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SMU Mustangs vs UTSA Roadrunners Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 73-77
36-34 37-43
Position#99
Record19-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game66.7
vs
Position#314
Record10-19
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game81.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · SMU Mustangs v UTSA Roadrunners
08 Dec 2026
SMU v UTSA
upcoming
02 Mar 2024
SMU 73
UTSA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SMU Mustangs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UTSA Roadrunners winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Texas
#159
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A26/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A28/01
NCAA
Tulane
#251
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H02/02
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H04/02
NCAA
Rice
#315
W
95-69
95
69
+26
A08/02
NCAA
North Texas
#159
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H11/02
NCAA
Tulane
#251
W
87-79
87
79
+8
A16/02
NCAA
Memphis
#57
W
106-79
106
79
+27
H18/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A23/02
NCAA
South Florida
#20
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-33
34-35
41-37
31-40
38-32
42-44
32-27
40-42
40-37
55-32
30-34
41-34
37-41
50-38
58-36
48-43
37-41
33-39
26-34
42-45
153.1Avg total
78.7Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.166.7143.8+10.568%
Season at home (15)80.264.3144.5+15.987%
Season away (13)73.669.5143.1+4.246%
Last 10 (10)78.774.4153.1+4.360%
Last 5 (5)80.477.0157.4+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.086.5158.5-14.50%
vs Similar (9)71.370.8142.1+0.633%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)79.964.7144.6+15.284%
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTSA RoadrunnersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulane
#251
W
89-88
89
88
+1
H25/01
NCAA
South Florida
#20
L
72-89
72
89
-17
A27/01
NCAA
Rice
#315
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H03/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
L
64-84
64
84
-20
A08/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#250
L
73-84
73
84
-11
H10/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A16/02
NCAA
Temple
#254
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A18/02
NCAA
South Florida
#20
L
61-66
61
66
-5
H22/02
NCAA
North Texas
#159
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A24/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
89-73
89
73
+16
H29/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-41
49-47
30-44
42-45
28-39
48-41
24-44
40-40
25-48
48-36
44-46
26-33
41-34
36-49
30-32
31-34
32-37
32-25
53-34
36-39
152.3Avg total
73.5Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.081.7159.8-3.734%
Season at home (15)79.377.8157.1+1.547%
Season away (14)76.685.9162.6-9.321%
Last 10 (10)73.578.8152.3-5.330%
Last 5 (5)72.272.6144.8-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)77.884.0161.8-6.228%
vs Similar (10)75.278.3153.5-3.130%
vs Weaker (1)89.087.0176.0+2.0100%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: -5.2-5.22nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: -5.2-5.22nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: -0.1-0.1
SMU MustangsUTSA Roadrunners
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Texas
#159
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A26/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A28/01
NCAA
Tulane
#251
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H02/02
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H04/02
NCAA
Rice
#315
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A08/02
NCAA
North Texas
#159
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H11/02
NCAA
Tulane
#251
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/02
NCAA
Memphis
#57
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H18/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A23/02
NCAA
South Florida
#20
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A25/02
NCAA
72.3Avg total
37.1Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.931.668.5+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.729.267.9+9.580%-
Last 30 away (15)35.133.969.1+1.260%-
Last 10 (10)37.135.272.3+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.274.8+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.039.574.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (9)35.431.166.6+4.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)37.830.968.8+6.979%-
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTSA RoadrunnersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulane
#251
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H25/01
NCAA
South Florida
#20
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A27/01
NCAA
Rice
#315
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H03/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A08/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#250
L
25-48
25
48
-23
H10/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A16/02
NCAA
Temple
#254
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A18/02
NCAA
South Florida
#20
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H22/02
NCAA
North Texas
#159
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A24/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H29/02
NCAA
74.6Avg total
34.7Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.338.474.7-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.335.972.2+0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)36.340.977.3-4.633%-
Last 10 (10)34.739.974.6-5.220%-
Last 5 (5)40.036.676.6+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.739.977.6-2.333%-
vs Similar (10)32.936.068.9-3.130%-
vs Weaker (1)47.046.093.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
SMU Mustangs wins
0
UTSA Roadrunners wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24ASouth Florida68-79
23/02/24AFlorida Atlantic70-80
18/02/24HMemphis106-79
16/02/24ATulane87-79
11/02/24HNorth Texas71-68
08/02/24ARice95-69
04/02/24HUAB72-69
02/02/24HTulane80-76
28/01/24AWichita State72-77
26/01/24ANorth Texas66-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/24HTulsa89-73
24/02/24ANorth Texas64-62
22/02/24HSouth Florida61-66
18/02/24ATemple77-83
16/02/24ACharlotte70-79
10/02/24HEast Carolina73-84
08/02/24AWichita State64-84
03/02/24HRice76-80
27/01/24ASouth Florida72-89
25/01/24HTulane89-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL68%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayLWWLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %68%87%46%
Points / game77.180.273.6
Allowed / game66.764.369.5
Point differential+10.5+15.9+4.2
Avg total143.8144.5143.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%67%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)75% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UTSA Roadrunners
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW34%
HomeWLLLW47%
AwayLLLLW21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %34%47%21%
Points / game78.079.376.6
Allowed / game81.777.885.9
Point differential-3.7+1.5-9.3
Avg total159.8157.1162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %14%13%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2822679%80.567.4+13.1
2 North Carolina2822679%81.570.4+11.1
3 Virginia2921872%63.758.7+5.0
4 Clemson2820871%78.470.8+7.6
5 SMU Mustangs2819968%77.166.7+10.5
6 Syracuse29191066%76.674.9+1.7
7 Wake Forest28181064%79.069.7+9.3
8 Pittsburgh28181064%74.667.1+7.5
9 NC State28171161%76.272.1+4.1
10 Virginia Tech28151354%74.170.4+3.7
11 Boston College28151354%75.773.5+2.2
12 Florida State29151452%76.475.4+1.0
13 Miami (FL)30151550%76.473.2+3.1
14 California29131645%75.076.2-1.2
15 Georgia Tech29131645%71.275.2-4.0
16 Stanford28121643%76.576.9-0.4
17 Notre Dame28111739%63.465.6-2.2
18 Louisville2882029%72.178.8-6.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Florida2621581%75.268.5+6.8
2 Florida Atlantic2922776%82.872.9+10.0
3 Memphis2921872%80.075.0+5.1
4 UAB28181064%76.274.9+1.3
5 Charlotte27171063%69.165.3+3.7
6 North Texas27151256%67.761.8+5.9
7 Tulsa29151452%74.873.7+1.2
8 East Carolina28141450%68.868.3+0.5
9 Tulane28131546%82.680.0+2.6
10 Wichita State29121741%72.272.9-0.7
11 Rice28111739%72.875.2-2.4
12 Temple29111838%70.972.7-1.9
13 UTSA Roadrunners29101934%78.081.7-3.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
SMU Mustangs363773
UTSA Roadrunners344377
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