64-58
15/01/23Auburn v Mississippi St.69-63
03/03/22Mississippi St. v Auburn68-81 OT
06/03/21Auburn v Mississippi St.78-71
04/01/20Mississippi St. v Auburn68-80
Auburnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/24HSouth Carolina86-55
09/03/24HGeorgia92-78
06/03/24AMissouri101-74
02/03/24HMississippi St.78-63
29/02/24ATennessee84-92
24/02/24AGeorgia97-76
17/02/24HKentucky59-70
15/02/24HSouth Carolina101-61
10/02/24AFlorida65-81
08/02/24HAlabama99-81
Mississippi St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/24ATennessee73-56
14/03/24ALSU70-60
09/03/24HSouth Carolina89-93 OT
07/03/24ATexas A&M69-75
02/03/24AAuburn63-78
28/02/24HKentucky89-91
25/02/24ALSU87-67
22/02/24HOle Miss83-71
17/02/24HArkansas71-67
11/02/24AMissouri75-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Auburn
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW78%
HomeWLWWW94%
AwayWLWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321814
Win %78%94%57%
Points / game83.685.081.7
Allowed / game68.164.972.2
Point differential+15.4+20.1+9.5
Avg total151.7149.9153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%94%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mississippi St.
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW64%
HomeWWWLL79%
AwayWLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331914
Win %64%79%43%
Points / game75.077.771.4
Allowed / game68.967.171.4
Point differential+6.1+10.6+0.0
Avg total144.0144.8142.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%53%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Carolina3326779%72.067.0+5.1
2 Auburn3225778%83.668.1+15.4
3 Tennessee3224875%79.567.9+11.6
4 Kentucky3223972%89.479.7+9.8
5 Florida33231070%85.478.0+7.4
6 Alabama32211166%90.881.1+9.7
7 Mississippi St.33211264%75.068.9+6.1
8 Texas32201262%76.569.9+6.7
9 Oklahoma32201262%75.468.8+6.6
10 Ole Miss32201262%74.973.9+1.0
11 Texas A&M33201361%74.370.1+4.2
12 LSU32171553%76.374.7+1.7
13 Georgia33171652%74.874.6+0.2
14 Arkansas33161748%77.879.8-2.0
15 Vanderbilt3292328%67.975.9-8.0
16 Missouri3282425%72.276.2-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Auburn314273
Mississippi St.313566
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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