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SMU Mustangs vs Syracuse Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 73-53
31-28 42-25
Position#58
Record22-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Position#273
Record14-18
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game77.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · SMU Mustangs v Syracuse
10 Mar 2026
SMU 86
SYRA69
12 Mar 2025
SMU 73
SYRA53
04 Mar 2025
SMU 77
SYRA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SMU Mustangs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Syracuse winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#127
W
85-61
85
61
+24
H01/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
81-75
81
75
+6
A06/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
83-63
83
63
+20
H12/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
66-77
66
77
-11
H15/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
97-73
97
73
+24
A20/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H22/02
NCAA
California
#268
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A27/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A01/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H05/03
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
45-25
40-36
35-35
46-40
43-27
40-36
34-32
32-45
50-25
47-48
32-36
37-43
42-29
39-48
39-45
29-28
36-44
41-31
32-33
37-43
150.5Avg total
77.6Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)81.172.2153.3+8.971%
Season at home (18)82.772.4155.1+10.372%
Season away (13)78.971.8150.8+7.169%
Last 10 (10)77.672.9150.5+4.760%
Last 5 (5)72.876.0148.8-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.089.0151.0-27.00%
vs Similar (6)75.379.0154.3-3.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)82.870.1152.9+12.783%
This opponent (Syracuse) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SyracuseUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#7
L
54-83
54
83
-29
H06/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
95-86 OT
95
86
+9
H08/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A12/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H15/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A19/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H27/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
95-101 OT
95
101
-6
A01/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A05/03
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H09/03
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A11/03
NCAA
1H
2H
23-37
31-46
34-27
33-40
37-43
47-48
34-42
48-46
41-34
28-46
38-25
36-35
47-38
35-44
44-36
31-41
43-26
41-44
30-26
36-36
157.6Avg total
77.8Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)75.377.9153.2-2.644%
Season at home (17)78.176.4154.4+1.765%
Season away (15)72.379.7151.9-7.420%
Last 10 (10)77.879.8157.6-2.040%
Last 5 (5)78.874.0152.8+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)70.979.4150.3-8.521%
vs Similar (11)82.275.5157.7+6.673%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: -6.0-6.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: -6.0-6.0
SMU MustangsSyracuse
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#127
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H01/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A06/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H12/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H15/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
50-25
50
25
+25
A20/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H22/02
NCAA
California
#268
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A27/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A01/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H05/03
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A08/03
NCAA
71.9Avg total
38.8Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.833.772.5+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.434.674.1+4.871%-
Last 30 away (13)38.132.570.5+5.654%-
Last 10 (10)38.833.171.9+5.750%-
Last 5 (5)36.237.473.6-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.041.073.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (6)34.236.770.8-2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)40.332.673.0+7.770%-
This opponent (Syracuse) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SyracuseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#7
L
23-37
23
37
-14
H06/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H08/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A12/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H15/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A19/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H27/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A01/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A05/03
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H09/03
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A11/03
NCAA
70.5Avg total
37.1Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.934.768.6-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.733.568.2+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)33.135.969.1-2.833%-
Last 10 (10)37.133.470.5+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)40.430.270.6+10.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)31.536.367.8-4.832%-
vs Similar (11)38.231.970.1+6.364%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
SMU Mustangs wins
0
Syracuse wins
DateGameScore
05/03/25SMU Mustangs v Syracuse77-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25AFlorida State69-76
05/03/25HSyracuse77-75
01/03/25AStanford68-73
27/02/25ACalifornia81-77
22/02/25HClemson69-79
20/02/25ANotre Dame97-73
15/02/25HWake Forest66-77
12/02/25HPittsburgh83-63
06/02/25AVirginia Tech81-75
01/02/25HStanford85-61
Syracuselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/25AFlorida State66-62
09/03/25HVirginia84-70
05/03/25ASMU Mustangs75-77
01/03/25AVirginia Tech95-101 OT
27/02/25HNC State74-60
19/02/25APittsburgh69-80
15/02/25HNorth Carolina82-88
12/02/25AMiami (FL)84-91
08/02/25HBoston College95-86 OT
06/02/25HDuke54-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL71%
HomeWWLLW72%
AwayWWWLL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311813
Win %71%72%69%
Points / game81.182.778.9
Allowed / game72.272.471.8
Point differential+8.9+10.3+7.1
Avg total153.3155.1150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%67%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Syracuse
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW44%
HomeLWLWW65%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %44%65%20%
Points / game75.378.172.3
Allowed / game77.976.479.7
Point differential-2.6+1.7-7.4
Avg total153.2154.4151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %9%12%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3128390%83.561.4+22.1
2 Clemson3126584%77.165.7+11.4
3 Louisville3125681%79.368.5+10.8
4 SMU Mustangs3122971%81.172.2+8.9
5 Wake Forest31211068%70.568.0+2.5
6 North Carolina33211264%81.575.5+6.0
7 Stanford32201262%73.070.4+2.6
8 Pittsburgh32171553%75.970.8+5.0
9 Florida State32171553%74.572.5+2.0
10 Georgia Tech32171553%73.572.2+1.2
11 Virginia32151747%64.866.8-2.0
12 Notre Dame33151845%72.672.5+0.2
13 Syracuse32141844%75.377.9-2.6
14 California33141942%75.676.8-1.2
15 Virginia Tech32131941%69.273.2-4.0
16 NC State31121939%69.570.3-0.8
17 Boston College31121939%70.475.8-5.4
18 Miami (FL)3172423%74.080.6-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
SMU Mustangs314273
Syracuse282553
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