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SMU Mustangs vs UCF Knights Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 72-60
27-24 45-36
Position#44
Record10-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game68.6
SMU Mustangs 🏆
USA
vs
UCF Knights
USA
Position#127
Record9-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game64.3
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · SMU Mustangs v UCF Knights
02 Jan 2022
SMU 72
UCF 60
23 Feb 2021
SMU v UCF
upcoming
08 Jan 2020
SMU 81
UCF 74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SMU Mustangs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UCF Knights winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#149
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H19/11
NCAA
Missouri
#288
L
75-80 OT
75
80
-5
A22/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#275
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H22/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#146
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H25/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H28/11
NCAA
UNLV
#154
W
83-64
83
64
+19
H02/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H04/12
NCAA
Dayton
#63
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H09/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#264
W
90-72
90
72
+18
A19/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#292
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
50-27
28-34
29-18
33-44
45-38
25-38
46-27
29-39
34-36
40-31
44-21
39-43
28-40
56-32
36-28
41-41
46-30
44-42
43-33
31-36
147.6Avg total
78.0Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.868.6147.4+10.277%
Season at home (9)80.265.0145.2+15.289%
Season away (4)75.576.8152.2-1.250%
Last 10 (10)78.069.6147.6+8.480%
Last 5 (5)81.669.2150.8+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)54.072.0126.0-18.00%
vs Similar (6)78.567.8146.3+10.783%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)77.667.3145.0+10.376%
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCF KnightsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#58
W
95-89
95
89
+6
A13/11
NCAA
Jacksonville
#77
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H17/11
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
75-59
75
59
+16
A20/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#172
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H27/11
NCAA
Auburn
#11
L
68-85
68
85
-17
A02/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#319
W
81-45
81
45
+36
H05/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#280
W
83-68
83
68
+15
H11/12
NCAA
Temple
#137
W
65-48
65
48
+17
A16/12
NCAA
North Alabama
#317
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H23/12
NCAA
Michigan
#159
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
43-35
52-54
29-28
34-26
39-30
36-29
24-28
38-37
36-39
32-46
48-21
33-24
46-34
37-34
18-19
47-29
43-36
32-28
31-35
54-36
140.0Avg total
75.2Scored
64.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)74.664.3138.9+10.482%
Season at home (7)74.060.9134.9+13.186%
Season away (4)75.870.2146.0+5.575%
Last 10 (10)75.264.8140.0+10.480%
Last 5 (5)77.859.2137.0+18.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)65.573.1138.6-7.625%
vs Similar (14)70.865.5136.3+5.371%
vs Weaker (4)77.057.8134.8+19.2100%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.3+10.31st half: +5.2+5.22nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +5.2+5.2
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.3+10.31st half: +5.2+5.22nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +5.2+5.2
SMU MustangsUCF Knights
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#149
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H19/11
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
29-18
29
18
+11
A22/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#275
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H22/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#146
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H25/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H28/11
NCAA
UNLV
#154
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H02/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H04/12
NCAA
Dayton
#63
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H09/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#264
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A19/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#292
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A30/12
NCAA
69.9Avg total
40.1Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.930.867.8+6.170%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.130.069.1+9.183%-
Last 30 away (12)33.832.165.8+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)40.129.869.9+10.380%-
Last 5 (5)39.430.469.8+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)28.530.058.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (6)38.726.765.3+12.083%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)37.031.368.3+5.771%-
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCF KnightsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#58
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A13/11
NCAA
Jacksonville
#77
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H17/11
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A20/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#172
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H27/11
NCAA
Auburn
#11
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A02/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#319
W
48-21
48
21
+27
H05/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#280
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H11/12
NCAA
Temple
#137
L
18-19
18
19
-1
A16/12
NCAA
North Alabama
#317
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H23/12
NCAA
Michigan
#159
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H31/12
NCAA
66.2Avg total
35.7Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.631.264.8+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.528.764.2+6.869%-
Last 30 away (14)31.534.165.6-2.636%-
Last 10 (10)35.730.566.2+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)37.229.066.2+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)30.133.263.3-3.242%-
vs Similar (14)33.830.564.3+3.350%-
vs Weaker (4)43.827.571.2+16.2100%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
SMU Mustangs wins
1
UCF Knights wins
DateGameScore
23/01/21UCF Knights v SMU Mustangs65-78
05/03/20UCF Knights v SMU Mustangs61-58
09/01/20SMU Mustangs v UCF Knights81-74
SMU Mustangslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/21ATulsa74-69
19/12/21ANew Mexico90-72
09/12/21HDayton77-69
04/12/21HVanderbilt84-72
02/12/21HUNLV83-64
28/11/21HLouisiana Monroe74-67
25/11/21HSam Houston St.75-66
22/11/21HLoyola Marymount70-76
22/11/21AMissouri75-80 OT
19/11/21HSE Louisiana78-61
UCF Knightslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/21HMichigan85-71
23/12/21HNorth Alabama75-64
16/12/21ATemple65-48
11/12/21HN. Carolina A&T83-68
05/12/21HBethune-Cookman81-45
02/12/21AAuburn68-85
27/11/21HOklahoma62-65
20/11/21AEvansville75-59
17/11/21HJacksonville63-54
13/11/21AMiami (FL)95-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %77%89%50%
Points / game78.880.275.5
Allowed / game68.665.076.8
Point differential+10.2+15.2-1.2
Avg total147.4145.2152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%56%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%25%
UCF Knights
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %82%86%75%
Points / game74.674.075.8
Allowed / game64.360.970.2
Point differential+10.4+13.1+5.5
Avg total138.9134.9146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%71%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1211192%85.264.4+20.8
2 Wake Forest1411379%80.569.3+11.2
3 Miami (FL)1411379%76.472.8+3.6
4 SMU Mustangs1310377%78.868.6+10.2
5 North Carolina1310377%79.570.9+8.6
6 Clemson139469%75.265.2+10.0
7 Louisville128467%71.066.2+4.8
8 Stanford128467%70.569.8+0.8
9 Florida State117464%74.967.4+7.5
10 Virginia Tech138562%71.158.0+13.1
11 Virginia138562%62.857.2+5.6
12 California138562%66.362.5+3.8
13 Notre Dame127558%70.165.4+4.7
14 Syracuse137654%78.275.6+2.6
15 Boston College126650%67.164.1+3.0
16 NC State147750%77.476.1+1.4
17 Georgia Tech115645%68.368.5-0.3
18 Pittsburgh135838%61.264.0-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baylor13130100%83.258.0+25.2
2 Iowa State1312192%73.057.7+15.3
3 Arizona1211192%89.564.0+25.5
4 Kansas1211192%85.266.9+18.2
5 TCU1110191%74.161.7+12.4
6 Houston1311285%79.456.0+23.4
7 West Virginia1311285%69.560.9+8.6
8 Texas Tech1210283%78.258.2+20.0
9 UCF Knights119282%74.664.3+10.4
10 Brigham Young1512380%74.463.9+10.5
11 Colorado129375%71.065.2+5.8
12 Cincinnati1410471%70.160.6+9.6
13 Kansas State128467%70.860.4+10.3
14 Oklahoma State117464%74.966.5+8.5
15 Utah Utes148657%72.767.9+4.9
16 Arizona State125742%64.266.8-2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
SMU Mustangs274572
UCF Knights243660
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