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Clemson vs SMU Mustangs Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 57-54
28-27 29-27
Position#22
Record26-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game65.7
Clemson 🏆
USA
vs
Position#58
Record23-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game71.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Clemson v SMU Mustangs
07 Jan 2026
CLEM74
SMU 70
13 Mar 2025
CLEM57
SMU 54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Clemson winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
SMU Mustangs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ClemsonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#293
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A01/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
86-89 OT
86
89
-3
H05/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H08/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H11/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
72-46
72
46
+26
A15/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A22/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
83-68
83
68
+15
H27/02
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
71-58
71
58
+13
A01/03
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
78-69
78
69
+9
A06/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
65-47
65
47
+18
H08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-31
34-27
34-33
30-31
35-41
42-30
49-33
36-32
36-19
36-27
36-32
43-37
41-31
42-37
27-32
44-26
49-39
29-30
35-20
30-27
140.4Avg total
76.4Scored
64.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)77.165.7142.8+11.484%
Season at home (18)80.265.9146.1+14.289%
Season away (13)72.865.4138.2+7.477%
Last 10 (10)76.464.0140.4+12.490%
Last 5 (5)75.262.2137.4+13.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.071.0148.0+6.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (6)72.772.5145.2+0.250%
vs Weaker (23)77.663.8141.4+13.891%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#286
W
81-75
81
75
+6
A06/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
83-63
83
63
+20
H12/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
66-77
66
77
-11
H15/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
97-73
97
73
+24
A20/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H22/02
NCAA
California
#268
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A27/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A01/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H05/03
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A08/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
73-53
73
53
+20
H13/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-35
46-40
43-27
40-36
34-32
32-45
50-25
47-48
32-36
37-43
42-29
39-48
39-45
29-28
36-44
41-31
32-33
37-43
31-28
42-25
148.5Avg total
76.4Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)80.871.6152.4+9.372%
Season at home (19)82.271.4153.5+10.874%
Season away (13)78.971.8150.8+7.169%
Last 10 (10)76.472.1148.5+4.360%
Last 5 (5)73.670.8144.4+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.089.0151.0-27.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)75.379.0154.3-3.733%
vs Weaker (23)81.569.2150.7+12.383%
This opponent (Clemson) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: +4.0+4.02nd half2nd half: +6.2+6.22nd half: +0.3+0.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: +4.0+4.02nd half2nd half: +6.2+6.22nd half: +0.3+0.3
ClemsonSMU Mustangs
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ClemsonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#293
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A01/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H05/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H08/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H11/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
36-19
36
19
+17
A15/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A22/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H27/02
NCAA
Virginia
#230
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A01/03
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A06/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
35-20
35
20
+15
H08/03
NCAA
68.7Avg total
37.6Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.031.368.3+5.777%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.231.670.8+7.688%-
Last 30 away (13)34.230.965.1+3.262%-
Last 10 (10)37.631.168.7+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)37.630.868.4+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.041.076.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)33.233.766.8-0.533%-
vs Weaker (23)38.130.368.3+7.891%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#286
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A06/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H12/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H15/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
50-25
50
25
+25
A20/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H22/02
NCAA
California
#268
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A27/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A01/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H05/03
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A08/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H13/03
NCAA
70.8Avg total
37.4Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.233.771.8+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.234.672.8+3.671%-
Last 30 away (13)38.132.570.5+5.654%-
Last 10 (10)37.433.470.8+4.050%-
Last 5 (5)36.035.871.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.041.073.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)34.236.770.8-2.550%-
vs Weaker (23)39.532.672.0+6.970%-
This opponent (Clemson) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Clemson wins
1
SMU Mustangs wins
DateGameScore
22/02/25SMU Mustangs v Clemson69-79
01/04/14SMU Mustangs v Clemson65-59
Clemsonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HVirginia Tech65-47
06/03/25ABoston College78-69
01/03/25AVirginia71-58
27/02/25HNotre Dame83-68
22/02/25ASMU Mustangs79-69
15/02/25AFlorida State72-46
11/02/25HNorth Carolina85-65
08/02/25HDuke77-71
05/02/25HGeorgia Tech86-89 OT
01/02/25ANC State68-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/25HSyracuse73-53
08/03/25AFlorida State69-76
05/03/25HSyracuse77-75
01/03/25AStanford68-73
27/02/25ACalifornia81-77
22/02/25HClemson69-79
20/02/25ANotre Dame97-73
15/02/25HWake Forest66-77
12/02/25HPittsburgh83-63
06/02/25AVirginia Tech81-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Clemson
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW84%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayWWWWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311813
Win %84%89%77%
Points / game77.180.272.8
Allowed / game65.765.965.4
Point differential+11.4+14.2+7.4
Avg total142.8146.1138.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%72%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %13%11%15%
SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW72%
HomeWLLWW74%
AwayWWWLL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321913
Win %72%74%69%
Points / game80.882.278.9
Allowed / game71.671.471.8
Point differential+9.3+10.8+7.1
Avg total152.4153.5150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%68%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3229391%83.361.6+21.7
2 Clemson3126584%77.165.7+11.4
3 Louisville3226681%79.268.7+10.5
4 SMU Mustangs3223972%80.871.6+9.3
5 Wake Forest32211166%70.268.0+2.2
6 North Carolina34221265%81.175.0+6.1
7 Stanford33201361%73.070.6+2.4
8 Pittsburgh32171553%75.970.8+5.0
9 Florida State32171553%74.572.5+2.0
10 Georgia Tech33171652%73.472.4+0.9
11 Virginia32151747%64.866.8-2.0
12 Notre Dame33151845%72.672.5+0.2
13 California33141942%75.676.8-1.2
14 Syracuse33141942%74.777.8-3.1
15 Virginia Tech32131941%69.273.2-4.0
16 NC State31121939%69.570.3-0.8
17 Boston College31121939%70.475.8-5.4
18 Miami (FL)3172423%74.080.6-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Clemson282957
SMU Mustangs272754
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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