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Tennessee vs Mississippi St. Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 56-73
19-38 37-35
Position#33
Record24-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game67.7
vs
Position#130
Record20-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game69.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Tennessee v Mississippi St.
21 Jan 2025
TENN68
MISS56
15 Mar 2024
TENN56
MISS73
03 Jan 2023
TENN87
MISS53
11 Mar 2022
TENN72
MISS59
26 Jan 2021
TENN56
MISS53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TennesseeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#182
W
88-68
88
68
+20
H08/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
69-85
69
85
-16
A11/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
92-63
92
63
+29
A15/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
88-53
88
53
+35
H17/02
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A21/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
86-51
86
51
+35
H25/02
NCAA
Auburn
#22
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H29/02
NCAA
Alabama
#67
W
81-74
81
74
+7
A03/03
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A07/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
81-85
81
85
-4
H09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
50-27
38-41
28-42
41-43
46-40
46-23
51-20
37-33
26-29
46-38
37-27
49-24
44-40
48-44
39-41
42-33
35-24
31-35
29-33
52-52
150.4Avg total
81.5Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)80.267.7147.9+12.577%
Season at home (17)82.463.2145.6+19.188%
Season away (14)77.673.1150.8+4.564%
Last 10 (10)81.568.9150.4+12.680%
Last 5 (5)81.270.6151.8+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)86.682.0168.6+4.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)77.963.7141.6+14.282%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#197
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H08/02
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
75-51
75
51
+24
A11/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H17/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H22/02
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
87-67
87
67
+20
A25/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
89-91
89
91
-2
H28/02
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
63-78
63
78
-15
A02/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A07/03
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
H09/03
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-28
39-34
30-26
45-25
34-29
37-38
40-44
43-27
40-33
47-34
43-35
46-56
22-39
41-39
32-45
37-30
37-38
40-39
22-29
48-31
148.6Avg total
77.1Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)75.169.3144.4+5.862%
Season at home (19)77.767.1144.8+10.679%
Season away (13)71.372.6143.9-1.338%
Last 10 (10)77.171.5148.6+5.660%
Last 5 (5)76.079.4155.4-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)74.077.8151.8-3.840%
vs Similar (15)75.572.7148.2+2.747%
vs Weaker (10)74.362.0136.3+12.390%
This opponent (Tennessee) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +6.4+6.42nd half: +7.0+7.0
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +6.4+6.42nd half: +7.0+7.0
TennesseeMississippi St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TennesseeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#182
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H08/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A11/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A15/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
51-20
51
20
+31
H17/02
NCAA
Missouri
#345
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A21/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H25/02
NCAA
Auburn
#22
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H29/02
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A03/03
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A07/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H09/03
NCAA
70.8Avg total
38.5Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.932.570.4+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.329.169.4+11.281%-
Last 30 away (14)35.136.571.6-1.450%-
Last 10 (10)38.532.370.8+6.260%-
Last 5 (5)36.833.069.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)39.040.079.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)37.529.867.3+7.773%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#197
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A11/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H17/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H22/02
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A25/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H28/02
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A02/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A07/03
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H09/03
NCAA
LSU
#182
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A14/03
NCAA
68.2Avg total
33.6Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.533.066.5+0.448%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.230.166.4+6.169%-
Last 30 away (13)30.136.666.7-6.523%-
Last 10 (10)33.634.668.2-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)31.237.268.4-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)30.032.862.8-2.840%-
vs Similar (14)33.136.269.4-3.129%-
vs Weaker (10)35.728.764.4+7.080%-
This opponent (Tennessee) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Tennessee wins
2
Mississippi St. wins
Tennesseelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HKentucky81-85
07/03/24ASouth Carolina66-59
03/03/24AAlabama81-74
29/02/24HAuburn92-84
25/02/24HTexas A&M86-51
21/02/24AMissouri72-67
17/02/24HVanderbilt88-53
15/02/24AArkansas92-63
11/02/24ATexas A&M69-85
08/02/24HLSU88-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/24ALSU70-60
09/03/24HSouth Carolina89-93 OT
07/03/24ATexas A&M69-75
02/03/24AAuburn63-78
28/02/24HKentucky89-91
25/02/24ALSU87-67
22/02/24HOle Miss83-71
17/02/24HArkansas71-67
11/02/24AMissouri75-51
08/02/24HGeorgia75-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL77%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayLWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %77%88%64%
Points / game80.282.477.6
Allowed / game67.763.273.1
Point differential+12.5+19.1+4.5
Avg total147.9145.6150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%71%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mississippi St.
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW62%
HomeWWWLL79%
AwayWWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321913
Win %62%79%38%
Points / game75.177.771.3
Allowed / game69.367.172.6
Point differential+5.8+10.6-1.3
Avg total144.4144.8143.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%53%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Carolina3226681%72.666.4+6.2
2 Auburn3124777%83.568.5+14.9
3 Tennessee3124777%80.267.7+12.5
4 Kentucky3123874%89.579.1+10.4
5 Florida32221069%84.977.7+7.2
6 Alabama31211068%90.880.4+10.5
7 Texas32201262%76.569.9+6.7
8 Oklahoma32201262%75.468.8+6.6
9 Mississippi St.32201262%75.169.3+5.8
10 Ole Miss32201262%74.973.9+1.0
11 Texas A&M32191359%73.669.6+4.1
12 LSU32171553%76.374.7+1.7
13 Georgia33171652%74.874.6+0.2
14 Arkansas33161748%77.879.8-2.0
15 Vanderbilt3292328%67.975.9-8.0
16 Missouri3282425%72.276.2-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tennessee193756
Mississippi St.383573
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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